San Diego State Football 2025: Will the AztecFAST Attack Finally Deliver?

San Diego State Football’s Sean Lewis enters year two with everything on the line.

The 2025 season represents a make-or-break moment for San Diego State football. After a disappointing 3-9 debut campaign, Lewis faces mounting pressure to prove his AztecFAST attack can translate innovative concepts into actual wins. With significant roster turnover at quarterback and a challenging schedule ahead, this season will determine whether the program advances or regresses.

The margin for error has disappeared completely.

The Danny O’Neil Departure Changes Everything

Danny O’Neil’s transfer to Wisconsin in December sent shockwaves through the program.

The first true freshman starting quarterback in San Diego State’s Division I history, O’Neil showed genuine promise despite the team’s struggles. He threw for 2,181 yards, 12 touchdowns, and six interceptions while battling injuries throughout the season. His departure wasn’t about football performance.

“That’s a big thing to me, being able to play in front of family,” O’Neil explained. “I wouldn’t say I was homesick. I just want to be able to have some relatives be able to come see me at games.”

The loss creates massive uncertainty at the position that matters most.

Four Quarterbacks, One Starting Job

Lewis responded aggressively to O’Neil’s departure by completely rebuilding the quarterback room.

The competition features an intriguing mix of experience and potential:

  • Jayden Denegal (Michigan transfer): 6-foot-5, 235 pounds, spent three seasons backing up J.J. McCarthy
  • Bert Emanuel Jr. (Central Michigan transfer): 6-foot-3, 235 pounds, son of former NFL player, dynamic runner
  • Kyle Crum (returning junior): Only familiar face, completed 5 of 17 passes in limited action
  • JP Mialovski (true freshman): Early enrollee from Long Beach, threw for 4,365 yards in high school

Denegal brings the most traditional quarterback skills to the competition.

“The biggest thing I could say is, in my opinion, he has one of the greatest one-play mindsets out there,” Denegal said of McCarthy. “He doesn’t really care. Last play isn’t going to affect his next play. That part of his game is something that I admire.” Former Michigan coach Jim Harbaugh praised Denegal, saying he “throws the ball extremely well” and is “pretty darn athletic.”

Emanuel Jr. offers a completely different dimension with his rushing ability.

The Houston native has carried 145 times for 844 yards and 12 touchdowns during his Central Michigan career. “Bert’s ability to run… That’s where he is at his strongest. I’m very excited to see us in a situation where we get to some of the quarterback run-game stuff,” said quarterbacks coach Chris Johnson.

The winner will inherit an offense desperate for stability.

Two Defensive Stars Anchor the Foundation

While the offense undergoes massive reconstruction, the defense returns elite-level talent.

Edge rusher Trey White recorded 12.5 sacks and ranked fifth nationally despite playing on a struggling team. Linebacker Tano Letuli led the Aztecs with 70 tackles and brings veteran leadership to a unit that needs dramatic improvement.

Both players stayed committed despite transfer portal opportunities.

“They are loyal to the soil and they are loyal to the work they’ve done and put in,” Lewis said. “They’re committed to that locker room. They’re not interested in winning only when it’s convenient here at San Diego State.”

The secondary also shows promise with cornerback Chris Johnson expected to emerge as one of the Mountain West’s top cover men. Safety tandem Eric Butler and Dalesean Staley brings experience to a unit that recorded just one interception in 2024.

These defensive anchors must carry increased responsibility in 2025.

The Post-Marquez Cooper Offensive Challenge

Losing 1,274-yard rusher Marquez Cooper creates another massive hole in the offensive foundation.

Cooper’s production represented nearly the entire rushing attack in 2024. No other running back exceeded 100 yards or scored a rushing touchdown. The receiving corps returns its top three targets, but none eclipsed 700 yards receiving.

Lewis acknowledged the challenge while expressing confidence in the depth chart.

“Obviously he is a bell cow, in terms of yards and the production that he had,” Lewis said of Cooper. “But Cam Davis and Lucky Sutton did a great job of developing. They’re going to have an opportunity through winter condition and spring ball to cement themselves as the guy.”

The offensive line faces a reconstruction project following the medical retirement of center Brayden Bryant.

Schedule Provides Both Opportunity and Danger

The 2025 schedule features a mix of winnable games and potential disasters.

Early-season matchups could set the tone for the entire campaign:

  • August 28 vs. Stony Brook: Season opener at Snapdragon Stadium should build confidence
  • September 6 at Washington State: First real test on the road in Pullman
  • September 20 vs. California: Chance to make a statement against a former Pac-12 program
  • September 27 at Northern Illinois: Dangerous road trip to DeKalb

The Mountain West slate includes challenging road games at Nevada, Fresno State, and New Mexico.

Lewis noted his team’s close losses in 2024 as a reason for optimism.

At Mountain West Media Days, he emphasized that “multiple one-possession games. Three games were lost by 9 points total.” Those narrow margins suggest minor improvements could translate to several additional wins.

The schedule could create early momentum or early disaster.

The Navy SEAL Philosophy

Lewis has implemented an unconventional team-building approach involving Navy SEAL training sessions.

The philosophy centers on “hard things done together in a beautiful environment” with sessions conducted at Coronado Beach. Lewis conducted “three different iterations of exercises and again in micro teams and position groups and offense, defense, different challenges” during winter conditioning.

This unique approach reflects Lewis’s belief that mental toughness will separate his program.

Pressure Mounts on Sean Lewis

With a hot seat rating of 0.531, Lewis enters a pivotal second season.

While his position isn’t immediately threatened, another disappointing campaign could change the dynamic quickly. The transfer portal era demands faster results than traditional coaching timelines allowed.

Lewis’s track record at Kent State provides reasons for optimism.

He transformed the Golden Flashes from a perennial bottom-feeder into a MAC contender, posting more seven-win seasons than the program achieved in the previous 30 years combined. His innovative offensive concepts garnered national attention before his stint in Colorado.

But San Diego State fans won’t accept another three-win season.

The Verdict: Everything Depends on the Quarterback

The 2025 season will be defined by whoever wins the quarterback competition.

The defense returns enough talent to compete in the Mountain West if the offense can generate consistent production. The schedule features winnable early games that can help build momentum for conference play.

Lewis faces a simple reality: college football patience has shortened dramatically.

The foundation exists for improvement with defensive stars White and Letuli, an improved offensive line, and depth in the running back room. The receiving corps brings system familiarity despite lacking star power.

Success requires solving the quarterback puzzle and finding the right balance between tempo and efficiency.

If Lewis can generate consistent offensive production, the Aztecs have the defensive talent to compete for a bowl berth. If the quarterback situation remains unsettled, another long season awaits.

The AztecFAST attack gets one more chance to prove its effectiveness.

The Next Billion Dollar Game

College football isn’t just a sport anymore—it’s a high-stakes market where information asymmetry separates winners from losers. While the average fan sees only what happens between the sidelines, real insiders trade on the hidden dynamics reshaping programs from the inside out.

Our team has embedded with the power brokers who run this game. From the coaching carousel to NIL deals to transfer portal strategies, we’ve mapped the entire ecosystem with the kind of obsessive detail that would make a hedge fund analyst blush.

Why subscribe? Because in markets this inefficient, information creates alpha. Our subscribers knew which coaches were dead men walking months before the mainstream media caught on. They understood which programs were quietly transforming their recruiting apparatuses while competitors slept.

The smart money is already positioning for 2025. Are you?

Click below—it’s free—and join the small group of people who understand the real value of college football’s new economy.

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Hawaii Football 2025: Can Culture Finally Create Wins?

Hawaii football’s Timmy Chang has mastered everything about coaching except the one thing that matters most.

The Hawaii head coach has:

  • Rebuilt the “Braddahhood” culture that defines Rainbow Warrior football
  • Earned widespread community support despite a 13-25 record
  • Secured a contract extension through 2026
  • Developed genuine player loyalty and retention

But he still can’t consistently win games.

The Cultural Champion’s Impossible Test

Chang’s hot seat rating sits at .441, technically placing him in danger territory among college football coaches.

Yet this number tells only half the story.

In Hawaii, Chang isn’t just popular—he’s beloved. His successful restoration of the “Braddahhood” has created something previous coaches couldn’t: an authentic connection between team, community, and culture.

“Coach Chang has established a foundation of Warrior culture that our football program needed when he came home three years ago,” acting Athletics Director Lois Manin said when announcing Chang’s contract extension.

The challenge heading into 2025? Proving that cultural leadership can translate into the wins that have remained stubbornly elusive.

The Alejado Revolution Changes Everything

One player could transform Hawaii’s entire trajectory.

Redshirt freshman Micah Alejado took over at quarterback following Brayden Schager’s departure, and his debut was nothing short of spectacular. In his first full collegiate start against New Mexico, the left-handed signal-caller threw for 469 yards and five touchdowns with zero interceptions.

The numbers were historic:

  • 37 of 57 completions
  • 523 total yards of offense (second-most in FBS in 2024)
  • First Hawaii QB ever with 450+ passing yards and 50+ rushing in same game
  • No interceptions since junior year of high school

“He’s a student of the game,” quarterbacks coach Chad Kapanui said. “He’s always watching film, trying to dissect something, finding something in the defense. He thinks like a coach.”

Alejado’s precision could solve Hawaii’s biggest offensive problem: turnovers.

Defense Returns With Veteran Leadership

The Rainbow Warriors’ defense enters 2025 with something they’ve lacked in recent years: continuity.

All six of Hawaii’s leading tacklers from 2024 return, including:

  • Linebacker Jamih Otis (55 tackles, 5 TFL)
  • Safety Peter Manuma (43 tackles, 3 pass breakups)
  • Defensive end Elijah Robinson (5 sacks, 10.5 TFL)
  • Safety Elijah Palmer (key secondary contributor)
  • Linebacker Logan Taylor (52 tackles)

“It all starts with a loaded linebacking corps that could be among the Rainbow Warriors’ best in a long, long time,” College Football News noted.

This experience could finally provide the defensive stability Chang’s teams have needed.

The Schedule Sets Up For Success

Hawaii’s 2025 slate offers genuine opportunities for improvement.

The season opens with high-profile tests that could establish early momentum:

  • August 23 vs Stanford (CBS, 1:30 p.m.) – Winnable statement game against rebuilding Cardinal
  • August 30 at Arizona (TNT, 4:30 p.m.) – Road test against Big 12 opponent
  • September 6 vs Sam Houston – Home advantage against FBS newcomer
  • September 13 vs Portland State – FCS opponent should be victory

The key stretch comes with three straight home games to open conference play, Hawaii’s longest homestand since 2015.

Road games at Colorado State, San Jose State, and UNLV will test improved depth and mental toughness.

The Numbers Tell A Story of Realistic Hope

Vegas expects modest improvement but not a breakthrough.

Current betting markets show:

  • Season win total: 5.5 games
  • Over 5.5 wins: -150 odds
  • Under 5.5 wins: +125 odds
  • Mountain West title odds: +2000

These numbers reflect cautious optimism about Hawaii’s trajectory while acknowledging competitive Mountain West challenges.

The betting market’s slight lean toward the Over suggests growing confidence in Chang’s program direction.

Three Keys That Will Determine Everything

Chang’s 2025 success hinges on addressing specific areas that killed previous seasons.

Turnover Margin Must Improve Hawaii’s -8 turnover differential in 2024 directly cost them winnable games. Alejado’s ball security and defensive takeaway ability will determine competitive balance in close contests.

Third Down Efficiency Cannot Stay Broken
Converting just 37% of third downs made Hawaii’s run-and-shoot offense predictable in crucial moments. Alejado’s quick decision-making could unlock this critical area.

Penalty Discipline Decides Close Games Hawaii went 0-4 when flagged ten or more times in 2024. Championship teams win the hidden yardage battle that determines field position and momentum.

The Ultimate Question: Culture vs Competition

Chang finds himself in college football’s most unique situation.

He’s a coach beloved for cultural restoration yet scrutinized for competitive results. His popularity provides insulation from typical hot seat pressures, but Hawaii’s passionate fanbase ultimately expects their cultural champion to deliver wins that validate their faith.

“This Mountain West Conference is a great conference, and the teams go in and battle day in and day out. Last year, we’re so close to winning some of these games,” Chang recently told VSiN. “The off season, since January, just the mindset moving forward is where do we close the gap in those one to two plays a game that really make the difference?”

Those one to two plays represent everything.

The Realistic Path to Breakthrough

Hawaii’s ceiling appears to be 6-7 wins if everything breaks favorably.

Their floor remains 4-5 wins if quarterback play regresses or injuries impact key positions. For Chang and the program, reaching 6 wins and bowl eligibility would represent significant progress and likely secure his position moving forward.

The most probable scenario? Hawaii finishes 5-6 or 6-6, showing enough improvement to justify continued faith in Chang’s cultural leadership while creating momentum for 2026.

What This Season Really Means

2025 will answer college football’s most compelling cultural question.

Can a coach survive and thrive solely on cultural impact, or must wins eventually validate community support? Chang has successfully rebuilt Hawaii’s identity, earned genuine loyalty, and created a sustainable program culture.

Now comes the ultimate test: proving that cultural restoration was the necessary foundation for competitive success, not merely a consolation prize.

Hawaii football in 2025 embodies a program at its most critical juncture, where beloved leadership must finally evolve into competitive achievement. With Alejado’s emergence providing hope and the community’s patience wearing thin despite their affection for their coach, this season will define whether the “Braddahhood” can finally produce the wins that have remained tantalizingly out of reach.

The answer will determine everything.

The Next Billion Dollar Game

College football isn’t just a sport anymore—it’s a high-stakes market where information asymmetry separates winners from losers. While the average fan sees only what happens between the sidelines, real insiders trade on the hidden dynamics reshaping programs from the inside out.

Our team has embedded with the power brokers who run this game. From the coaching carousel to NIL deals to transfer portal strategies, we’ve mapped the entire ecosystem with the kind of obsessive detail that would make a hedge fund analyst blush.

Why subscribe? Because in markets this inefficient, information creates alpha. Our subscribers knew which coaches were dead men walking months before the mainstream media caught on. They understood which programs were quietly transforming their recruiting apparatuses while competitors slept.

The smart money is already positioning for 2025. Are you?

Click below—it’s free—and join the small group of people who understand the real value of college football’s new economy.

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