Coaches Hot Seat Prediction and Analysis of 2012 Season: Texas Longhorns and Mack Brown
Head Coach: Mack Brown
Years at Texas: 14
Hot Seat Position: #10
Overall Coaching Record: 227 – 113 – 1 (.666)
Overall Won/Loss Record at Texas: 141 – 39 (.783)
Overall Conference Record at Texas: 86 – 27 (.761)
2011 Texas Record: Overall: 8 – 5 – Big 12: 4 – 5
2012 Texas Schedule & Coaches Hot Seat Predictions
Sept 1 – Wyoming – W
Sept 8 – New Mexico – W
Sept 15 – at Ole Miss – W
Sept 29 – at Oklahoma State – L
Oct 6 – West Virginia – L
Oct 13 – Oklahoma – L
Oct 20 – Baylor – W
Oct 27 – at Kansas – W
Nov 3 – at Texas Tech – L
Nov 10 – Iowa State – W
Nov 17 – TCU – W
Nov 23 – at Kansas State – L
Number of Cupcake Teams Played by Texas in 2012: 1 Cupcake (New Mexico)
Coaches Hot Seat 2012 Texas Predicted Record: 7 – 5
Coaches Hot Seat Analysis: At dinner on Sunday night in San Francisco where many Coaches Hot Seat members are this week for the 2012 US Open Golf tournament a Texas-alum friend of ours was asked about Texas football and Mack Brown’s job security:
CHS Member: Would Mack Brown be fired if Texas football continues to underperform?
(Texas football is over the last two seasons: Overall: 13 – 12 – Big 12: 6 – 11)
Texas-alum Friend: Mack Brown can and will be fired if Texas football continues to underperform because there is just no excuse for anyone including Mack Brown to put up the kind of records that Texas has put up over the last two seasons.
Uhhhhh, now that’s about as straightforward as one can get which is what we would expect from a Texan!
Before we get too far down the It’s Time To Fire Mack Brown Road let’s review what Brown did before the last two seasons in Austin:
1998 – 9 – 3
1999 – 9 – 5
2000 – 9 – 3
2001 – 11 – 2
2002 – 11 – 2
2003 – 10 – 3
2004 – 11 – 1
2005 – 13 – 0 – Big 12 Conference and National Title
2006 – 10 – 3
2007 – 10 – 3
2008 – 12 – 1
2009 – 13 – 1 – Big 12 Conference Title
2010 – 5 – 7
2011 – 8 – 5
What the Hell?
Clearly, something has gone terribly wrong with Texas football over the last two seasons because first of all we are talking about Texas football here that has EVERYTHING that a head coach would need to win lots of football games which was proved by Brown’s first 12 seasons on the job although only TWO Big 12 conference titles in those 12 seasons (4 losses in Big 12 championship game) is and should be concerning to many Longhorn fans.
What then has gone wrong at Texas since that night in the Rose Bowl in January 2010 when Colt McCoy went down early in the Bogus BCS national title game against Alabama which was when things began to go terribly wrong with Texas football?
Well…..besides a Texas defense that has given up 28 or more points NINE times in the last two seasons which makes up NINE of UT’s TWELVE losses the words of the Great Don Shula come to mind for some reason:
“Sure, luck means a lot in football. Not have a good quarterback in bad luck.” Don Shula
Well, in PRO football not having a good quarterback is sometimes bad luck and sometimes very stupid picks in the NFL Draft, but in COLLEGE football not having a TOP quarterback at a place like the University of Texas is the fault of the head coach and coaching staff because Gumby could recruit a TOP quarterback to Austin every year and as we look at the 2012 Texas Spring Roster we see the following QBs:
Case McCoy – Junior – Graham, Texas
Connor Brewer – Freshman – Scottsdale, Arizona
John Wilder – Freshman – Henderson, Texas
David Ash – Sophomore – Belton, Texas
Are any of the above Texas quarterbacks a TOP quarterback or are they even as good as Alabama QB AJ McCarron who in his sophomore year made very few mistakes in leading Alabama to the Bogus BCS national title?
NO is the very simple answer to that question.
The job that must be done at Texas is actually very simple for the Longhorn football program if the UT coaching staff wants to return Texas football back to the top of college football:
The Texas defense must become much better at stopping the opposing teams from scoring because in 2011 Texas ranked 33 rd in Scoring Defense in giving up 22.23 points per game (Alabama was first in Scoring Defense in 2011 giving up 8.15 points per game) with giving up less than 17 points per game as a good goal for the Longhorns defense in 2012.
Texas must find a quarterback in 2012 that can first of all not lose the game which means committing very few turnovers and mistakes and then in crucial pressure situations that quarterback must step-up and make the critical plays which can change Texas from an average team to a good or a great football team….like the kind of plays that Colt McCoy and Vince Young when they were the starting quarterbacks at Texas.
Looking to the 2012 season Coaches Hot Seat is predicting a 7 – 5 record for the Texas Longhorns in 2012 with Texas losing to FOUR teams that it has more talent than…
Oklahoma State, West Virginia, Texas Tech and Kansas State
….along with a loss to Oklahoma that it has equal talent to and if Texas does go 7 – 5 in 2012 then there will be a lot of hand-wringing in Austin come December because that would be three straight average seasons for Texas football and there is just NO DAMN good excuse for average at a place where any random person chosen from the South by Southwest Music Festival in Austin could coach Texas to 6 wins a year by just getting the Longhorns to all the games on Fall Saturdays during the football season!