College Football Playoffs

Notre Dame vs Penn State: A Clash of Titans in the Orange Bowl Semi Final

Thursday, January 9, 2025 | 7:30 p.m. ET

No. 7 Notre Dame vs. No. 6 Penn State

Hard Rock Stadium | Miami Gardens, Florida

In a season where both teams have proven their mettle with identical 13-1 records, Thursday’s College Football Playoff semifinal between Notre Dame and Penn State promises to be a defensive masterclass with championship implications.

The Tale of Two Defenses

Penn State’s defensive unit has been extraordinary this season, holding opponents to a mere 288.8 yards per game. But numbers only tell part of the story.

  • Their rush defense has been particularly suffocating, allowing just 100.9 yards per game on the ground, forcing teams to abandon their running game early.
  • With 39 sacks on the season (2.6 per game), they’ve consistently made quarterbacks uncomfortable in the pocket.
  • The uncertain status of star pass rusher Abdul Carter could impact their defensive prowess, though their depth has been a strength all year.

Notre Dame’s defense matches up impressively, yielding only 295.4 yards per game, with a knack for game-changing plays.

  • Their opportunistic defense has created 31 takeaways this season, including 18 interceptions.
  • Safety Xavier Watts has been a ball hawk, securing six interceptions and creating havoc in the secondary.
  • The loss of cornerback Benjamin Morrison could test their secondary depth against Penn State’s passing attack

Offensive Philosophy: A Study in Contrasts

When Penn State has the ball, expect a balanced attack that keeps defenses guessing.

  • Quarterback Drew Allar has been efficient and explosive, throwing for 3,192 yards with 24 touchdowns and only seven interceptions.
  • Running back Nicholas Singleton has been a force, accumulating 1,015 yards and 14 total touchdowns.
  • Their 436.3 yards per game come from a near-perfect balance of 234.1 passing and 202.2 rushing yards.

Notre Dame’s offense tells a different story, built on a punishing ground game and dual-threat capability.

  • Transfer quarterback Riley Leonard has been a revelation, passing for 2,383 yards and 18 touchdowns while adding 831 rushing yards
  • Running back Jeremiyah Love leads the ground assault with 1,076 yards and 18 total touchdowns.
  • Their 406.6 yards per game lean heavily on the run, averaging 217.5 rushing yards per contest.

The X-Factor: Special Teams and Field Position

Special teams might be the difference-maker in a game that could come down to the finest margins.

  • Notre Dame holds a slight edge in kickoff returns, averaging 23.9 yards compared to Penn State’s 21.2
  • Penn State’s kicking game could be compromised with Sander Sahaydak’s status uncertain
  • Field position battles could prove crucial in what promises to be a defensive struggle

The Prediction

When two evenly matched teams collide, the most minor details often determine the outcome. Penn State’s balanced offensive attack and elite defense give them a slight edge, but Notre Dame’s ability to create turnovers and control the ground game keeps this incredibly close.

Final Score Prediction: Penn State 23, Notre Dame 20