Florida State Fires Mike Norvell 12 Hours After Losing to Clemson, Eats a $50 Million Buyout

Norvell won the ACC three years ago. Since then, he’s gone 10-22, and Florida State decided it couldn’t wait any longer.

Florida State fired Mike Norvell on Sunday.

Roughly 12 hours earlier, Clemson walked into Doak Campbell Stadium and won 36-24. That dropped the Seminoles to 3-5. Defensive coordinator Tony White and safeties coach Evan Cooper are out, too, and Rick Stockstill takes over as interim head coach.

Nobody in Tallahassee should be surprised.

The banner flew first.

Before kickoff Saturday, a plane circled the stadium pulling a “Fire Mike Norvell” banner.

Dabo Swinney defended him afterward. That’s a tough spot for a coach, when the guy who just beat you is the one sticking up for you. By Sunday afternoon, it didn’t matter.

The fans got there first. The school just made it official.

Remember 2023?

Florida State does, and that’s the problem.

Norvell went 13-1 that season, ran the table in the regular season, and won the ACC. The Seminoles won 19 straight games in that stretch, and Florida State rewarded him with a new contract. That contract is why he’s still getting paid.

Since the start of 2024, Norvell is 10-22.

The bill comes due.

Norvell’s buyout is 85% of what’s left on his deal, roughly $50 million.

That’s more than Maryland, NC State, and Baylor owe Mike Locksley, Dave Doeren, and Dave Aranda combined. Florida State fired its athletic director in September, so the Seminoles are paying for a coaching search without a permanent AD to run it. Somebody in the president’s office better be good at interviews.

Norvell finishes 41-39 in Tallahassee.

The resume, in short.

Here’s what Florida State got for the money:

  • An undefeated regular season and an ACC title in 2023
  • A loss to an FCS team, Jacksonville State, in 2021
  • A 2-10 season in 2024
  • A 3-5 start in 2026, with a plane circling overhead

One great year.

Six other ones.

What’s next?

Florida State’s job is now the fourth Power Four opening of the season, joining Maryland, NC State, and Baylor.

It’s a big job with a big budget and a fan base that just watched its school pay $50 million to start over. The next coach won’t get a 2023 to buy him time. He’ll get two years, maybe three, and a banner company on speed dial.

Norvell made it to November.

He didn’t make it past the first day.

Week 10 Coaches Hot Seat Rankings Drop Tuesday.

Whose next? Coaches Hot Seat ranks all 138 FBS head coaches every week . The rankings come out every Tuesday. Subscribe here and get them delivered straight to your inbox.

No related posts found.

LOAD MORE BLOG ARTICLES

Week 9 Coaches Hot Seat Rankings: Mike Norvell Takes No. 1 Without Playing a Down

Mike Norvell’s Florida State team didn’t play on Saturday, and he’s sitting on the No. 1 hottest seat in the country.

In five days, Maryland fired Michael Locksley, NC State fired Dave Doeren, and Baylor fired Dave Aranda. All three were in last week’s Top 12. Norvell sat at home and watched the line in front of him get shorter.

Here’s the Top 10, and how each coach got there.

1. Mike Norvell, Florida State (3-4) | Last week: No. 4

Florida State had a bye, and Norvell climbed three spots anyway. His fan sentiment sits at minus-92, the lowest of any coach still working. Clemson comes to Tallahassee on Halloween night, so it’s No. 1 against No. 6.

2. Greg Schiano, Rutgers (2-5) | Last week: No. 2

Rutgers trailed No. 24 Northwestern 28-6 at halftime and lost 42-14. Last Friday, I said Schiano was next in line for No. 1, and he did everything he could to get there. Norvell beat him to it from his living room.

3. Phil Longo, Sam Houston (1-6) | Last week: No. 14

Two Wednesday night losses in eight days: 16-3 to Western Kentucky, then 30-24 to New Mexico State. Against the Aggies, the Bearkats ran for 11 yards. Longo is 3-16 at Sam Houston, and the man who fired him at Wisconsin dropped 21 spots this week.

4. Lincoln Riley, USC (6-2) | Last week: No. 11

Riley had two weeks to get ready for Wisconsin. No. 16 USC lost 24-7, ran for minus-17 yards, and scored the fewest points of any team Riley has ever coached. His review: “Didn’t coach good enough.” No argument here.

5. Deion Sanders, Colorado (2-5) | Last week: No. 9

Colorado led Oklahoma State 24-23 at halftime and lost 57-24. Isaac Wilson fumbled on the first play of the second half, and it got worse from there. Coach Prime keeps telling us the record doesn’t tell the story, and 57 points tells it just fine.

6. Dabo Swinney, Clemson (4-3) | Last week: No. 35

This was the biggest jump of the week, up 29 spots. Down 10-3 to Virginia Tech, Swinney said at halftime, “That’s 100% coaching. Pitiful.” Clemson lost 20-16 to James Franklin, whom Penn State fired a year ago this month.

7. Jedd Fisch, Washington (4-3) | Last week: No. 3

He had a bye week and dropped four spots, because the coaches around him did all the climbing. That’s the nicest thing that’s happened to him in October. He’s at Nebraska on Halloween.

8. Sonny Dykes, TCU (3-4) | Last week: No. 6

A week after beating Baylor, TCU lost 24-20 to West Virginia on homecoming. Jaden Craig turned it over three times, the last one a fumble with 34 seconds left. Nobody in Fort Worth is celebrating the two-spot drop.

9. Joe Moorhead, Akron (1-7) | Last week: No. 15

Akron committed 15 penalties for 165 yards and lost to Kent State 35-20. The Golden Flashes keep the Wagon Wheel for the second straight year. This is Moorhead’s fifth season.

10. Tony Elliott, Virginia (4-4) | Last week: No. 27

Virginia lost 19-16 to Duke on a halfback pass with 1:14 left. Before halftime, Elliott kicked a field goal because he didn’t want to do “anything too risky.” Duke didn’t share the concern.

Bubbling Under

Bill O’Brien scored 49 points at Georgia Tech and slipped to No. 11. Bill Belichick jumped 19 spots to No. 12 after North Carolina lost in overtime to Syracuse as an 8.5-point favorite. Shane Beamer beat Tennessee at the gun and fell six spots to No. 13.

Then there’s Luke Fickell, who beat No. 16 USC and dropped 21 spots to No. 29.

Friday’s Diagnosis: Michigan Bought the Wrong Résumé (For subscribers only)

Kyle Whittingham beat Michigan three times while he was at Utah.

That’s how Michigan got to know him, and it’s a big part of why Michigan hired him. What Michigan didn’t look at was everything else on the schedule. In 21 seasons, Whittingham went 7-15 against AP Top 10 teams, and at Utah he saw about one a year.

In the Big Ten, he gets them in bunches.

On Friday, subscribers get the full Diagnosis:

  • The number Michigan missed. His record against teams that are in the Big Ten now, and what happens to it when those teams are ranked.
  • The four-year slide. What his record against ranked teams looked like on his way out of Salt Lake City.
  • The comparison. Whittingham next to Kalen DeBoer and Steve Sarkisian, two coaches who changed jobs and had to beat better teams.
  • The verdict. Is Whittingham underperforming at Michigan, or did Michigan get exactly what it paid for?

Michigan’s administration bought the macro résumé and never checked the micro-schematic fit. Friday, we check it for them.

The Diagnosis goes to subscribers only, and it won’t be posted here. Every coaching change looks obvious in December. We show you why it’s obvious in September.

Subscribe before Friday morning:

No related posts found.

LOAD MORE BLOG ARTICLES

Seven ranked teams lost, two more coaches got fired, and Lincoln Riley’s offense ran the wrong way.

Have the latest from Coaches Hot Seat delivered straight to your inbox. Subscribers enjoy stories and excluseves not avaialble on the website.

Aranda out at Baylor. Doeren out at NC State.

Week 8 had one rule: if you were ranked, you were in trouble.

Seven ranked teams lost. Five of them lost to unranked teams, the most of any weekend this season. Then the firings started.

There are three unbeaten teams left: Miami, UCLA, and Utah.

Here are the 7 things we learned.

1. Lincoln Riley’s offense went backward. Literally.

USC ran for minus-17 yards at Wisconsin.

The Trojans scored 7 points in a 24-7 loss, the fewest any Riley team has scored. They lost to a quarterback who threw for 58 yards. Riley calls the plays, so I assume he called those too.

USC is paying for an offensive genius, and Saturday the genius couldn’t find the line of scrimmage.

Ohio State comes to the Coliseum next. I’d bring a helmet.

2. The carousel is open, and it’s spinning fast.

Three coaches have been fired in a week.

Maryland fired Mike Locksley last week. NC State fired Dave Doeren on Saturday, after 14 seasons, a 98-74 record, and a Friday night loss at Stanford that dropped the Wolfpack to 3-4. Baylor fired Dave Aranda this morning, less than a day after losing to Kansas for the first time since 2007.

Locksley, Doeren, and Aranda all made it to October.

None of them made it to November.

3. The Big 12 had the worst Saturday in its history.

For the first time in AP Top 25 history, three top-15 Big 12 teams lost on the same day.

  • BYU beat Notre Dame, celebrated for a week, then lost 39-31 in double overtime at UCF.
  • Texas Tech lost 37-24 at Cincinnati with three turnovers, 12 penalties, and a 3-of-15 day on third down. A defense that came in allowing 82 rushing yards a game gave up 255.
  • Houston lost 21-13 at Utah, which won its 13th straight.

The conference wanted two playoff teams. Right now it would settle for one that can survive a road trip.

Texas Tech can still reach Dallas, mostly because the schedule makers left BYU and Utah off its slate. Somebody in Lubbock should send them a fruit basket.

4. The hot seats got hotter.

Aranda isn’t on the board anymore, but plenty of names are, and Saturday didn’t help them.

  • Sonny Dykes (No. 6): TCU outgained West Virginia 484-265 and lost 24-20. You have to work at that.
  • Deion Sanders (No. 9): Colorado gave up 57 points to Oklahoma State and lost by 33.
  • Greg Schiano (No. 2): Rutgers lost 42-14 at Northwestern. Northwestern.
  • Pat Narduzzi (No. 24): Pitt lost 52-23 at Miami. The backup quarterbacks explain some of it. Not 52 points of it.
  • Tosh Lupoi (No. 18): SMU hung 59 points on Cal. Lupoi is a first-year head coach, and No. 18 is a high number for a rookie. Most of that number belongs to Ron Rivera, the general manager in Berkeley, whose job is to mentor the kid. Rivera should be sitting on 75% of this seat, because leaving a first-time coach on an island this long is inexcusable.

Three athletic directors have already made their call.

The rest are watching film, and some of them are watching it with a lawyer.

5. Two seats cooled off.

Not every coach on the list had a bad weekend.

Luke Fickell (No. 8) came into this season 17-21 with one win over a ranked team. Now Wisconsin is 5-2, both losses came against top-10 teams, and the defense just made USC look like a high school scout team. The touchdown that got it going came from Bryan Jackson, a USC transfer.

USC lost to Wisconsin, and it supplied the running back.

Shane Beamer (No. 7) beat Tennessee 27-24 on a field goal as time ran out, his second straight ranked win after knocking off Florida. Tennessee had bullied Alabama the week before. LaNorris Sellers accounted for three touchdowns.

Two weeks ago, Beamer’s ship was sinking. Now he’s bailing water and grinning.

6. The big brands aren’t safe either.

The names on the helmets didn’t help much this weekend.

  • Oregon lost 21-10 at Illinois. That’s close to a playoff elimination for a team picked to contend.
  • Michigan is 4-3. Kyle Whittingham’s offense ran 42 times for 57 yards, and Indiana won 13-6 in overtime.
  • Indiana won that game with 212 total yards, its lowest since 2024. The Hoosiers have scored 28 points in two weeks. They’ll take the wins, but they’d probably like a few touchdowns to go with them.
  • Clemson lost 20-16 at home to James Franklin’s Virginia Tech.
  • Texas led Ole Miss 24-3 at halftime and spent the second half trying to give it back. The Longhorns held on 34-27 and avoided a third straight loss.

Texas A&M, Oregon, and Michigan all look headed toward somewhere around 6-6. At those three schools, 6-6 gets you a meeting with the president.

7. Will Stein has Kentucky alone atop the SEC.

Kentucky beat Vanderbilt 34-17.

That puts the Wildcats at 5-1 in league play, alone in first. Georgia and Alabama are looking up at Kentucky. Stein is on the shortlist for every national coach of the year award.

In a season where three coaches have been fired in a week, Stein is getting votes.

The bottom line?

Week 8 settled nothing on the field.

Three athletic directors settled things anyway.

See where every coach landed in this week’s Coaches Hot Seat Rankings.

No related posts found.

LOAD MORE BLOG ARTICLES

Maryland Fires Mike Locksley After 13 Straight Power 4 Losses, and It’s Paying $9.94 Million to Do It

Eight years, one ceiling, and a 54-3 home loss to UCLA. Here’s why it ended, what it costs, who’s next, and who the Terps can’t afford to lose.

Maryland fired Mike Locksley on Wednesday.

It took eight seasons and a 54-3 home loss to UCLA to get here. Locksley leaves at 38-49 overall and 16-47 in Big Ten play. He lost his last 13 games against Power 4 opponents, which is the kind of streak that writes the press release for you.

The surprise is that he got an eighth season.

Here are the 4 things that matter now:

  • Why it ended
  • What it costs
  • Who’s next
  • Who has to stay

1. Why it ended: the same season, every season

Locksley could recruit.

Maryland produced five NFL draft picks in 2023 and six more in 2025. He kept Zion Elee, ESPN’s No. 2 overall recruit and a Baltimore kid, home in College Park. He grew up in D.C. and filled the roster with players most Maryland coaches only see on film.

He just couldn’t turn them into Big Ten wins.

Every year followed the same script. Maryland won its nonconference games in September, then the Big Ten schedule started. After back-to-back eight-win seasons in 2022 and 2023, Maryland has lost 20 of its last 22 conference games: 1-8 in 2024, 1-8 in 2025, and 0-4 this year.

Two years of that is a pattern, and patterns get coaches fired.

How do you survive 87 games at .437?

A UCLA fan on Reddit asked the question everybody else was thinking.

How does a coach last eight seasons while losing more than he wins? Part of the answer is where Locksley started: he took over after Maryland fired DJ Durkin in 2018, and the program needed a rebuild before it could worry about wins. Then came three straight winning seasons and three bowl wins from 2021 to 2023, and that bought him years.

The rest of the answer is recruiting.

Another commenter put it bluntly: Locksley got a long leash because he could land talent, even when he couldn’t win with it. Every time a blue-chip DMV kid signed, Maryland had a reason to believe next year would be different. His 2025 class alone had seven SC Next 300 prospects.

Eventually the losses come due, and on Wednesday they did.

2026 was the last chance, and everybody knew it

Last November, Maryland had the chance to move on and passed.

Athletic director Jim Smith brought Locksley back and promised more money for the roster. The Terps returned quarterback Malik Washington after a record-setting freshman season and kept veterans like linebacker Daniel Wingate. They opened 2-0 against Hampton and UConn, which is a sentence that should never make a Big Ten fan feel safe.

Then James Franklin brought Virginia Tech to College Park, picked up where he left off at Penn State, and Maryland hasn’t won since.

The losses kept coming: UCLA, Nebraska, Ohio State, and Rutgers.

The UCLA game ended 54-3, at home, a score usually reserved for September teams that get paid to show up. Earlier this week, Locksley acknowledged the frustration and said, “It won’t get fixed here at the podium.” He was right.

It got fixed in the AD’s office on Wednesday.

2. What it costs: $9.94 million for a coach who isn’t coaching

Maryland owes Locksley $9.94 million, about 65% of his remaining compensation.

Here’s the breakdown:

  • Lump sum: $4.97 million, due within 60 days
  • The rest: equal installments through 2028
  • Offset or mitigation: none

No mitigation means that if Locksley takes a coordinator job next year, Maryland still pays every dollar. The contract runs through 2028 because his 2022 extension added a year automatically every time he won seven games, and he did it in 2022 and 2023. The reward for those eight-win seasons turned out to be paying for the years that followed.

One more number: the buyout would have dropped to $8.9 million after this season.

Maryland just spent roughly $1 million for a head start on the search. Smith decided waiting until December would cost more than that. He’s probably right.

3. Who’s next: 5 names to know

This is Smith’s first major coaching search at Maryland, and his background is pro sports business, including time with the Atlanta Braves.

He has two jobs. He has to find a coach who can win in the Big Ten, and then give that coach the money to keep doing it. Maryland has never posted a winning record in Big Ten play and has finished with one or two league wins six times since joining in 2014.

Here’s who should be on his list:

  • Jake Dickert, Wake Forest: He’s won at Washington State and Wake Forest, two jobs that come with built-in disadvantages. Wake is 6-1 and ranked No. 17. The question is whether he sees Maryland as a step up or a step sideways.
  • Charles Huff, Memphis: He’s from Denton, Maryland, interned with the Terps in 2009, and worked under Franklin and Nick Saban. He’s 44-27 at Marshall, Southern Miss, and Memphis, with a league title at Marshall in 2024. The question is whether a fourth job in four years looks like ambition or a moving company.
  • Lance Taylor, Western Michigan: He won the MAC in 2025 and is 15-6 since the start of last season. He’s an offensive coach with deep NFL experience whose 2025 team still had the nation’s No. 9 scoring defense.
  • Dan Mullen, UNLV: He’s 117-68 in FBS with three 10-win seasons in the SEC and a strong quarterback track record. The 4-3 start at UNLV doesn’t help. Neither does the way Florida ended, especially on the recruiting trail.
  • Brian Hartline, South Florida: He’s 39, 5-2 in his first season as a head coach, and built the best receiver pipeline in the country at Ohio State. Smith and senior deputy AD Diana Sabau both spent time in Columbus. One season of head coaching is thin, but nobody would question his recruiting.

The name the internet wants: Brian Kelly

Reddit has already hired Brian Kelly, at least in spirit.

Within minutes, the jokes were up: Kelly studying how to eat a crab, Kelly watching The Wire for accent lessons, Kelly practicing Baltimore vowels in the mirror. This is the man who showed up in Baton Rouge and found a Southern accent somewhere between the airport and the podium. Nobody’s betting he couldn’t find a Baltimore one by signing day.

The funny part is that he’s available.

LSU fired Kelly midway through the 2025 season after a 5-3 start, and agreed to pay his full $54 million buyout as long as he made good-faith efforts to find work in coaching or media. He’s spending this season as a CBS Sports analyst and co-hosting a weekly SiriusXM show. He’s 64, and he’s said he hasn’t closed any doors on coaching, adding that his next job wouldn’t necessarily have to be with a national title contender.

Maryland is not a national title contender, so that box is checked.

At least one Maryland fan on Reddit said he’d take Kelly in a heartbeat if the school could afford him, arguing that a coach who could take the Terps bowling every year would be a massive upgrade. Kelly holds a 297-109-2 career record and won 113 games at Notre Dame. Maryland has won more than seven games three times since 2010.

The catch is motivation.

Kelly already has $54 million coming from LSU, and his buyout is built so that new earnings offset what LSU owes him. Money alone won’t move him, and neither will Maryland’s Big Ten history. He’d have to want the job, and Maryland would have to convince him it wants to win as badly as he does.

That’s the same problem Jim Smith has with every name on this list.

4. Who has to stay: the first recruiting class is already on campus

The new coach’s most important signing class is the one wearing Maryland jerseys right now.

Tampering season is coming, and a lot of these players grew up in Maryland. They’ll have to decide if they want to buy in to another staff and another rebuild. If they leave, the next coach starts over.

Here’s who matters most:

  • QB Malik Washington: He set the school freshman record with 2,963 passing yards last year. This season he has 1,615 yards and nine touchdowns, but also six interceptions, three of them returned for scores.
  • Edge Zion Elee: He’s the highest-rated recruit in program history and leads the team with 4.5 tackles for loss, despite playing only about 25 to 30 snaps a game. He also has 3.5 sacks and three forced fumbles.
  • Edge Sidney Stewart: He was a Freshman All-American last season with seven sacks, and he stayed when he could have left.
  • LB Daniel Wingate: He leads the team with 45 tackles, returned an interception 52 yards for a score against Ohio State, and has an extra year of eligibility if he wants it.
  • WR Chris Durr Jr.: The Wyoming transfer has 52 catches, tied with Ohio State’s Jeremiah Smith for the Big Ten lead.
  • Edge Zahir Mathis: He had six sacks as a freshman before a season-ending injury in fall camp.

The 2027 class matters too: receiver Myles McAfee, safety Kenaz Sullivan, and defensive end Dallas Pauldo are all committed, and all of them will be getting phone calls this week.

The bottom line

Maryland has gone 2-20 in the Big Ten since 2024, and on Wednesday it finally acted on it.

Locksley proved you can recruit the DMV. He never proved you can win the Big Ten with it, and neither has anyone else at Maryland. Now Smith has to find a coach who believes it’s possible and convince the people writing checks to believe it too.

Otherwise, the Terps just paid $9.94 million to start the same season over.

No related posts found.
VISIT OUR SHOP [COMING SOON]

LOAD MORE BLOG ARTICLES

What We Learned: Week 7

Saturday was the day college football’s royalty found out the rest of us get to play, too.

The No. 1, No. 2, No. 5, No. 6, No. 7, No. 13, No. 16 and No. 18 teams in the AP poll all lost, five of the top eight on the same day for the first time since 1989. The national recaps covered every one of them. Almost none of them bothered with Berkeley, where Cal lost 41-7 at home after benching the quarterback its head coach flew to Hawai’i to keep.

Somebody has to cover the dumpster fire, so pull up a chair. We brought marshmallows.

Subscribe to our free newsletter to get stories like this and our weekly rankings delivered to your inbox.

1. Cal benched the quarterback it flew to Hawai’i to keep and still won’t say who starts Saturday.

Cal held the ball for 12:14 of the first quarter, which sounds terrific until you see what Wake Forest did with its 2:46.

It scored 14 points and gained 163 yards. The Deacons scored touchdowns on their first four possessions, needing all of 22 plays to cover 286 yards, and led 34-0 at the half, Cal’s biggest first-half hole since a 41-3 mess at Oregon in 2013. Wake Forest finished with 509 yards, 349 of them on 15 big plays, which is a lot of big plays against a team whose head coach made his name coaching defense.

Cal won time of possession, and that’s the only thing it won.

The plan was set on Monday

Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (JKS) was upgraded to probable Friday night and off the injury list by Saturday.

Jackson Brousseau started anyway and said afterward both quarterbacks were told on Monday. Lupoi said Brousseau earned it with 321 yards against Virginia Tech, which made sense right up until Brousseau averaged 4.7 yards per completion in the first half. You can gain 4.7 yards falling forward.

Lupoi had all week to change his mind and five drives to admit he should have.

Did JKS just get Alex Smith’d?

One of Tosh Lupoi’s first moves as head coach was a late-night flight to Hawai’i to talk JKS into staying.

It worked. JKS threw 18 touchdowns and just nine interceptions as a freshman, made the Davey O’Brien watch list, and Ron Rivera went out and raised the money to keep him. This year, against FBS teams, he has five TDs, five picks and a 50.2 QB rating that ranks 84th, so nobody’s calling him perfect.

The Daily Cal compared it to the 2012 San Francisco 49ers, when Alex Smith got hurt, Colin Kaepernick took over, and Smith never got his job back. The difference is Kaepernick kept winning. JKS didn’t get in until 41-0, went 15 of 18, and led Cal’s only touchdown drive, in his first real snaps all season with Pat McCann calling plays.

So, who starts at SMU? Lupoi says he’s “going to assess,” which is coach for “please stop asking me that.”

The fourth-down call he’d make again

Down 7-0, Lupoi went for it on fourth-and-1 from his own 34.

The pass was broken up, and Wake scored 11 seconds later. Before the half, Cal got to the Wake 4 and came away with nothing on fourth down again. Afterward, Lupoi said he loved the first call and got exactly what he wanted.

He got exactly what he wanted, and it was 14-0, Wake Forest. I’d hate to see what he didn’t want.

Three offensive coaches, no answer

The most experienced offensive mind on Cal’s staff isn’t calling plays.

Nick Rolovich is the associate head coach and quarterbacks coach, a former head coach at Hawai’i and Washington State who ran big-time offenses as a coordinator at Hawai’i and Nevada. He developed JKS as a true freshman and went 1-0 as interim head coach last year, knocking off No. 21 SMU. Lupoi kept him, then handed the offense to Jordan Somerville, a 30-year-old whose only previous coordinator job, by his own account, was in 12-U football.

At halftime during the UNLV game, Lupoi took the play sheet away from Somerville and gave it to McCann, a former Fresno State OC, not to the former two-time head coach sitting one chair over. McCann’s Virginia Tech plan worked once. Wake Forest owns a film projector.

Cal keeps changing who’s in charge of the offense, and the offense keeps getting worse.

Who’s running this?

Rivera fired Justin Wilcox last November, hired Lupoi, and supervises him by contract, reporting straight to the chancellor.

In August, Rivera was talking 11 or 12 wins and the playoff. Cal raised a record $88.5 million in donations from July 2025 through June 2026. Two weeks ago, Rivera had to sit in on Lupoi’s weekly press conference to help explain why the offensive coordinator lost his play sheet.

A head coach shouldn’t need his GM at his own press conference explaining how the head coach is running the team. Lupoi did, in Week 5.

What the fans are saying

Cal fans have suffered through a lot, but they still have ears.

Some of the 33,792 booed at halftime, and Lupoi said he didn’t hear it. The most-liked comment under Write for California’s recap told Chancellor Rich Lyons to fire both Rivera and Lupoi. Others dug up Rivera’s run as Washington’s GM and compared this team to Tom Holmoe’s, which in Berkeley counts as fighting words.

Cal fans now want two people fired, and one of them is the guy who does the firing.

The CHS read

Lupoi said afterward his staff got outcoached and didn’t put the players in position to succeed.

Good for him, because that’s also the whole indictment. Seven games in, he’s walked back his OC hire, his starting quarterback, and his own fourth-down math. Rivera hired him and supervises him, so a 3-4 team headed into three straight road games, starting at No. 24 SMU, now sits on both their desks.

Year 1 is supposed to buy patience. Cal is spending it like donor money.

“You know it! (What?) You tell the story! (What?) You tell the whole damn world! This is Bear Territory!”

2. Georgia’s aura has an expiration date.

Auburn 27, No. 1 Georgia 24, on a walk-off field goal in Athens, and no, that’s not a typo.

Gunner Stockton threw two interceptions and lost a fumble, which is a lot of generosity from a No. 1 team at home. Tied 24-24 with 58 seconds left, Auburn drove 40 yards, with a Georgia penalty pitching in, and Alex McPherson hit a 34-yarder to end it. Georgia had won 53 straight against unranked teams, and Auburn became the first unranked team to beat a No. 1 on the road since 2007.

Alex Golesh won’t be paying for his own dinner on the Plains for a while.

3. BYU beat Notre Dame with a quarterback who had a score to settle.

No. 8 BYU 28, No. 2 Notre Dame 24, and it was the best game of the day, unless you’re from South Bend.

This one was personal

When Notre Dame offered Bear Bachmeier in July 2023, he got the news at his grandmother’s house in Lemoore and called it special, because his late grandfather was a die-hard Irish fan.

That September, Notre Dame took a commitment from another quarterback in his class. Bachmeier went to Stanford, then BYU, and on Saturday night he had a hand in all four Cougar touchdowns: two runs, a catch on a double-pass trick play, and the go-ahead throw on third-and-goal from the 6 with 1:47 left.

Afterward, Bachmeier said Notre Dame disrespected him and his family coming out of high school. He wouldn’t say how. He did say BYU is tired of being disrespected. Notre Dame recruiters may want to sit this week out.

And a personal shout-out from us to Walker Lyons, who caught that go-ahead throw. That was a big-time catch on the biggest throw of the night, and we loved seeing it.

The game Notre Dame gave away

The Irish lost defensive lineman Boubacar Traore to targeting on BYU’s first series, and then things got weird.

With nine seconds left before halftime at the BYU 5, CJ Carr tried to spike the ball, never fully held onto it, and replay ruled it a fumble. Marcus Freeman said he’d never seen anything like it at Notre Dame. Neither had anyone else.

Points left at the 5 are the ones you remember when you lose by 4.

Sitake almost gave it back

Kalani Sitake called a fake punt in the second half that went nowhere and handed Notre Dame the ball at the BYU 24.

To his credit, Sitake owned it. His defense bailed him out by holding the Irish to field goals on short fields, and Freeman admitted his team had to score touchdowns there and didn’t.

The coach who made the worst call of the night is the one doing interviews on a stormed field.

The ending nobody will forget

Notre Dame converted a fourth-and-2, then a fourth-and-5 with four seconds left, to reach the BYU 8.

Carr’s last pass was deflected in the end zone, there was contact but no flag, and the fans were on the field before anyone checked the clock. On Sunday, the Big 12 admitted a second should have remained and Notre Dame deserved one more play. Sitake said postgame it didn’t matter because it was fourth down. It was first down.

The conference promises a complete review of its end-of-game process, which Notre Dame fans can frame and hang next to the loss.

Somebody better make Kalani happy

This is the part BYU’s administration should read twice.

Last winter, Penn State came after Sitake, and BYU had to scramble to keep him with a long-term deal and what his wife called a “love bomb” from Cougar fans. By summer, he was publicly pushing for more resources, and when reporters asked about NIL, recruiting budgets and facilities, he said his agent would handle all that. In late August, BYU pulled football out from under athletic director Brian Santiago and had Sitake report straight to a university vice president.

Sitake has options, and Saturday night he added the best line on his résumé.

Somebody in Provo better make him happy, because after beating Notre Dame, the next school that calls won’t take no for an answer.

The CHS read

BYU was a double-digit underdog and won its first game over Notre Dame since 2004.

The Cougars jumped to No. 3 in the Coaches Poll, and the Irish fell to No. 8. Freeman isn’t on anybody’s hot seat, but this one exposed a red-zone problem and some first-half discipline issues, and he said as much himself.

Sitake just made the best case of his career that BYU belongs in the playoff conversation, fake punt and all.

4. Sarkisian’s seat is heating up, and he still won’t give up the headset.

Florida 27, No. 6 Texas 24, in Austin, where the Longhorns are now experts at losing leads.

Texas blew a 14-point lead for Arch Manning’s first home loss as a starter, and Florida collected its second top-10 win of the year. A week earlier, the Longhorns blew a 17-7 halftime lead to Oklahoma and lost on a walk-off field goal. That’s two straight losses to teams Texas was supposed to beat, and now Steve Sarkisian won’t rule out benching Manning.

Everything’s on the table, except the headset

After the Oklahoma loss, Sarkisian was asked whether he’d considered handing off playcalling.

“Not a chance,” he said. He’s been telling people for two seasons that calling plays is why he got hired. So, the quarterback with the most famous last name in football might sit, but the guy calling his plays isn’t going anywhere.

A coach who’ll bench his star before he’ll bench himself is a coach who feels the heat.

5. Alabama isn’t Alabama right now.

No. 14 Tennessee 26, No. 7 Alabama 10, in Knoxville, and the cigars were lit in the other locker room.

The Vols pushed Bama around all afternoon behind DeSean Bishop’s 159 yards and two touchdowns, and Keelon Russell threw two interceptions. It’s Alabama’s first back-to-back regular-season losses in nearly two decades, a week after losing at home to Georgia. The last time it happened, Nick Saban was still unpacking boxes in Tuscaloosa.

Kalen DeBoer’s honeymoon ended a while ago. Two straight losses just made it official.

6. Mike Norvell’s road problem is now a résumé problem.

No. 3 Miami 43, Florida State 35, in double overtime, which is Mike Norvell’s version of a moral victory.

FSU tied it with a 75-yard Duce Robinson touchdown late in regulation, then watched a second-overtime Hail Mary get wiped out by a holding call before Miami ended it with an interception. The Seminoles have now lost 14 straight games away from Tallahassee and are 0-13 since 2017 in true road games against ranked teams.

At some point, “close” stops being a compliment, and Norvell is well past that point.

7. Indiana is mortal, and Ohio State paid for proving it.

No. 5 Ohio State 19, No. 4 Indiana 15, in Bloomington, and the Hoosiers finally remembered what losing feels like.

The Buckeyes snapped the defending champs’ 22-game winning streak, Indiana’s first loss since 2024. They also lost quarterback Julian Sayin along the way, and his health is now the only thing anyone in Columbus wants to talk about.

Ryan Day finally beat the team that’s been beating everybody. It may have cost him his quarterback.

8. Penn State’s freefall has a new chapter.

Michigan beat Penn State in Ann Arbor, in a game billed as a Big Ten showdown that turned out to be two teams trying to stop the bleeding.

Matt Campbell’s Nittany Lions came in 3-3 on a three-game skid, and Kyle Whittingham’s Wolverines were 0-2 in the Big Ten. Whittingham yanked Bryce Underwood after his second first-half interception, and freshman Tommy Carr came off the bench to spark the win. A late Rocco Becht fumble set up Carr’s first career touchdown, and Penn State is now 3-4.

Whittingham found a quarterback. Campbell lost another week he didn’t have to spare.

9. The SEC is officially a coin flip.

Alabama, Georgia and Texas lost on the same day for the first time since 1996, which is around when some of these fan bases last panicked this much.

There are no unbeaten teams left in the SEC. Ole Miss held No. 13 Missouri to three points, LSU shut out Mississippi State, and nobody can tell you with a straight face who the best team in the league is.

Parity is great for TV ratings and terrible for job security.

The bottom line: everybody’s coach can’t be No. 1

Every fan base that got its heart broken Saturday wants its coach at the top of the hot seat list, preferably by Monday.

This week, my inbox had votes for Matt Rhule, Kirby Smart, Tosh Lupoi, Steve Sarkisian, Lane Kiffin, and Kalen DeBoer, all for No. 1. Kirby Smart, people. They can’t all be No. 1, and one loss doesn’t put anybody there. It takes seasons of pressure to get to No. 1, and a few angry emails after one bad Saturday won’t do it.

For the record, it’s also the first week all season nobody texted me that Lincoln Riley needs to be No. 1. Enjoy it, Lincoln.

The new Coaches Hot Seat Rankings land Tuesday. Keep the emails coming; the best ones end up in Behind the Numbers, and the angriest ones end up on my refrigerator.

No related posts found.

LOAD MORE BLOG ARTICLES

Coaches Hot Seat Rankings – Week 7

We’re halfway through the 2026 season, and Oct. 17 is going to settle something.

Subscribe to have our weekly rankings sent directly to your inbox.

What a great week. Five of the Top 10 coaches didn’t play, which is the safest thing some of them have done all season.

The other five should have tried it.

Shane Beamer and Lincoln Riley won on the road, and both dropped. Mike Locksley, Jedd Fisch, and Mike Norvell lost, and none of them moved down.

Those three gave up 130 points among them. Last week’s top three also gave up 130.

I checked it twice. I’m no math major, but I can add.

1. Mike Locksley, Maryland (2-4)
Last week: No. 1

Maryland has played three Big Ten games.

UCLA 54, Maryland 3. Nebraska 48, Maryland 23. Ohio State 45, Maryland 16.

That’s 147-42, and the closest the Terrapins have come is 25 points. Nobody expected Maryland to win in Columbus, but at some point you’d like to see the other team break a sweat.

Last week the athletic director said he and Locksley are “aligned.” I’m sure they are. So is a car with three flat tires.

He stays No. 1. At this rate they ought to retire the spot.

2. Greg Schiano, Rutgers (1-4)
Last week: No. 2

Greg Schiano had the week off, and Rutgers didn’t lose. Best weekend they’ve had in a month.

The last time anyone saw the Scarlet Knights, Indiana was scoring 47 on them on homecoming. They’re 1-4 and 0-2 in the Big Ten, and a bye only gives Piscataway an extra week to look at it.

Next up is a trip to Maryland on Oct. 17, No. 2 at No. 1. Someone has to win that game. I’ve watched both teams, and I’m not sure either one knows that.

3. Jedd Fisch, Washington (3-3)
Last week: No. 6

Last week Jedd Fisch jumped 90 spots. This week he moved up three more, so at least he’s consistent.

No. 20 Iowa came to Husky Stadium Friday night and won 41-24. Washington has lost two straight and is 0-3 in the Big Ten. Fisch is 2-7 against ranked teams at Washington and 35-36 as a head coach.

Year three was supposed to be the arrival. Has anyone checked the flight status?

Only two coaches rank above him now, and they’ve won three games between them. That’s the neighborhood.

4. Mike Norvell, Florida State (3-3)
Last week: No. 4

Last week Norvell beat Virginia by 31 and stayed at No. 4. This week Louisville beat him 44-20, and he stayed at No. 4.

Win big, stay put. Get blown out, stay put. If he ties somebody, I’m calling a meeting.

The athletic director who gave him the extension was fired in September. The man who made the bet has left the table, and Norvell is still sitting there with the chips.

Nobody in Tallahassee is grading the scoreboard anymore.

5. Sonny Dykes, TCU (2-3)
Last week: No. 5

TCU had a bye, and Sonny Dykes spent it sitting by the phone.

Two Saturdays ago, 247Sports’ Scoot McGee reported Dykes could be fired as soon as that night. He wasn’t. Seven days of nothing followed, which is either good news or the longest week of his life.

This is the same Sonny Dykes who coached in the national championship game after the 2022 season, and TCU extended him in April. Now it’s 2-3, 0-2 in the Big 12, and headed to Baylor on Oct. 17.

He’s 3-1 in his last four against Dave Aranda. The bad news is that’s the good news.

6. Shane Beamer, South Carolina (3-3)
Last week: No. 3

Shane Beamer went into The Swamp and won by 19. I’d like to say I saw it coming. I’d also like a raise.

South Carolina beat No. 16 Florida 38-19, ending an eight-game SEC losing streak nobody in Columbia will miss. And that 35-34 overtime loss to Kentucky that got him booed off his own field? Kentucky beat No. 10 LSU on Saturday and is now ranked 15th, so Beamer gets to say he lost by a point to a ranked team, as long as nobody asks when it got ranked.

He drops three spots, the biggest fall in the Top 10, and he’s still 1-3 in the SEC. One road win doesn’t end last week’s buyout talk.

But it’s the first week this season South Carolina fans had to argue for him instead of against him.

7. Dave Aranda, Baylor (4-1)
Last week: No. 8

Dave Aranda moved up a spot this week, and he did it from the couch.

Baylor had a bye and is still 4-1 and 2-0 in the Big 12. He climbs because Beamer fell past him on the way down. TCU comes to Waco on Oct. 17, and Aranda has lost that game three of the last four times.

Baylor fans have heard “turning the corner” before. They’d like to see the corner.

8. Luke Fickell, Wisconsin (4-1)
Last week: No. 9

Luke Fickell moved up a spot without playing, because Lincoln Riley won at Penn State and fell right past him.

Wisconsin is 4-1 and 2-0 in the Big Ten, and everyone in Madison feels better. Fickell is still 21-22 there.

That number didn’t take the week off.

9. Lincoln Riley, USC (6-1)
Last week: No. 7

Lincoln Riley won at Penn State, 31-23, and dropped two spots. You’re welcome, Coach.

USC is 6-1, 3-1 in the Big Ten, and ranked 19th. A week ago his own student section was chanting “Fire Lincoln” during a win over Washington. During a win.

I’d hate to hear what they chant during a loss. Then again, they’re college students in Los Angeles, so they might not have noticed the score.

Winning on the road in the Big Ten cooled things off by two spots. Nobody’s forgotten the chant.

10. Deion Sanders, Colorado (2-3)
Last week: No. 10

No game for Colorado this week, so for once nobody left the playbook at the hotel bar. That’s progress.

The Buffaloes are 2-3 and 0-2 in the Big 12. Texas Tech, the team that beat them 29-7, is still unbeaten and ranked 10th, so if Coach Prime wants to say he lost to a Top 10 team, go ahead.

A bye week is the quietest a Deion Sanders team ever gets, and I’m sure he hated every minute of it.

Bubbling Under

Dave Doeren and Phil Longo hold at Nos. 11 and 12, and both lost by at least 24, so nobody can say they’re not earning it. NC State lost 38-14 at home to Wake Forest, now ranked 21st, and Sam Houston lost 35-3 at Liberty to fall to 1-4.

Joe Moorhead moves up one to No. 13 after Akron lost 25-23 at home to Eastern Michigan and fell to 1-5. Somewhere in Ypsilanti they’re still celebrating.

Ryan Silverfield moves up two after Arkansas lost 24-17 at home to then-No. 15 Tennessee. Last week it was 34-7 at Texas A&M, so it’s progress, the way a smaller dent is progress. The paper bags were aimed at the athletic director last week, and every loss moves a little more of that toward the sideline.

Matt Campbell moves up two to No. 15. Penn State moved on from a coach who won games to hire one who’d win the big ones, and Campbell is 0-3 in the Big Ten: Wisconsin, Northwestern, USC. Riley drops two for beating him, and Campbell climbs two for losing.

I didn’t design the system. I just keep the books.

Meanwhile, in Texas

Steve Sarkisian jumped 34 spots, from No. 91 to No. 57, after Oklahoma beat No. 1 Texas 27-24. No. 57 is a long way from the Top 10. Then again, ask Jedd Fisch how long that trip takes.

Mike Elko moves up five to No. 45. After Missouri beat Texas A&M 27-6, somebody asked him about fans losing faith, and he said, “Billy’s cesspool can go be Billy’s cesspool.” Billy is Billy Liucci, co-owner of TexAgs, and the cesspool is the people who buy the tickets.

The Aggies started the season ranked eighth. They’re 3-3, and they’ve scored six points in each of their last two SEC losses.

Sark lost a football game. Elko lost a football game and then picked a fight with the people paying for it.

Circle Oct. 17

Rutgers at Maryland, Schiano at Locksley. TCU at Baylor, No. 5 at No. 7.

One of the top two coaches is going to lose that day. The other one gets to find out whether a win still buys a quiet week.

I now leave you with one suggestion: Don’t bet on it.

See where all 138 coaches rank: https://coacheshotseat.com/#rank

No related posts found.

LOAD MORE BLOG ARTICLES

Week 5 Coaches Hot Seat Rankings

Saturday took down 8 ranked teams, and 5 of them lost in front of their own fans.

The top of the sport got shorter

Florida went first, and it didn’t bother being polite about it.

  • Florida 52, No. 4 Ole Miss 28. Jon Sumrall has spent 10 months calling Florida a sleeping giant, and I kept waiting for somebody to set an alarm. The Gators ran for 302 yards and jumped from No. 21 to No. 8 in Sunday’s poll. They’re 4-0 for the first time since 2019.
  • No. 17 Iowa 20, No. 18 Michigan 19. Iowa went 91 yards in 11 plays and won it on a Hank Brown touchdown pass with 2 seconds left. Michigan led 10-7 at the half and had won 47 straight games in that spot. It’s now 47 out of 48, and Michigan will tell you that’s still pretty good.
  • Wake Forest 30, No. 16 Louisville 27. A week after beating SMU, Louisville lost at home as a two-score favorite.
  • Mississippi State 31, No. 19 Missouri 24. Missouri was 3-0 when it got to Starkville and left with the same number of wins.
  • No. 10 LSU 35, No. 23 Texas A&M 6. A&M has lost 2 straight and scored 6 points in the second one. Mike Elko still has his contract extension, and TexAgs still has its message board.

Penn State and USC also lost at home, and both get their own treatment further down.

The No. 1 team can’t throw it

Texas beat Tennessee 20-17 in Knoxville, and it’s No. 1 in the country with an offense that ranks 111th in yards per play.

Arch Manning got sacked 6 times and was flagged twice for illegal forward passes. Afterward he said he didn’t play very well, but his team played great, and he got the first part right. Colin Simmons tied the school record with 5 sacks and celebrated one by pretending to urinate on the field. Steve Sarkisian looked into it and blamed Twitter.

The voters kept Texas at No. 1, so apparently yards are optional.

The poll let one 4-0 team in

Nobody ranked UCLA in August, and on Sunday the voters finally noticed the Bruins at No. 23.

It took a 54-3 win in College Park to get their attention. Bob Chesney is 4 games into the job, and his team scores 44.8 a game, 7th in the country. Pitt, Duke, Nebraska and UMass are 4-0 and still waiting in the parking lot, and UMass has a win over Rutgers to prove it wasn’t a typo. James Franklin got run off in State College last fall, and his Virginia Tech team is 4-0 and unranked with road wins at Maryland and Boston College. Both of those coaches are on our board, and Franklin didn’t help either one.

Franklin has become the guy who drops by to make other people’s seats warmer.

Georgia played somebody

Georgia came into the weekend carrying the softest schedule in America, and I was starting to wonder whether the Bulldogs would ever leave the house.

Then they finally played somebody and beat Oklahoma 41-13. Their defense allows 3.5 yards a play, the best in the country. Washington went the other way. Voters gave the Huskies 107 points in the previous poll, and Minnesota came to Seattle and beat them 27-24.

That’s the country, and now for the 10 coaches who spent Monday explaining themselves.

1. Michael Locksley, Maryland (2-2). Maryland lost 54-3 at home to UCLA, a team nobody bothered to rank in August, and the Baltimore Sun reported the customers chanting for Locksley’s job while the game was still going on. 247Sports and the Sun had both reported calls for a change before kickoff, so the scoreboard mostly served as supporting evidence. Afterward Locksley said he still has a lot of confidence in himself and his staff to fix it. That makes one of him. Next up is a trip to Nebraska, which is 4-0 and presumably looking forward to it.

2. Mike Norvell, Florida State (2-2). Florida State found an FCS team on the schedule and beat Central Arkansas 34-7, which is the kind of opponent you book when a win is the whole idea. The calls to fire Norvell kept coming anyway, per Yardbarker. That seems ungrateful. The man is 0-5 in one-score games since the start of 2025, and the Bears were kind enough to make sure this wasn’t one.

3. Shane Beamer, South Carolina (2-2). South Carolina lost 49-18 at Alabama, its seventh straight SEC loss going back to last season, and Yahoo Sports reported the critics had moved past the score to whether Beamer has control of his team. Dylan Stewart helped them make the case. The star pass-rusher punched Alabama tight end Josh Ford, then argued with his own coaches when they tried to get him off the field. On Sunday Beamer suspended him indefinitely and said, “There’s a standard of how we do things in our program.” One Gamecocks fan wrote that Beamer “grew a spine,” per Pro Football Network, which counts as a rave from a fan base that was chanting “Fire Beamer” after the Mississippi State loss a week earlier. It’s the right call, and a coach only has to make it once things have already gotten away from him.

4. Greg Schiano, Rutgers (1-3). Rutgers beat Howard 58-7 on Friday night for its first win of the season, and I’d like to be the first to congratulate the Scarlet Knights on going undefeated against the FCS. They are 0-3 against everybody else. The crowd was thin, and NJ.com was nice enough to blame the bad weather and the Friday kickoff. The 58 points would mean more if UMass, which beat Rutgers, had been the one giving them up.

5. Luke Fickell, Wisconsin (3-1). Luke Fickell finally won one that counts, and nobody saw it coming, possibly including Fickell. Wisconsin trailed Penn State 17-0 in State College and won 24-20 on a 72-yard touchdown pass from Colton Joseph to Jacob Harris with 1:13 left. It was the Badgers’ first road win over a ranked team since 2021 and their first win in State College since 2003, so it only took 23 years. That’s 3 straight since the 41-13 loss to Notre Dame. Nobody has to take this one on faith.

6. Dave Aranda, Baylor (3-1). Baylor beat Colorado 23-13 at home, and for once the head coach got the credit for the decisions. Baylor On SI praised him for trusting a 54-yard field goal and for using his punter to win field position. I can’t remember the last time anybody raved about Baylor’s punting plan. The only loss is 17-16 to Auburn. The best team Baylor has beaten is Colorado, and Colorado is 2-2.

7. Lincoln Riley, USC (4-1). Lincoln Riley jumped 13 spots on the board this week, and losing 41-27 at home to No. 20 Oregon was the least of it. Dante Moore was sliding at the end of a scramble in the second quarter when Desman Stephens slammed his head into the turf. Moore left in a neck brace and an ambulance, bound for Los Angeles General, with what sources told CBS Sports is a concussion. Stephens smiled and celebrated while Moore was being treated, which he admitted in his own written apology Sunday, and after his targeting ejection he spent the rest of the game back on the USC sideline. Asked about the celebration, Riley said, “I did not see it. No.” Asked why Stephens was still on the sideline, he said it was because “he’s on our football team.” The equipment manager is on the football team too. By Sunday the same conduct was “unacceptable” in a Riley statement, and the price was 1 game, Saturday against Washington. Dan Lanning called it a disgusting play and said you’d never see that from his players or his coaches. He also said it wasn’t necessarily an indictment of Riley, because he couldn’t speak to what he didn’t see. Shane Beamer didn’t see his own player’s punch in Tuscaloosa either. When he saw the video after the game, he told reporters Saturday night he was embarrassed, and on Sunday he suspended Dylan Stewart indefinitely, the best pass-rusher on his roster, with his future in the program still undecided. Stewart punched a tight end and has no return date. Stephens sent a quarterback to the hospital while smiling about it, and he misses 1 game. Both coaches missed it live, and only one of them called it unacceptable the night it happened.

8. Dave Doeren, NC State (2-2). A week after losing at Vanderbilt on a play designed to run out the clock, NC State beat App State 41-31, and in Raleigh that counts as progress. The Wolfpack led Vanderbilt with 6 seconds left, and the play meant to kill the clock ended with a fumble returned for a touchdown, per USA TODAY. The defense still gave up 31 to a Sun Belt team on Saturday, and the same USA TODAY story counts 8 Power Four wins for NC State since the start of 2024.

9. Phil Longo, Sam Houston (1-3). Phil Longo finally got a normal offseason. He went into 2026 with most of his staff back and a roster put together early enough to coach, per Yahoo Sports, after a year spent rebuilding and playing home games somewhere other than home. All that bought him on Saturday was a 49-14 loss at No. 11 Texas Tech, and he’s 1-3. Imagine the chaos version.

10. Joe Moorhead, Akron (1-3). UNLV came to Akron and won 38-10. Moorhead has gotten credit for taking Akron from 2-win seasons to 4 wins in 2024 and 5 in 2025, its best finish since 2017. That tells you how the rest of the decade went. After the Minnesota loss he blamed turnovers, drops, personal fouls and special-teams mistakes on inconsistent practice. UNLV scored 38.

Where Does Your Coach Rank?

Check out our complete FBS rankings [HERE]. If you like what you see, become a free subscriber and have our weekly Coaches Hot Seat rankings delivered straight to your inbox. Paid subscribers also get our Friday deep dive diagnosis on a single coach that week, and an email course showing you how we rank every coach. Plus insights that will have your friends ask: How did you know?

No related posts found.

LOAD MORE BLOG ARTICLES

Arkansas Bought Ryan Silverfield’s Memphis Record, and the Ratings Underneath It Say the Razorbacks Downgraded

Ryan Silverfield stood at the microphones this week and said he was glad Arkansas football fans cared enough to be this angry.

He has coached two games. The Razorbacks lost 43-10 at Utah on Saturday night, down 29-3 at the half, and by Sunday afternoon Mike Irwin, one of the longest-serving reporters on the beat, was telling fans to call the chairman of the board of trustees about the athletic director. By Monday, upper-level seats for the Georgia game were listed at $35 on SeatGeek. The new coach thanked everyone for caring.

Nobody has told him the crowd is not there for him.

The man holding the bag

Hunter Yurachek has hired this coach multiple times, once in December and once again every time he opens his mouth.

In December, he stood beside his new hire and explained that Sam Pittman had not been given the resources to compete in the SEC, which is an athletic director announcing that the previous six years were his own doing and waiting for the room to admire his candor. He promised the new money would push Arkansas into the top half of the league. The Athletic’s estimate of 2026 roster spending puts Arkansas last in the SEC at $22 million to $25 million, against a league average of $33 million to $38 million. Football under Yurachek has gone 36-61 overall and 14-52 in conference play across eight seasons, and the Razorbacks are 1-10 at home against SEC teams since the start of 2023.

Hunter, when the fan base does the math better than the athletic department, the math isn’t what went wrong.

The coach has been doing a second job since the day he landed.

On his first radio show in August, Silverfield told Arkansas that most of his time goes into raising money. He was not complaining. He has said he would raise $100 million or pick up trash, whatever the job asks, and he means it, and at Memphis he pulled corporate money out of FedEx while everyone else in the American was passing a hat. Arkansas hired a head coach in December and put him on the road with a pledge card.

Then the team committed 8 penalties against an FCS opponent and got run out of Salt Lake City by 33 points.

The number the search never ran

A rating settles whether this hire was research or a rescue, and it takes two lines.

The Simple Rating System grades a team by scoring margin adjusted for the schedule it played, with 0 as average. Silverfield’s six Memphis teams averaged +2.84 against schedules rated 3.30 points below average. Pittman’s five full Arkansas teams averaged +5.38 against schedules rated 5.16 points above average. The 2-10 wreck that got Pittman fired still rated +2.18 while playing the 9th-hardest schedule in the country, which is to say the worst Arkansas team in a generation rated within a field goal of the Silverfield career average.

Arkansas fired the higher-rated coach and handed the lower-rated one a $33.5 million contract.

Figure 1. Season SRS for Memphis under Silverfield and Arkansas under Pittman, 2020 through 2025, with each season’s strength of schedule beneath. Arkansas 2025 includes the seven games coached by interim Bobby Petrino after Pittman’s firing. Source: Sports Reference season data,

The record, and the fine print

Silverfield’s Memphis record is 50-25. Read what is under it.

  • The league never saw Silverfield in December. Silverfield went 27-21 in American Athletic Conference play and never once reached the title game. Mike Norvell, the man whose office he took over, played in three straight title games from 2017 through 2019 on that same campus.
  • The ratings never caught the record. Memphis never finished higher than 39th nationally in SRS under Silverfield. The 11-2 team of 2024 finished 50th.
  • Even the American thought his schedule was soft. Memphis never played a schedule ranked better than 75th in the country during Silverfield’s tenure. In 2024, the year of the 11 wins, it ranked 117th.
  • The last team faded on the way out. The 2025 Tigers started 8-1 and lost each of their final three regular-season games, the last a 28-17 home loss to Navy. Arkansas hired him three days after that.

None of it is a scandal. It is a coach who won exactly what Memphis asks a coach to win, sold to an SEC school at SEC prices.

The streak that sold the hire

The selling point was four straight wins over big-time opponents, and ESPN had it in the opening lines of the announcement.

Here are the four. Iowa State in the 2023 Liberty Bowl, Florida State in 2024, West Virginia in the 2024 Frisco Bowl, Arkansas in September of 2025. Those teams finished 17-33 combined. Two of them went 2-10, and one of the 2-10 teams liked the beating enough to hire the man who administered it.

Arkansas lost to Ryan Silverfield by 1 point and bought him.

Figure 2. Every Memphis game against a big-conference opponent under Silverfield, 2020 through 2025, by final margin, with each opponent’s final record. The 4 wins in the streak came against teams that finished 17-33 combined. Source: Sports Reference game results, CHS Hot Seat Diagnosis workbook.

Now the good news

Let’s be fair to Silverfield. He’s earned at least that much.

His Memphis teams were penalized 43.5 yards a game, cleaner than Norvell’s teams and cleaner than Pittman’s. They gave the ball away less than either. They never had a losing season; they won every bowl game he coached as the permanent head coach, and they were blown out by 17 or more just four times in six years. The program also climbed from an SRS of -1.29 in his first full season to +6.29 in 2023 and a 29-9 record over his final three years.

That is a competent, disciplined football program, and in the SEC, it buys a coach about a season and a half.

The matrix, and what the colors say

Our analysis sets his Memphis tenure beside Norvell’s Memphis and Pittman’s Arkansas.

Norvell is the same-school baseline, in the same building and the same league. Pittman is the SEC bar Arkansas decided was beneath it. The shading grades Silverfield against Norvell alone, green where he beats the Memphis baseline and red where he trails, because folding an American schedule and an SEC schedule into one average would hide the only adjustment that matters here. Pittman’s column sits there so the SEC number stays in view.

Table 1. Tenure totals and per-game averages. Silverfield at Memphis 2020 through 2025, with the 2019 Cotton Bowl in his game-level records. Norvell at Memphis 2016 through 2019. Pittman at Arkansas 2020 through 2024 for season and per-game rows, with his 2-3 start in 2025 in the game-level records. Green and red compare Silverfield with Norvell, with defense, giveaways, penalties, and blowout losses flipped so lower is better.

I counted the colors twice. Silverfield trails Norvell on 24 rows, beats him on 10, and ties 2.

The red rows are the ones that get coaches hired and fired: overall record, conference record, record against ranked teams, home, road, weeks in the AP poll, title game trips, both SRS rows, scoring margin. The green rows are points allowed, rushing yards allowed, giveaways, penalty yards. Some of that green belongs to the era, since Norvell’s American scored more. The rest belongs to a staff that keeps its shoes tied.

Tidy is a virtue. It is not a résumé.

Two Saturdays, and the promise he broke first

Silverfield spent nine months promising Arkansas would be the best team in America at the things a team controls.

He meant it enough to sit down with the game-day parking staff. Then North Alabama, an FCS team, came to Fayetteville, and Arkansas committed 8 penalties for 74 yards, lost the turnover battle 3-1, and the coach called the first half one of the sloppiest halves of football he had been associated with. At Utah, KJ Jackson went 14 of 34 before he was pulled; the Utes broke up 13 passes playing man coverage, and Utah gained 7.1 yards per play. The parking, by all accounts, was excellent.

Set the Memphis averages beside the first two weeks of the promise.

  • Penalty yards. Memphis averaged 43.5 a game under him. Arkansas is at 65.0.
  • Giveaways. Memphis averaged 1.2 a game. Arkansas is at 2.0.
  • Yards per carry. Memphis ran for 4.5. Arkansas is at 2.7, including sacks.
  • Points. Memphis scored 34.1 a game. Arkansas is at 20.5, and 31 of its 41 points came against the FCS team.

Two games prove nothing about a season and everything about a slogan.

The roster is his, all of it

There is no inherited-mess defense available here, because the mess is mostly his own shopping.

He brought in nearly 80 new players, including 42 transfers, the most in the SEC by PFF’s count, after the 2025 roster lost starters at defensive tackle and offensive tackle to the portal. KJ Jackson, the only quarterback Arkansas returned, started last year’s finale against Missouri and threw for 441 yards in limited work. AJ Hill, a Memphis freshman who followed his coach west, finished the Utah game. PFF’s preseason preview built the backfield around Braylen Russell and Memphis transfer Sutton Smith, and that backfield is averaging 2.7 yards per carry.

Offensive Coordinator Tim Cramsey came from Memphis, where his offenses averaged 36.3 points a game over four seasons as coordinator, and he now runs an offense scoring 20.5.

Defense coordinator duties went to Ron Roberts, who spent two seasons at Florida, where his units finished 12th in the SEC in scoring both years, and who was dismissed at Baylor by Dave Aranda. Deron Wilson stayed on as co-defensive coordinator after coaching the Arkansas secondary through 2023 and 2024. Chad Lunsford, once the head coach at Georgia Southern, is the special teams coach. The unit Roberts inherited gave up 33.8 points a game in 2025.

Arkansas fixed the worst defense in the SEC by hiring a coordinator from the 12th-best one in the SEC.

What Arkansas already knew about Silverfield

An Arkansas insider who covers the Razorbacks says the anger did not start at Utah.

The vast majority of the fan base, he says, “didn’t want Silverfield hired at all” and wanted “any name but his.” The coach then said and did the right things for nine months, and if he overpromised on discipline, it was because he had a 2-10 culture to rip out and nothing else to sell. Arkansas was prepared to forgive a bad season. It was not prepared for a season worse than the low bar it had already set, which the insider says is why the whole thing went “up in flames super early.” He puts 75% of Silverfield’s first offseason on the fundraising trail and calls that a major red flag.

Ryan, when your own fan base grades the fundraising above the football, the football has to show up fast.

Two more scoreboards make it worse.

Auburn hired Alex Golesh away from South Florida on November 30, the same day Arkansas hired Silverfield, and Auburn is 2-0 after beating Baylor 17-16 in Atlanta. Silverfield beat Golesh all three times they met in the American, which sounds like a point in his favor until the ratings turn up: Golesh’s last South Florida team rated +10.67, more than double the +4.79 of Silverfield’s last Memphis team. Back in Memphis, Charles Huff is 2-1 with the program Silverfield left behind. When CHS raised those two names, the insider laughed and agreed it does not help.

Memphis coverage described its fans as relieved to see Silverfield go, Arkansas fans were sick about getting him, and both groups were reading the same numbers.

Patience for a first-year coach

The best argument for patience is the same Memphis chart that convicts him, read left to right.

His first three Memphis teams averaged an SRS of +0.50 and his last three averaged +5.19, which lands within 0.2 of Pittman’s five-year SEC average. The man builds slowly; his two worst ratings were his first two seasons, and he has now rebuilt a roster from scratch in nine months. Arkansas went 0-6 in games decided by 8 points or fewer last season while his Memphis teams went 19-15 in those games, so a coach who finishes close ones could pull back three wins the scoreboard already owed this program. Pittman’s better ratings, for that matter, produced a 32-34 record and a firing, which is a useful reminder that SRS pays nobody’s buyout.

The climb happened against schedules that never ranked better than 85th in the country, which means the flattering half of his career never left the American.

The season the schedule wrote

The remaining 10 games were drawn up by somebody with a grudge.

Georgia comes to Fayetteville on Saturday, then Tulsa. October ships Arkansas to Texas A&M and Vanderbilt around a home date with Tennessee, and Missouri arrives on Halloween. November has Auburn and Texas on the road with South Carolina at home in between, and LSU closes it out. The market never priced this team for a winning season, and after Utah it is pricing Saturday as a formality.

Tulsa at home and South Carolina at home are the two Saturdays where a Memphis-built team ought to look like the Memphis teams did.


The Market Read

The number that matters is 4.5, the preseason win total Covers listed on Arkansas, with the under at -200.

BetMGM hung it a full win lower at 3.5. Both were posted on the Memphis résumé before a snap, and both said the same thing: the market never believed the record would travel. North Alabama arrived as a 40.5-point underdog and lost by 17. Georgia opened -24.5 at FanDuel, with ESPN’s FPI giving the Bulldogs a 96% chance.

The public and the numbers are at odds. The public is still paying for 50-25. The market is paying for the ratings under it. The value window is the two home dates where discipline decides more than talent: Tulsa and South Carolina, because that is the only environment in which the Memphis profile has ever produced. The fade window is the SEC road stretch, where Arkansas went 7-16 away from home under Pittman and Silverfield’s own Memphis teams finished 14-15 on the road. The predictive tell is the penalty column, which is running 21.5 yards a game above his Memphis average and has to fall before anything else in this profile transfers.

The win total is not a forecast. It is the market’s grade on the hire, and it was posted before a snap of this season.


What would change this read?

Four things would move it, and a win over an overmatched team isn’t one of them.

  • Flags under 50 yards a game. Silverfield’s Memphis teams averaged 43.5. Arkansas is at 65.0, and that number coming down is the first evidence the strengths made the trip.
  • A win decided by 8 points or fewer. Arkansas went 0-6 in those last season. He went 19-15 in them at Memphis. A single close SEC win is worth more than a month of tune-ups.
  • An SEC win in Fayetteville. The program is 1-10 at home against the league since 2023, and five more chances are sitting on this schedule.
  • A run game that functions. Arkansas is averaging 2.7 yards per carry. A 4-yard average against an SEC front would say the Memphis offense can block this league.

Any two of those by the end of November and the Memphis record starts looking like the coach instead of the schedule.

Bottom line

The call is that the seat is hot, the coach is exactly what his ratings advertised, and the hottest chair in the building belongs to the athletic director.

Silverfield is a disciplined, organized program-builder whose teams graded as a good American Athletic Conference outfit and never once as anything larger. Arkansas looked at 50-25 and four straight wins over big-time opponents and never asked what the 17-33 behind the streak meant or what a schedule rated 8 points softer does to a record. The counter is that his Memphis climb took four years and that two games with a brand-new roster settle nothing, and that counter is strong enough to keep Utah from being the verdict. The call holds anyway, because the best three-year stretch of his career rated a shade below the coach Arkansas fired for going 32-34.

He will get his four years, or most of them, because firing him without cause costs 70% of what remains on a deal that runs through 2030 and still sits near $19 million after this season. That is the safest seat in Fayetteville, and everybody in the state knows it, which is why the noise has moved up a floor.

Grade the coach on the penalty column and the fourth quarter. Grade the athletic director on the two numbers nobody in his office ran before he made the offer and signed the contract.


Want to know how we rank the coaches every week?

Get the free Coaches Evaluation Scorecard, the same card we grade with. It comes with a 5-day email course that walks through how to use it, and you’ll get the weekly rankings in your inbox as they are published.

No related posts found.

LOAD MORE BLOG ARTICLES

WEEK 3 – 2026 COACHES HOT SEAT RANKINGS

Ryan Day led by 20 points in the fourth quarter Saturday night and moved 56 spots up the Coaches Hot Seat Rankings by Sunday morning.

That’s the biggest one-week jump anybody has made this season, and it happened to a man who went into the weekend sitting 115th with a playoff bracket on his mind. Texas took the last 21 points in Austin and won 24-23. Day didn’t coach any worse in the fourth quarter than he had in the first 3. He lost, and this board only speaks one language.

Here’s the read on Week 3.

Of the 86 games played, the ones that moved this board were the ones against opponents capable of winning them. Nearly every coach who cooled off did it by beating somebody with no business on a big-time schedule, and nearly every coach who heated up did it by losing to somebody real. The week graded the calendar more than it graded the coaching.

What moved and why

  • Ryan Day went from 115th to 59th, and it cost him 1 quarter. Ohio State led 23-3 entering the fourth at Texas and lost 24-23, which knocks down the 2-year win column and the record-against-ranked-teams column inside the same 15 minutes. He’s still 59th, so nobody should confuse this with a hot seat. The point is that 56 spots were sitting there the whole time, waiting on 1 bad quarter.
  • Brent Venables climbed 18 spots to 17th on a 17-10 loss at Michigan. Oklahoma walked in ranked 11th and walked out ranked 24th, and the column that punished him is the one counting games against the AP Top 25. He wins 73 percent of his games in the 2-year window and 38 percent against ranked teams. That second number is the entire profile, and it didn’t get better in Ann Arbor.
  • P.J. Fleck moved 11 spots into the top 10 after Mississippi State came to Minneapolis and won 38-13. It’s year 10, the Gophers were outrushed 252 to 13, and Fleck’s Monday answer was penalties and communication. “The penalties absolutely killed us,” he said, and he added that what he loves about this team is their fight. Fight is what you discuss when the rushing number is 13.
  • Jeff Choate rose 41 spots to 68th because Nevada lost 20-7 at Montana State. Losing to an FCS opponent in September is the cleanest way to heat a seat in this system, and Choate found it on the road in Bozeman.
  • Joe Moorhead cooled 10 spots, from 9th to 19th, for beating Robert Morris 45-10. Akron hung 45 on a team that has no reason to be on the schedule and it counted as a win, because it was. That’s 10 spots of relief bought at wholesale.
  • Dabo Swinney fell 7 spots to 13th on a 22-7 win over Georgia Southern. Clemson scored 22 points at home a week after LSU beat them 51-10, and a September date against a Sun Belt team cooled him anyway.

The top of the board

Greg Schiano is the No. 1 hot seat in college football at 0-2, and he earned it the hard way.

Rutgers lost 37-21 at home to a UMass team that hadn’t won a game since October of 2024, as a favorite of nearly 30 points, and Schiano called the performance embarrassing. 8 days later, the Scarlet Knights went to Chestnut Hill and lost 28-21 to a Boston College team that had already been beaten by 19 at Cincinnati. That leaves him with 5 wins in his last 14 games and none in the 2 most winnable dates on his schedule. His composite sits at 96.4.

Mike Norvell is 2nd at 92.4, a gap of 4 points, and the way he got there tells you what kind of week this was.

Norvell didn’t play. Florida State was on a bye, and he still earned a spot because everyone near him got worse. Luke Fickell dropped from 1st to 3rd for beating Western Illinois 36-9. The top of this board rearranged itself over games the top of this board largely sat out.

Schiano has been in it; he’d like everyone to know. Asked about the UMass loss, he reached for Teddy Roosevelt and told the room, “I’ve been in it for 39 years.”

39 years, and 5 wins in the last 14.

Top 25 on the board

Click the button below to see the full ranking of all 138 FBS coaches.

The seat nobody is watching

Tim Albin sits 12th on this board, and I haven’t found his name on a national list all month.

Charlotte opened as a favorite by more than 20 points against The Citadel, an FCS program, and lost 43-41 in triple overtime at home. The 49ers gave up 268 rushing yards and 6 rushing touchdowns to a team that runs the option without apology. A week later, Ole Miss beat them 41-9 in Oxford. Albin’s record at Charlotte is 1-13.

That’s the number, and it’s the reason the board has him ahead of Swinney, ahead of Beamer, ahead of Venables. The only win came against Monmouth last September.

“My heart hurts for the staff and the fan base,” Albin said after The Citadel.

He won a conference championship at Ohio in 2024. He has won 1 game since he left Athens.

Looking ahead to next week

Saturday hands this board 2 games with a hot seat on both sidelines.

  • Akron at Minnesota, noon. Moorhead is 19th, and Fleck is 6th, and 1 of them leaves Minneapolis with a September win over an FBS opponent. If it’s Moorhead, the top 5 gets a new resident.
  • Eastern Michigan at Wisconsin, 12:30. Creighton is 18th, and Fickell is 3rd, and Camp Randall is supposed to make this one boring. A close fourth quarter here lands on the 3rd seat, not the 18th.
  • USC at Rutgers, 3:30 on CBS. Schiano gets the 12th-ranked Trojans at home with AJ Surace at quarterback, the same Surace who threw 3 touchdowns and 4 interceptions at Boston College. Nothing on this date is built to cool the No. 1 seat.
  • Florida State at Alabama, 3:30 on ABC. Norvell hasn’t won a road game since November of 2023, a streak that now runs 1,024 days, and the bye did nothing to shorten it. Tuscaloosa either ends that number or makes it the story of his season.
  • NC State at Vanderbilt, 12:45. Doeren is 5th, Vanderbilt won 10 games last year, and this is the first result of his season that carries real information.
  • Charlotte at App State, 6:00. Albin needs a win badly enough that a respectable loss won’t buy him anything.

Bottom line

A September win over a team with a losing record is worth exactly what you paid for it.

Want to win the debate every single time?

Get our free Coaches Evaluation Scorecard + our 5-day mini-course on how to use it like a pro. Plus, get our weekly coach rankings delivered straight to your inbox. Sign up below.

No related posts found.

LOAD MORE BLOG ARTICLES

Week 2 Coaches Hot Seat Rankings

Luke Fickell takes over at 1 after Wisconsin was outscored 28‑3 in the second half at Lambeau Field, and Dabo Swinney climbed 44 spots after losing by 41.

Luke Fickell had Notre Dame beaten at halftime, and 86 seconds later he was the hottest seat in America.

He had company. Every other man on this board who played a football game lost too, with 1 exception, and the exception got punished for it. Mike Locksley beat somebody 62‑0 on Saturday, and this board dropped him 3 spots. Dave Doeren never left the house and climbed 5.

Anybody who finds that backward can take it up with the scoreboard. It lied twice on Saturday and again on Monday night.

Dabo Swinney moved 44 spots.

The season is 5 days old.

Get these rankings sent directly to your inbox weekly – subscribe to the Coaches Hot Seat Newsletter:

The Week 2 board

Figure 1. The Week 2 Coaches Hot Seat top 10, with each coach’s position on the Week 1 board published August 31.

1.    Luke Fickell and the 86 seconds

Give the man his 30 minutes.

Wisconsin led 13‑10 at the break at Lambeau Field, with 75,939 people in the seats, against a Notre Dame team that would be ranked 3rd in the country by Tuesday afternoon. Then the Irish scored 14 points in 86 seconds of the third quarter. DJ McKinney took a Colton Joseph pass 55 yards the other way, and nobody laid a hand on him. The Badgers managed 3 points the rest of the night.

Final score: Notre Dame 41, Wisconsin 13.

“I don’t have a great explanation for the second half,” Fickell said.

Nobody in Madison has asked him for one in 4 years.

Wisconsin has this instead:

  • 7,193 people quit buying tickets. A 13.1% drop, and an athletic department that believed them enough to write ticket revenue down 11.6% in its own budget. Chanting is free. Nobody cancels 7,193 season tickets by accident.
  • The record is 16‑22. 3 full seasons and 1 game in Madison, all of it pointing the same direction.
  • The schedule was supposed to be the gift. No Ohio State. No Oregon. No Michigan. No Indiana. Wisconsin cleared his calendar of every excuse it could find, and he opened against the 1 non-conference opponent left on it capable of embarrassing him.

They hired Luke Fickell to put a ceiling on a program that used to win 9 games a year in its sleep. 3 years later, the Badgers cannot locate the floor with a flashlight.

He takes the top spot from a man who lost by less.

2.    Greg Schiano and the 8 possessions

Greg Schiano scored a touchdown on his opening drive Thursday night and then took the rest of the evening off.

8 straight possessions, no points. UMass 37, Rutgers 21, in Piscataway, where Rutgers had the post-game fireworks show lined up in advance, seemingly expecting a win.

The winner deserves a good look. UMass went 0‑12 last season and came in on a 16-game losing streak. UMass had not beaten an FBS opponent since a win over Army in 2023. Rutgers was favored by roughly 28, and the Minutemen answered that opening touchdown with 30 unanswered points while Dylan Lonergan, imported from Boston College to solve the quarterback position, threw 3 interceptions and lost a fumble.

Now somebody in New Jersey must live with it.

The UMass head coach is Joe Harasymiak. From 2022 to 2024, he ran Greg Schiano’s defense and was twice nominated for the prestigious Broyles Award after building a top-20 national defense.

Schiano’s 2025 defense finished last in the FBS, all 136 of them, at 7.6 yards allowed per play. His old coordinator brought a winless roster into that stadium, and his team moved the ball whenever the mood struck. A bad Thursday looks nothing like that. Schiano watched his own methods work beautifully from the wrong sideline.

Schiano has coached 208 games at Rutgers across 2 tenures and won 99.

People in New Brunswick have been saying for years that Greg Schiano is the only man alive who can win in Piscataway. Thursday night was the first time that stopped sounding like a compliment.

3.    Mike Norvell and the 585 yards

The genius got outgained by 261 yards, won the turnover battle by 3, and lost anyway.

SMU beat Florida State 27‑24 on Monday night in a stadium that lost power and pushed kickoff back nearly 2 hours, and the lights were not the only thing in Tallahassee that went out early. The Mustangs put up 585 yards. Florida State managed 324, took the ball away 4 times, and converted all of that into 7 points. Bill Connelly’s postgame model gave the Seminoles a 1.4% chance of winning a game they lost by 3.

Doak Campbell booed him when the video board found him.

Norvell went 0‑4 in one-score games last season. He is 0‑5 now.

That number is the entire case against him, and it fits on a napkin. Hand this man 4 extra possessions, a home crowd and a 3-point deficit in the fourth quarter, and he will find a way to give it back. He has done it 5 times in a row.

Florida State still has not won a road game since November of 2023. Monday was at home, so the streak got the night off, along with everybody in garnet who was supposed to tackle Kevin Jennings.

He drops to 3 because 2 other men had worse weekends. Nothing in Tallahassee got better.

4.    Mike Locksley and the 62 points that cost him 3 spots

Mike Locksley beat somebody 62‑0, and this board moved him down, and the only thing he can blame is his own schedule.

Maryland gained 646 yards. Maryland ran for 365 on 40 carries. Maryland scored 6 rushing touchdowns. Maryland held Hampton to 85 total yards, and 10 of them on the ground. Hampton plays in the FCS and had never once in its history lined up across from a big-time program.

“Excited again that we were able to get a win for the first time in a long time,” Locksley said.

That is the head coach of a Big Ten football program describing a shutout of Hampton as a special occasion.

The awful part is that he is right. Maryland had not won a football game in almost 11 months. The Terrapins dropped the final 8 games of 2025 and then waited out the summer for Hampton to arrive and break the drought. The non-conference winning streak now stands at 19, the longest active run in the FBS. Nobody in this country beats the teams that agreed in advance to lose quite like Mike Locksley.

The seat cools 3 spots. It cools the way a stove cools when somebody opens a window.

Every game that made it hot is still on the schedule.

5.    Dave Doeren and the 0 snaps

Dave Doeren climbed 5 spots without leaving the house.

NC State did not play. The only football Raleigh has seen in 2026 is a 34‑8 loss at Virginia, 168 total yards, 3.3 per play, and a fan base that started the argument before this newsletter printed a number. He moved up 5 anyway, because 3 men above him fell off the board.

Richmond comes to Carter-Finley on Friday.

Fourteenth season, FCS opponent, 4 days after an idle Saturday, his own supporters spent relitigating him. Somebody in Raleigh should check on the man.

6.    Dave Aranda and the 1-point

Dave Aranda intercepted the other quarterback 3 times and lost by 1.

Auburn 17, Baylor 16, in Atlanta. Byrum Brown made his first start for the Tigers, threw 3 picks, and won. DJ Lagway went 27-of-54 for 333 yards and got Baylor into the end zone on 4th-and-goal with 9 seconds to play, and Aranda sent the offense back out for 2 points rather than take the tie. It died a yard short of the line.

Nobody in Waco is arguing with that call, and neither am I. The call was never the problem.

Aranda is 36‑38 at Baylor with 1 winning season since the 2021 conference title. A team that takes the football away from a first-time starter 3 times and still loses by a point had already told on itself long before anybody lined up for a conversion.

7.    Butch Jones and the 4 interceptions

Butch Jones led 3 separate times before halftime and handed Memphis the football 4 times, and only 1 of those facts made it into the final.

Memphis 42, Arkansas State 24. Trey Owens, the Texas transfer, threw for 325 yards in his first career start, and Jones announced afterward that Owens keeps the starting job. Memphis ran for 335 on its way to 523 total yards while Jaylin Carter scored 4 touchdowns, 3 of them after the break.

Jones is 26‑38 in Jonesboro across 6 seasons, and his point differential has finished negative in every one of them, including the 8‑5 that Arkansas keeps holding up as evidence.

6 years is long enough to stop calling it a rebuild.

Eight, Nine and Ten: The 44 spots and the 30 spots

2 men climbed into this top 10 from the middle of the board, and 1 of them covered 44 spots to get here.

Dabo Swinney, Clemson, 50 to 6. LSU won 51‑10 with better than 600 yards of offense, the worst beating of Swinney’s Clemson career. He spent the summer calling his own roster a bunch of nobodies. Lane Kiffin agreed with him in Baton Rouge, in public, by 41. The loss has fans and experts questioning if his older methods still work in modern college football. Candidly, I don’t think Clemson will fire him – his buyout is too high – but a negotiated exit or Swinney stepping down at the end of the season are both realistic options.

Bill O’Brien, Boston College, 40 to 10. Cincinnati won 34‑15 while JC French ran for 3 touchdowns and threw for a 4th. Boston College went 2‑10 a year ago and opened the sequel getting outscored by 19.

Joe Moorhead, Akron, 12 to 9. Wake Forest 38, Akron 16, with the Zips opening as a 24.5-point underdog. Moorhead is 13‑36 at Akron and has never finished a season above .500 there. This is his 5th.

The 3 who came off

Lance Leipold, Matt Rhule, and Chris Creighton are gone from this board, and none of them did anything to earn the favor.

Leipold sat at 5 a week ago. Creighton sat at 9. Their seats did not cool by a degree. 5 other men simply had a worse 5 days, and that is how a top 10 behaves in September. A coach doesn’t get relief around here. Somebody else just steps in front of him.

What Friday night settles

Greg Schiano goes to Chestnut Hill on Friday to play Bill O’Brien.

Number 2 on this board against number 10, 4 days after both lost to opponents they had no business losing to. Whoever loses spends next week explaining it to the other, and both know precisely how it will read in this space.

Somebody will be number 1 on this board next Tuesday, and it may well be whichever of them loses.

The rule for this week

Check who a man beat before checking whether he won.

Mike Locksley won by 62 and fell 3 spots because Hampton is an FCS program that had never played a big-time opponent in its life. Greg Schiano lost by 16 and climbed 6, because UMass went 0‑12 last year and the man holding the clipboard on the other side of the stadium used to work for him. The scoreboard reported both games accurately and got both wrong.

The only 2 men on this board who did not lose a football game over the weekend are ranked 5th and 7th on it.

Nobody made a mistake.

Get these rankings sent directly to your inbox weekly – subscribe to the Coaches Hot Seat Newsletter:

No related posts found.

LOAD MORE BLOG ARTICLES