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The $87 Million Question: Hugh Freeze and Auburn’s Football Gamble

Mark Haines on October 9, 2024

Auburn University finds itself at a crossroads in the gladiatorial college football arena, where millionaire coaches pace sidelines and billion-dollar TV deals fuel an insatiable machine. The whispers have already started. The faithful readers of CoachesHotSeat.com, those amateur Nostradamuses of the gridiron, are asking the question that sends shivers down the spine of every Auburn fan: Could Hugh Freeze be fired this year?

It’s a question that isn’t just about wins and losses. It’s about cold, hard cash—$87 million of it, to be exact.

That’s the jaw-dropping sum Auburn has either already spent or might have to spend on coaching changes. $67 million shelled out since 2000 to make coaches go away, and potentially another $20 million waiting in the wings for Freeze. It’s a number that would make Wall Street blush and leave most university presidents reaching for the antacid. And now, less than two years into his tenure, Hugh Freeze might be the next name on that expensive list.

Let’s examine the situation at Auburn and see if Freeze will pack his bags before the leaves change color next fall.

The Freeze Gambit

679 days ago, Auburn rolled the dice on Hugh Freeze.

Picture this: A coach with a checkered past but an undeniable offensive mind parachuting into a program desperate to wash away the stench of the Bryan Harsin era. Freeze arrived talking a “big game”. He’d develop quarterbacks. He’d close the talent gap. He’d turn things around “fairly fast.”

Fast forward to today, and Auburn fans wonder if they’ve been sold a bill of goods.

The 2024 season has been a tire fire of epic proportions. Three home losses, including a humiliating defeat to Cal, have left the Tigers staring down the barrel of their fourth straight losing season. Bowl eligibility? That’s a pipe dream at this point.

But here’s the kicker: If Auburn wants to pull the plug on the Freeze experiment on December 1, 2024, it’ll cost them a cool $20,312,500. That’s not a typo. That’s the price of failure in the SEC.

The Quarterback Whisperer Who Lost His Voice

Freeze built his reputation on offensive fireworks and quarterback development. At Arkansas State, Ole Miss, and Liberty, his offenses lit up scoreboards like pinball machines. But at Auburn? The offense has all the potency of a wet firecracker.

Michigan State transfer Payton Thorne was supposed to be the answer. Instead, he’s become the poster child for Freeze’s struggles. Interceptions have become his love language, and Freeze’s public criticism of his signal-caller has raised eyebrows across the college football landscape.

Bo Wallace, who played under Freeze at Ole Miss, didn’t mince words: “We’re approaching the point that he’s thrown so many quarterbacks under the bus that maybe no one wants to play for him?? Don’t be a coward and blame it on kids.”

Ouch.

The $87 Million Elephant in the Room

Now, let’s talk about that $87 million. Since 2000, Auburn has burned through coaches like a teenager with their first credit card. Tommy Tuberville, Gene Chizik, Gus Malzahn, Bryan Harsin – each departure came with a price tag that would make most Fortune 500 companies blush. And if Freeze joins this not-so-illustrious club, the total bill will hit a staggering $87 million.

It’s a number that begs the question: What could Auburn have done with that money instead? How many academic scholarships could it have funded? How many state-of-the-art facilities could it have built? Hell, how many Cam Newtons could it have bought? (That’s a joke, NCAA. Please don’t investigate.)

But here’s the rub: In the arms race that is college football, Auburn isn’t alone. Texas A&M, another SEC school with more money than sense, has reportedly spent nearly $95 million on coaching buyouts in the same timeframe.

It’s madness. But it’s the madness that defines modern college football.

The Recruiting Paradox

Here’s where things get weird. Freeze and his staff are crushing it on the recruiting trail despite the on-field dumpster fire. Auburn’s 2025 class is ranked 3rd nationally. The 2026 class? It’s sitting pretty at 2nd.

It’s like watching a magician pull rabbits out of a hat while the theater burns down around him. Impressive? Sure. But also a little beside the point.

The $20 Million Question

So here we are. Auburn is staring down the barrel of another lost season. They’ve got a coach who can’t seem to develop quarterbacks or win games but can convince 17-year-olds that Auburn is the place to be. They’re facing a potential $20 million buyout for a coach less than two years into his tenure.

What’s a tiger to do?

The coming weeks will be crucial. Games against Oklahoma, Missouri, and the Death Star, which is Alabama, loom large. If Freeze can engineer a miracle turnaround, he might buy himself more time. If not? Well, Auburn might find itself reaching for the checkbook once again.

Whatever happens, one thing is clear: The situation at Auburn is a perfect microcosm of the beautiful, maddening, financially irresponsible world of college football. It’s a world where the pressure to win trumps all, fiscal responsibility is an afterthought, and the next big payday is always just one coaching change away.

As for Hugh Freeze and Auburn? They’re just along for the ride, hoping they can get off before the bill comes due.

What do you think? Should Auburn stick with Freeze?

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Week 7 – Hot Seat Rankings Overview

Mark Haines on October 8, 2024

In college football’s high-stakes arena, where multimillion-dollar decisions hinge on the outcome of a single play, a silent countdown ticks away. We’re approaching the season’s midpoint, that critical juncture where athletic directors start crunching numbers that have nothing to do with touchdowns or field goals.

Welcome to this week’s Coaches Hot Seat Rankings, where we peel back the curtain on the beautifully absurd world of college football economics.

Forget win-loss records for a moment (though they’re the fuel that feeds this fire). Forget rivalry games and conference standings (the kindling, if you will). Today, we’re diving headfirst into the labyrinthine world of contract buyouts—those golden parachutes that can turn a simple firing into a financial apocalypse.

We’ve identified the top 5 coaches whose seats aren’t just hot—they’re scorching. But here’s the twist: their fates aren’t sealed by X’s and O’s alone. No, these men are trapped in a game where the final score is tallied not on a scoreboard but in a boardroom.

1. Dave Aranda – Baylor

The whispers in the autumn air swirled like fallen leaves in Waco, carrying the weight of a season teetering on the brink. Twenty million dollars. That’s what the murmurs said it would cost Baylor to part ways with their enigmatic head coach, Dave Aranda, had they yielded to the mounting pressure after last season’s disappointment. Of course, Baylor shrouded in the Baptist mists of private university secrecy, keeps its coffers as close to the vest as its playbook. But let’s just say, with a contract stretching all the way to 2029, sixteen million – at the very least – is a reasonable guess.

Now, picture this: a coach, lauded as a defensive genius, finds himself at 2-4, staring down the barrel of a must-win scenario. Six games remain, and the magic number is six wins to secure bowl eligibility, a seemingly simple feat for a man who once orchestrated defenses that could suffocate the life out of the most potent offenses. But the gridiron gods are fickle, and the past two seasons have been a harsh reminder that even the best-laid plans can crumble beneath the weight of expectation.

The word on the street, from those who claim to know the inner workings of the Baylor machine, is this: a bowl game is no longer just a desire, it’s a necessity. Aranda, the stoic philosopher-coach, stands at a crossroads, his back against the wall with the clock ticking relentlessly. Can he summon the magic that once propelled him to the mountaintop, leading the Bears to a Big 12 Championship and a Sugar Bowl victory in 2021? Or will the weight of that hefty contract and the mounting pressure of a 2-4 record prove too much to bear?

The answer, my friends, lies hidden in the swirling chaos of the remaining six games. And like any good mystery, we’ll all be watching with bated breath, wondering if Aranda can pull off a miracle in Waco or if this is the beginning of the end.

2. Billy Napier – Florida

The air in Gainesville crackles with the electricity of a fanbase on the verge. It’s not just the humidity; it’s the palpable tension surrounding Billy Napier and his Florida Gators. A 2-3 start, a record as muggy and unpredictable as a Florida summer, has the Swamp simmering with a potent mix of frustration and fear. Napier, the supposed architect of a Gator renaissance, now finds himself staring down the jaws of a $28 million buyout, a figure that could make even the most die-hard booster reach for the smelling salts.

Jimmy Sexton, Napier’s agent and a man who could negotiate a raise out of a pauper, crafted a deal that would make Scrooge McDuck blush. Eighty-five percent of the remaining contract value, a cool $27,996,875 to be exact, is owed to Napier should the Gators decide to cut bait. And let’s be clear: in the win-or-else world of SEC football, where patience is as rare as a sober Saturday night in the Swamp, that kind of financial commitment can feel like an anvil around the neck of a struggling program.

Now, picture this: a coach, once hailed as the next big thing, wading through the murky waters of mediocrity. The ghosts of Spurrier and Meyer loom large, their championship rings glinting like hungry alligator eyes, reminding everyone of a bygone era of Gator dominance. But the present reality bites: 14-18 under Napier, with the echoes of those agonizing losses reverberating through the stadium.

The whispers in the Swamp are reaching a fever pitch, fueled by the anxiety of a fanbase yearning for a return to glory. “Twenty-eight million,” they murmur, the number hanging like Spanish moss. It’s a fortune, a sum that could buy a whole lot of orange and blue Kool-Aid, enough to drown out the sour taste of another lost season. But is it worth it? Is Napier’s methodical approach and unwavering faith in “the process” the right man to lead the Gators back to the promised land? Or is this another expensive experiment gone wrong, a cautionary tale of misplaced hope and exorbitant buyouts?

Seven games remain. Seven chances for Napier to rewrite the narrative, to silence the doubters, and to justify that eye-popping price tag. Once a cauldron of unbridled enthusiasm, the Swamp now simmers with a volatile mix of anticipation and dread. Will Napier rise to the occasion, or will he become another victim of the relentless meat grinder that is SEC football? The clock is ticking, the stakes are high, and the fate of the Gators hangs in the balance.

3. Will Hall – Southern Mississippi

The air in Hattiesburg is thick with tension, heavier than the humidity that hangs over the Mississippi pines. Will Hall, the hometown hero supposed to lead Southern Miss back to the promised land, finds himself on the precipice. A dismal 1-4 start has the Golden Eagles teetering on the brink of another lost season, and with just six games left on the schedule, Hall’s coaching career at his alma mater hangs by a thread.

Remember the fanfare when Hall arrived? He is a conquering hero with a shiny new contract and a 60% raise over his predecessor. Hope and optimism filled the air, a belief that this Southern Miss boy could restore the program to its former glory. Now, that contract is about to expire, and the only thing shining brighter than Hall’s initial promise is the exit sign.

$800,000 a year. That’s what Southern Miss invested in Will Hall—a significant sum for a program trying to claw its way back to relevance. But in the ruthless world of college football, where wins are the only legal tender, that salary is starting to look like a sunk cost.

And here’s the cold, hard truth: there’s no safety net. No hefty buyout to cushion the fall. If Southern Miss decides Hall isn’t the man for the job, they can show him the door at the end of the season, no strings attached. No messy divorce, no multi-million dollar payout. Just a handshake and a “thanks for your time.”

The whispers in the stands are getting louder with every loss. “One and four,” they murmur, the words echoing through the empty seats at M.M. Roberts Stadium. “Can he even make it to the end of the season?” they wonder, their voices filled with pity and resignation.

Six games. Six games to save his job. There are six opportunities for Will Hall to rewrite the narrative and prove he’s not just another overhyped coaching casualty. Six chances to silence the doubters and earn a contract extension, or pack his bags and head back to the drawing board. The clock is ticking, the pressure is relentless, and the future of Southern Miss football hangs in the balance. Can Will Hall pull off a miracle and salvage his career in Hattiesburg, or will these be his final six games leading the Golden Eagles? The answer, my friends, is blowing in the Mississippi wind.

4. Sonny Cumbie – Lousiana Tech

The buzz around Sonny Cumbie’s arrival in Ruston has faded faster than a Louisiana sunset. The high-flying offensive guru, lured to Louisiana Tech with a five-year, $4.85 million contract, finds himself grounded with a disappointing 1-3 start. Eight games remain in the season, and the whispers are starting to swirl: is Cumbie already on the hot seat?

$900,000. That’s what Louisiana Tech is shelling out for Cumbie this year, a figure that escalates to a cool million over the final three years of his deal. They even sweetened the pot with a $1.4 million pool for his assistants, hoping to build a coaching powerhouse in the heart of Cajun country. But with the Bulldogs sputtering out of the gate, that investment is starting to look like a risky proposition.

Cumbie’s contract is littered with incentives – bonuses for conference championships, bowl game appearances, and even boosting the team GPA. But right now, those incentives seem about as attainable as a snowball fight in July. The Bulldogs need a dramatic turnaround, and they need it fast, or those hefty bonuses will remain untouched like a forgotten bowl of gumbo.

And what about that buyout? If Louisiana Tech decides to cut ties with Cumbie, they’re on the hook for 75% of his remaining salary. It’s a hefty sum, but not impossible, especially if the Bulldogs continue their downward spiral. Will the administration pull the trigger or give Cumbie more time to prove himself?

The pressure is mounting in Ruston. The fans, accustomed to winning seasons and bowl game appearances, are growing restless. “One and three,” they mutter, the words hanging heavy in the humid air. “Is this all we get for $4.85 million?” they wonder, their voices filled with disappointment and frustration.

Eight games. Eight games for Sonny Cumbie to turn things around, silence the doubters, and justify that hefty price tag. Eight opportunities to prove he’s the offensive mastermind Louisiana Tech thought they were getting, or become another casualty in the high-stakes world of college football. The clock is ticking, the stakes are high, and the future of the Bulldogs hangs in the balance. Can Cumbie orchestrate a comeback, or will his time in Ruston be cut short? Only time will tell.

5. Trent Dilfer – Alabama Birmingham

UAB - Auburn

Attendance was sparse at the last UAB football game on October 5, 2024

They say hindsight is 20/20, but in the case of Trent Dilfer and UAB, it felt more like a train wreck in slow motion. The former Super Bowl-winning quarterback, with his ESPN pedigree and high school coaching success, was supposed to be the savior of Blazers football. Instead, he’s become a $3.6 million cautionary tale.

Remember the hype? Dilfer, the brash outsider with a big personality, would shake things up in Birmingham. He would bring national attention to a program that had clawed its way back from the dead. But now, two seasons in, the only thing he’s shaking up is the antacid aisle at the local pharmacy.

A dismal 1-4 start to the season, including a 71-20 drubbing at the hands of Tulane, has the Blazers faithful calling for Dilfer’s head. His off-the-field antics—comparing UAB to Alabama, criticizing NIL, and even taking shots at the volleyball team—haven’t endeared him to the fanbase either.

And then there’s that contract—$1.2 million a year, with a $3.6 million buyout if he’s fired after this season. That’s a lot of money to eat, even for a program that’s seen its share of financial struggles. But at this point, it might be cheaper to cut their losses and move on.

The whispers in the stands have turned into full-blown shouting matches. “Dilfer out!” they chant, their voices echoing through the half-empty stadium. “This experiment has failed!” they declare, their patience worn thinner than a cheap game-day t-shirt.

It’s hard to argue with them. Dilfer’s record at UAB is a dismal 5-12. He’s alienated the fans, the players, and even some folks on campus. His “springboard job” has turned into a quicksand pit, and he’s sinking fast.

So, what now? Does UAB bite the bullet and pay the $3.6 million buyout? Do they try to salvage something from this disastrous experiment and hope for a miraculous turnaround? Or do they simply let the season play out and send Dilfer packing with a handshake and a “don’t let the door hit you on the way out”?

The clock is ticking, the pressure is mounting, and the future of UAB football hangs in the balance. One thing’s for sure: the Trent Dilfer era in Birmingham can’t end soon enough.

See where your coach falls on the Coaches Hot Seat.

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Week 6 – Saturday Showdown – Game Preview and Schedule

Mark Haines on October 5, 2024

Coaches Hot Seat Targets The Winners!

Coaches Hot Seat took a thrilling ride yesterday on the Targeting Winners podcast, and let me tell you, these guys know their stuff. We’re talking about the intersection of coaching pressure, game matchups, and cold, hard cash—the kind of analysis that makes you see the game in a new, exhilarating light.

We dove headfirst into the hottest seats in the nation, dissecting the coaches on the brink, the ones whose every decision could be their last. We talked about the odds, the whispers, the gut feelings that separate the winners from the losers, both on the field and in the sportsbook.

And guess what? We didn’t just analyze; We put our money where our mouths are. We broke down the week’s matchups and gave our picks raw and unfiltered. So, if you want to hear our insights, strategies, and predictions, check out this episode.

Trust me, it’s a wild ride. You’ll learn, you’ll laugh, and you might walk away with a whole new, informed perspective on the game. Click here to listen to the episode: https://open.spotify.com/episode/0Inr4sJteXILIu2Tftryhd?si=m_Hfogt-Qq-2wHsgnDm6XQ

Early Game

9 Missouri at 25 Texas A&M

TV: ABC/ESPN+

Game Time: Noon Eastern/9:00 AM Pacific

The Backstory

The Texas A&M Aggies and the Missouri Tigers, two SEC powerhouses with a shared history, are set to clash in a top-25 showdown in the heart of Texas.

The Stakes

The Aggies, led by the stoic Mike Elko, ride a wave of momentum. They’ve clawed their way to a 4-1 record, and their only blemish is a season-opening loss to Notre Dame. But the Tigers, under the charismatic Eliah Drinkwitz, are undefeated and ranked 9th in the nation. This game is more than just a conference matchup; it’s a statement game.

The Coaches

Elko and Drinkwitz have a history. They faced each other as coordinators in the ACC, with Drinkwitz’s high-flying NC State offense getting the better of Elko’s Wake Forest defense. Now, they’re head coaches in the SEC, and the stakes are higher than ever.

The Players

The Aggies boast a dynamic quarterback in Marcel Reed, who has stepped in admirably for the injured Conner Weigman. They also have a rising star at receiver in Noah Thomas. The Tigers, meanwhile, have a balanced attack and a defense that has been stingy all season.

The Rivalry

The Aggies and Tigers have a long and intertwined history. They were both charter members of the Big 12 and made the jump to the SEC in 2012. They’ve played each other 16 times, with the Aggies holding a 9-7 edge. But the Tigers have won seven of the last ten, so the Aggies will seek revenge.

The Atmosphere

Kyle Field, the home of the Aggies, is one of the most intimidating venues in college football. The 12th Man, as the Aggie faithful are known, will be in full force, creating a cauldron of noise and energy.

The Prediction

This is a tough one to call. The Aggies have the home-field advantage, but the Tigers are more experienced. It will be a close game, but I will give the Tigers an edge. I think they’ll win by a field goal.

Don’t Miss It

This is a game you won’t want to miss. It’s a clash of styles, a battle of wills, and a rivalry renewed.

Afternoon Game

Game: 12 Ole Miss @ South Carolina

TV: ESPN

Game Time: 3:30 PM Eastern/12:30 PM Pacific

The air in Columbia, South Carolina, crackles with anticipation. It’s not just the humid October air, thick with the scent of barbeque and impending collisions. No, this is different. This is the feeling of a program on the rise, a sleeping giant stirring. After years of mediocrity, South Carolina is finally showing signs of life. And they’re about to face a wounded animal, a Rebel army licking its wounds after a shocking upset.

Ole Miss, the preseason darlings, the team with National Championship aspirations, stumbled. They tripped over a Kentucky team that South Carolina had dismantled just weeks earlier. Now, they limp into Williams-Brice Stadium, desperate to prove that last week was a fluke, a blip in their otherwise stellar radar.

But this isn’t the same South Carolina team that Ole Miss has grown accustomed to bullying. Shane Beamer has injected a new energy into this program, a swagger that’s been missing for years. They’ve got a quarterback, LaNorris Sellers, who, when healthy, is a magician with the ball. They’ve got a running back, Raheim Sanders, who runs with a violence that would make Marshawn Lynch proud. And they’ve got a defense that’s finally starting to live up to its potential.

This game is a fascinating collision of narratives. It pits the high-flying offense of Ole Miss, led by the gunslinging Jaxson Dart, against the gritty, determined defense of South Carolina. It’s the wounded pride of a Rebel team that expected to be undefeated against the burgeoning confidence of a Gamecock squad that’s starting to believe.

The key to this game? It’s simple. Can South Carolina’s defense, which has shown flashes of brilliance but also moments of inconsistency, contain the explosive Ole Miss attack? Can they pressure Dart, force him into mistakes, and keep the Rebels’ receivers in check?

And on the other side of the ball, can Sellers and Sanders, both battling injuries, recapture the magic that led them to dominant performances earlier in the season? Can the offensive line, a work in progress all season, hold up against a ferocious Ole Miss defensive front?

This game is more than just an SEC matchup. It’s a referendum on both programs. For Ole Miss, it’s a chance to prove that they’re still a contender and that last week was an aberration. For South Carolina, it’s a chance to announce their arrival and show the world that they’re a force to be reckoned with.

The atmosphere at Williams-Brice Stadium will be electric. The Gamecock faithful, starved for success, will be ready to erupt. This game could go down to the wire, and a single play could decide it.

So buckle up, folks. This is going to be a wild ride. This is SEC football at its finest. This is Ole Miss vs. South Carolina, and it’s not to be missed.

Evening Game

Game: 10 Michigan @ Washington

TV: NBC, Peacock

Game Time: 7:30 PM Eastern/4:30 PM

The last time Michigan and Washington met, confetti rained down on a jubilant Wolverines squad celebrating a National Championship victory. But that was then, and this is now. This time, the Huskies have home-field advantage and a raucous Husky Stadium crowd hungry for revenge. This time, both teams are different, retooled, and wrestling with unique challenges.

Michigan, the reigning champs, are undefeated, but they’ve hardly looked invincible. Their offense, once a well-oiled machine, has sputtered at times, relying heavily on the legs of running back Kalel Mullings. Quarterback Alex Orji, thrust into the starting role after an injury to JJ McCarthy, has shown flashes of potential but remains an unknown quantity.

Washington, meanwhile, has been a puzzle. They’ve shown flashes of brilliance but also moments of self-destruction. Penalties, turnovers, and red-zone inefficiency have plagued them. But with quarterback Will Rogers at the helm, they have the firepower to put up points against any defense.

This game is a clash of styles. Michigan’s strength lies in its defense, a unit loaded with NFL talent. They’ll be looking to shut down Rogers and the Huskies’ passing attack, forcing them into uncomfortable situations. On the other hand, Washington will need to exploit Michigan’s one-dimensional offense, keeping them off balance and forcing Orji to beat them through the air.

The key matchup to watch? Michigan’s defensive line against Washington’s offensive line. If the Wolverines can get consistent pressure on Rogers, they’ll disrupt the Huskies’ rhythm and force turnovers. But if Washington can give Rogers time to throw, he has the weapons to pick apart Michigan’s secondary.

Beyond the X’s and O’s, this game is about more than just a win or a loss. It’s about pride, redemption, and the ever-shifting balance of power in college football. It’s a chance for Michigan to prove that last year’s championship was no fluke and that they’re still the team to beat. For Washington, it’s a chance to avenge that painful loss and show the world they belong on the national stage.

The atmosphere in Seattle will be electric. Husky Stadium, one of the loudest venues in college football, will be rocking. The 12th Man, Michigan’s loyal fan base, will be there in force, creating a sea of maize and blue. This game could go down to the wire, a game that a single play could decide.

So tune in, folks. This is a must-watch matchup. This is Michigan vs. Washington, a rematch with a twist. And it’s not to be missed.

Night Game

Game: 8 Miami @ Cal

TV: ESPN

Game Time: 10:30 PM Eastern/7:30 PM Pacific

With their explosive offense and swaggering confidence, the Miami Hurricanes are rolling into Berkeley like a hurricane hitting the California coast. Undefeated and ranked 8th in the nation, they’re looking to make a statement against a Cal team that’s more familiar with them than your average ACC foe.

This isn’t your typical cross-country clash. Cal head coach Justin Wilcox knows Mario Cristobal well from their Pac-12 battles, and quarterback Cam Ward has faced the Bears twice during his time at Washington State. There’s a history here, a familiarity that adds an extra layer of intrigue to this matchup.

But familiarity can only take you so far. Miami’s offense is a juggernaut, averaging nearly 50 points per game. Ward is a magician with the ball, spreading it to a talented group of receivers. They’re explosive, they’re efficient, and they’re a nightmare for opposing defenses.

Cal, on the other hand, is a team that thrives on defense and ball control. They’re not flashy, but they’re disciplined and opportunistic. They lead the nation in turnover margin, and they’ll be looking to force Ward into mistakes.

The key matchup to watch? Miami’s passing attack against Cal’s stingy secondary. The Hurricanes have the number one passing offense in the country, but the Bears have a knack for picking off passes. Something’s gotta give.

Another intriguing battle? Cal’s running back Jaydn Ott, a potential X-factor, against Miami’s run defense. Ott has been battling injuries, but if he’s healthy, he could give the Bears the spark they need to pull off the upset.

But let’s be honest, the odds are stacked against Cal. Miami is simply the more talented team. They have more firepower on offense, more playmakers on defense, and a swagger that’s hard to match.

Still, this is college football, where anything can happen. Cal has the home-field advantage, a coach who knows his opponent well, and a defense that can make life difficult for any quarterback. They might have a chance if they can force turnovers, control the clock, and keep Miami’s offense off the field.

But don’t bet on it. This feels like Miami’s game to lose. They’re the better team, on a roll, and looking to prove they’re a national championship contender. Expect a high-scoring affair, with the Hurricanes ultimately pulling away in the second half.

So grab your popcorn, folks. This is a game you won’t want to miss. It’s Miami vs. Cal, a clash of styles, a battle of wills, and a chance for the Hurricanes to make a statement on the national stage.

Full Game Schedule

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The Coaching Carousel: A Wild Ride of Buyouts, Bargains, and Burnt Biscuits

Mark Haines on October 1, 2024

Hefty Buyouts Await 4 of Our Top 5

Let’s go on a whirlwind tour of the college football coaching carousel, where the stakes are high, the contracts are crazy, and the pressure is hotter than a two-dollar pistol. We’re talkin’ buyouts that could make your head spin, fan bases ready to revolt, and coaches clinging to their jobs like a possum to a persimmon tree.

First Stop: Gainesville, Florida

Picture this: The Swamp, home of the Florida Gators, where the humidity rivals the pressure to win, and the athletic department operates like it’s stuck in a time warp. We’re talkin’ Windows 95 computers, flip phones, and a fax machine that’s practically considered cutting-edge technology.

Now, enter Billy Napier, stage left, with a seven-year, $50 million contract and a dream to restore the Gators to their former glory. The problem is that dreams don’t always translate to touchdowns, especially when you’re battling more than just your opponents.

Napier, bless his heart, he’s got the pedigree. Came down from Louisiana with a winning record, a folksy charm, and a playbook thicker than a Faulkner novel. But the SEC? It’s a different animal. It’s where good coaches go to get chewed up and spit out, their reputations left to bake on the asphalt like a forgotten lovebug.

And right now, Napier’s feeling the heat. His record? A less-than-stellar 13-16 (.448) The boosters? They’re restless, pacing the sidelines like caged panthers, their wallets bulging with buyout money. We’re talking $27.7 million to show Napier the door. That’s enough to buy every player on the roster a personalized yacht with a Gatorade fountain on deck and maybe even upgrade the athletic department’s internet to broadband while they’re at it.

But here’s the catch: even if they send Napier packing with a golden parachute, it won’t fix the root of the problem. This isn’t just about the coach, folks. It’s about a whole system that’s stuck in the dark ages. It’s about an athletic department that’s more concerned with balancing the budget on an abacus than building a winning program.

So, what’s the play? Do the Gators cut their losses and write a check that’d make your eyes water? Or do they finally face the music and realize that a complete overhaul is needed, from the coaching staff to the IT department? Because in the SEC, honey, there’s no middle ground. You either evolve or get left behind, fossilized like a prehistoric gator in the swamp of mediocrity.

Next Up: Waco, Texas

Now, let’s move on over to Waco, Texas, where the Baylor Bears are facing a dilemma of biblical proportions. Their head coach, Dave Aranda, is a man of few words and even fewer wins lately. Remember that magical 2021 season? Big 12 champs, Sugar Bowl victors, the whole nine yards? Since then, it’s been more like “the whole nine losses,” and the fans are starting to sound like a swarm of angry bees.

Aranda, see, he’s a defensive mastermind. The kind of guy who can draw up a blitz package that’d make your head spin faster than a Texas tornado. But lately, his offense has been about as exciting as watching paint dry in the Waco sun. And those wins? Well, they’ve been harder to come by than a parking spot at the Silos on a Saturday afternoon. It is so hard to come by that the once-packed McLane Stadium is starting to look like a ghost town.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. As a private institution, Baylor keeps its finances tighter than a drum. So, we don’t know the exact details of Aranda’s contract. But rumor has it, his buyout is a cool $20 million. That’s enough to buy a lifetime supply of Dr Pepper for every student on campus and still have enough left over to build a replica of the Alamo… with heated seats.

But here’s the thing: it’s not just about the money. The Baylor faithful are losing their patience. They’re tired of watching their beloved Bears get mauled week after week. The grumbling in the stands has turned into a full-blown roar, and the pitchforks are practically at the door of Aranda’s office.

So, the question is: do the Bears bite the bullet and pay Aranda a king’s ransom to walk away? Or do they stick with him, hoping he can rediscover that 2021 magic and silence the angry mob? It’s a tough call, folks. Aranda’s a good guy and a solid coach. But in the cutthroat world of college football, nice guys often finish last… and get handed a hefty severance package on their way out the door, accompanied by the boos of a disgruntled fanbase.

The pressure’s on in Waco. Will the Bears double down on Aranda or cut their losses? Only time will tell. But one thing’s for sure: this is one expensive game of Texas Hold’em, and Baylor’s holding a pair of deuces with a fanbase threatening to burn the whole casino down.

Rolling into Fayetteville

Next, we’re headed to Fayetteville, Arkansas, where the Razorbacks are wrestling with a problem that’s stranger than a hog in a tuxedo. Their head coach, Sam Pittman, is a good ol’ boy with a heart of gold and a drawl thicker than molasses. He would invite you over for a barbecue, regale you with stories about his playing days, and then send you home with a Tupperware full of leftovers. But right now, those leftovers might be all he’s got left to give.

See, Pittman’s currently sitting at a 26-27 record (.491), which is about as comfortable as a pair of overalls in a sauna. And that record has got the whole state of Arkansas sweating bullets because it’s tied to this “goofy” buyout clause in his contract that’s got everyone scratching their heads. If the Razorbacks decide to give him the boot, the amount they owe him depends on whether that record tips above or below .500. Above? A cool $12.15 million. Below? A slightly less cool $8.1 million. It’s like a bizarre game show where the prize is getting fired, and the consolation prize is still a mountain of cash.

Now, Pittman started strong. In 2021, he had the Hogs squealing with delight, leading them to a 9-4 season and a Top 25 finish. But lately? The wheels have come off the tractor, and the Razorbacks are wallowing in mediocrity. They’re teetering on that .500 mark, like a tightrope walker with a fear of heights and a hefty life insurance policy.

So, what’s a university to do? Do they pay Pittman $12 million to hit the road, or do they gamble on him turning things around and potentially saving themselves a few million bucks? It’s a high-stakes poker game, folks, and the pot is sweetened with a side of Southern-fried absurdity.

The pressure’s on in Fayetteville. Will the Razorbacks ante up and send Pittman packing with a golden handshake? Or will they hold their cards and hope for a winning hand? Only time will tell. But one thing’s for sure: this is one wild ride, and the only thing crazier than the buyout clause is that we’re all glued to our seats, waiting to see how it all plays out.

Down South with the Golden Eagles

Now, let’s dive headfirst into the chaotic world of Southern Miss football, where the Golden Eagles are flapping their wings a little too close to the flames. Their head coach, Will Hall, is a man with a fiery spirit, a four-year contract ticking down faster than a Mississippi minute, and an offense sputtering like a lawnmower on its last legs.

Hall inked that deal in 2020, promising him a cool $800,000 yearly. Not bad, right? But here’s where it gets interesting: this is the FINAL ACT, folks. The last year of that contract. Which means that buyout everyone was sweating about? It’s practically evaporated faster than a puddle of sweat on a Hattiesburg sidewalk.

Instead of millions, we’re talkin’ chump change. A couple of hundred grand, maybe even less. Suddenly, those Golden Eagles administrators look like they have stumbled onto a Black Friday sale on coaches.

But here’s the twist: this isn’t an ordinary clearance rack. This is Will Hall, a coach with the passion of a thousand suns but a colder record than a Mississippi winter. Turnovers? They’re happening faster than you can say “To The Top!” Third-down conversions? They’re about as rare as winning lottery tickets in Hattiesburg.

And the fans? They’re restless. They’re tired of watching their beloved Eagles lay eggs on the field. The grumbling in the stands is reaching a fever pitch, and Hall’s seat is the only thing hotter than the Mississippi humidity. With each loss, that four-year contract isn’t just a ticking time bomb; it’s a firecracker about to explode in his face.

So, what’s the play? Do the Golden Eagles say, “Hey, for this price, might as well let him ride it out,” or do they decide a change is needed NOW, consequences be damned? It’s a high-stakes poker game with the whole program’s future on the line.

Hall’s gotta win and win BIG to save his job. The Golden Eagles must decide if they will gamble on a Hail Mary or if it’s time to cut their losses and start fresh. Either way, this final act will be one hell of a show.

The Sonny Cumbie Quandary: Louisiana Tech’s $1 Million Gamble (Or Is It a Million-Dollar Headache?)

Let’s sashay over to Ruston, Louisiana, where the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs face a stickier predicament than a bowl of gumbo gone wrong. Their head coach, Sonny Cumbie, is a young gun with a five-year contract that, on paper, seemed like a steal. But with the Bulldogs barking up the wrong tree lately, that contract’s starting to look more like a financial albatross.

Cumbie signed on the dotted line back in 2021, agreeing to a $4.85 million deal that would pay him a cool $1 million in 2024. It’s not a bad payday for a coach trying to make his mark in college football. But here’s where it gets interesting: if Louisiana Tech decides to give him the boot, they’re on the hook for 75% of that remaining salary.

You might be thinking, “75% of a million bucks? That’s a hefty chunk of change!” And you’d be right. But here’s the twist: that million dollars is spread out over the remaining years of his contract, which runs through January 2027. So, we’re not talking about a single lump sum payment that’d break the bank. It’s more like a series of installments on a slightly overpriced used pickup truck.

But here’s the real kicker: Cumbie’s got this contract loaded with incentives. Win the Conference USA championship? Bonus cash! Lead the Bulldogs to a bowl game? More money! Boost the team’s GPA? Cha-ching! It’s like a college football version of “Who Wants to Be a Millionaire,” except the lifelines are touchdowns, and academic probation is the equivalent of losing all your money.

So, the question is: do the Bulldogs cut their losses and pay Cumbie a modest sum to walk away? Or do they stick with him, hoping he can turn things around and cash in on those sweet incentives? It’s a gamble, folks. Cumbie’s got potential, but potential doesn’t always translate to wins on the scoreboard.

The pressure’s on in Ruston. Will the Bulldogs roll the dice on Cumbie and hope for a winning hand? Or will they fold and start fresh with a new coach and strategy?

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The Hot Seat Burns: Purdue Parts Ways with Graham Harrell Amidst Offensive Struggles

Mark Haines on September 30, 2024

In the high-stakes college football world, where every play counts and every game matters, the pressure cooker environment can sometimes boil over. And in West Lafayette, Indiana, the temperature had been rising steadily.

The Fall From Grace

Just four games into the 2024 season, Purdue’s offensive coordinator, Graham Harrell, found himself out of a job. The Boilermakers, sitting at a disappointing 1-3 record following a lackluster 28-10 loss to Nebraska, decided a change was needed.

Head coach Ryan Walters, in a move that surprised many, pulled the trigger on Harrell’s dismissal, stating, “Decisions like this are never easy. After evaluating our start to the season, I felt that it was best for our team to make a change now. We are appreciative of Graham’s contributions to our program and wish him the best going forward.”  

It’s the kind of moment that sends shockwaves through the locker room, a stark reminder that no one’s position is truly secure in this game.

The Offense Sputters

The numbers painted a grim picture of Purdue’s offensive woes. Against Nebraska, they went nearly four quarters without scoring, their ground game managed a paltry 50 yards, and quarterback Hudson Card struggled to find his rhythm. It was the second time the Boilermakers failed to reach 100 yards rushing this season, a statistic that would make any offensive coordinator cringe.

In football, where points are king, such performances are unacceptable.

A Year of Unfulfilled Promise

Harrell’s tenure at Purdue had been marked by inconsistency. While the Boilermakers averaged a respectable 23.9 points per game in 2023, his first year at the helm, their passing game lagged, and they struggled to put up big numbers against conference opponents.

It’s the classic story of a coach who shows flashes of brilliance but ultimately fails to deliver on the high expectations placed upon him.

The Search for a Spark

The Search For A Spark

Now, Purdue finds itself at a crossroads. With Harrell gone, the search begins for a new offensive coordinator, someone who can ignite the spark that has been missing. It’s a pivotal moment for the Boilermakers, a chance to turn their season around and salvage something from the ashes of their early struggles.

Change is inevitable in the ever-evolving landscape of college football. Sometimes, it’s the catalyst for greatness; other times, it’s simply a necessary step in the journey. Only time will tell which path Purdue will take.

The Coaching Carousel Turns

As the coaching carousel spins, Graham Harrell’s name joins the list of those seeking a new opportunity. His resume, which includes stints at USC and West Virginia, speaks to his potential, but questions remain about his ability to produce results consistently.

The hot seat is always waiting, a constant reminder that the margin for error is slim in this game. For Harrell, it’s a chance to reflect, regroup, and prepare for the next chapter in his coaching career.

And for Purdue, it’s a new beginning, a fresh start, and a chance to rewrite the narrative of their season. The game goes on, and the pursuit of victory continues.

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What We’re Watchin’ Saturday – Week 5 Edition

Mark Haines on September 28, 2024

Early Games

Kentucky at 6 Ole Miss

Game Time: Noon Eastern/9:00 AM Pacific

TV: ABC, ESPN+

Ole Miss is on fire; the Rebels are hotter than a two-dollar pistol. They’re lighting it up, leading the FBS in passing yards, total offense, scoring offense, and scoring defense. Dart’s slinging it like a gunslinger, and the Rebels are putting up video game numbers. But, let’s be honest, they’ve been playing a bunch of cupcakes. That changes this Saturday. Kentucky had Georgia on the ropes, and now they’re coming for Ole Miss. Can Kentucky slow down the Rebels’ high-octane offense? Or will Jaxson Dart and his crew keep this train rolling? This SEC showdown is about to get wild.

20 Oklahoma State at 23 Kansas State

Game Time: Noon Eastern/9:00 AM Pacific

TV: ESPN

We’ve got a Big 12 showdown brewing. Oklahoma State and Kansas State had their eyes on the prize, a Big 12 crown, and a shot at the Playoff. But now, one of them will be limping out of this weekend with two conference losses. Oklahoma State stumbled at home against Utah, and K-State got embarrassed by BYU. This isn’t just another game; this one has some serious stakes. Neither team wants to fall behind in this Big 12 title race dogfight. Keep your eyes on the quarterbacks. Bowman got yanked against Utah before leading a comeback that fell short, and Johnson threw up a couple of ducks against BYU. Who’s going to step up and lead their team to victory?

Afternoon Games

15 Louisville @ 16 Notre Dame

Game Time: 3:30 PM Eastern/12:30 PM Pacific

TV: Peacock

Louisville just passed their first real test against Georgia Tech. They got some help from their defense and special teams, and that Alabama transfer, Ja’Corey Brooks, looks like a highlight reel waiting to happen. Shough’s been sharp under center, but let’s be real: they only got two offensive touchdowns against GT. And they haven’t faced a defense like Notre Dame’s yet. This Irish defense is tough, and it is among the top 20 in the country. Louisville’s defense isn’t too shabby either, and Notre Dame’s offense has been sputtering except for that one trip to Purdue. Right now, Louisville looks like the more balanced team. A win on the road puts them in the conversation with the big boys, Miami and Clemson. For Notre Dame, it’s simple: win and stay on the Playoff path; lose, and that dream might be dead. This one is a slugfest.

Fresno State at UNLV

Game Time: 3:30 PM Eastern/12:30 PM Pacific

TV: FS1

Hold onto your hats because we’ve got an actual soap opera brewing in Vegas. Undefeated UNLV is in the spotlight, but not for the reasons they’d like. Their star quarterback, Matthew Sluka, is out, redshirting and hitting the transfer portal. A lot of controversy surrounds NIL deals, conference realignment, and a potential Group of 5 Playoff spot. Now, UNLV has to tune out all the noise and focus on the field. They’ve got a new quarterback, likely that FCS transfer Hajj-Malik Williams, and they’re facing a tough Fresno State team that gave Michigan a run for their money. This isn’t just a football game; it’s a full-blown drama.

Evening Games

2 Georgia at 4 Alabama

Game Time: 7:30 PM Eastern/4:30 PM Pacific

TV: ABC, ESPN+

This is it. The big one. Top-five showdown, SEC on SEC crime, Georgia versus Alabama. We haven’t seen these two Titans clash in the regular season since 2020. Since then, it’s been all neutral-site showdowns: SEC championships, National Championships. In those recent meetings, Bama’s got the edge, but Georgia walked away with the biggest prize, the natty. This time, the stakes are different; the Alabama coach is different, but the talent and the bad blood? That’s all still there. Can Georgia’s defense corral Jalen Milroe? Can DeBoer snag his first signature win as the head honcho in Tuscaloosa? There will be plenty of other big games this season, especially in the SEC. Heck, neither of these teams is even the top dog in their conference right now. But whoever wins this one? They’re going to be sitting pretty come Sunday morning. And the journey to get there? That’s going to be one hell of a show.

19 Illinois at 9 Penn State

Game Time: 7:30 PM Eastern/4:30 PM Pacific

TV: NBC

Illinois may not be flashy, but they’re getting it done. Efficient and opportunistic, they’re cashing in when they get in the red zone and winning the turnover battle. Altmyer’s been steady under center, making smart throws and keeping the ball out of harm’s way. But this trip to Happy Valley? That’s going to be their biggest test yet. Penn State just steamrolled Kent State, but let’s be honest, that was a tune-up game. Their offense looks much better under the new OC, and Allar’s been slinging it. But against Illinois, they have to protect the football. If they can do that and get the W, you’ll hear a lot more Playoff talk coming out of State College. This is a good old-fashioned Big Ten slugfest.

Night Game

Arizona at 10 Utah

Game Time: 10:15 PM Eastern/7:15 PM Pacific

TV: ESPN

Utah looks like the top dog in the new Big 12 after that road win against Oklahoma State. And they did it without their star quarterback, Cam Rising.  We’ll see if he’s back this week, but who knows with that hand injury? Luckily for Utah, freshman Isaac Wilson has been holding down the fort with help from Micah Bernard, who’s been tearing it up on the ground.

Arizona, on the other hand, is looking a little lost under new coach Brett Brennan. They got smacked around by Kansas State and had a bye week to figure things out. They need to find their groove fast.  If Fifita and McMillan can get hot, this game might get interesting. But if Utah’s defense keeps rolling, it could be a long night for the Wildcats.

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Finally a Friday! – Week 5 Friday Game Preview

Mark Haines on September 27, 2024

Virginia Tech at Miami: A Hurricane Brewing in the ACC

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LSU’s Tiger Stadium: A Century of Gridiron Glory

Mark Haines on September 26, 2024

Few venues can match the storied legacy of Louisiana State University’s Tiger Stadium in the annals of college football history. For nearly a century, this hallowed ground has been the stage for some of the sport’s most electrifying moments, a colosseum of the South that has witnessed the rise and fall of football dynasties.

A Monument to American Ingenuity

The year was 1924. Calvin Coolidge was president, George Gershwin’s “Rhapsody in Blue” premiered, and in Baton Rouge, a modest 12,000-seat stadium known as “State Field” rose from the earth. Little did anyone know that this humble beginning would evolve into one of college football’s most iconic landmarks.

But the true stroke of genius came during the Great Depression, a time when American resourcefulness was put to the test. In the 1930s, as the nation grappled with economic turmoil, Louisiana’s larger-than-life Governor Huey P. Long and LSU’s crafty athletics manager Thomas “Skipper” Heard concocted a plan that epitomized the era’s “make do and mend” spirit.

The Dormitory Stadium: A Depression-Era Masterstroke

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The Huddle’s Getting Tense: Week 5’s Hottest Seats Revealed

Mark Haines on September 24, 2024

1. Billy Napier – Florida Gators

First Win, Same Old Problems

Napier finally got a W, but let’s not kid ourselves. Mississippi State was fresh off a loss to Toledo. Florida’s offense looked better, but it was more about Mississippi State’s defensive scheme than Napier’s brilliance.

And the defense? Yikes. Soft zones, missed tackles, and a general sense of panic against an up-tempo offense. If Mississippi State can shred them, imagine what UCF or Tennessee will do.

The 17-point margin is deceptive. This game was a nail-biter until the final minutes.

Nick Saban’s comments on GameDay cut to the heart of the matter. He wasn’t pointing fingers at the coaches but rather at the administration. Florida’s had a revolving door of coaches since the glory days of Spurrier and Meyer. Saban suggested that perhaps the issue lies in the athletic department and the university’s commitment to providing the resources and support necessary for sustained success. It takes more than just hiring a good coach; it takes a culture of winning that permeates the entire program. Gator Nation needs to understand that the solution might lie beyond the sidelines. When this job opens up again, Florida’s administration needs to be ready to demonstrate a real commitment to building a championship program if they want to attract a top-tier coach. Right now, this isn’t a very attractive job.

2. Dave Aranda – Baylor Bears

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