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Two Hot Seat Coaches Meet At Auburn: One Will Buy Time, The Other Runs Out Of Runway

Mark Haines on October 30, 2025

This isn’t just another SEC game.

This is a referendum on two coaches fighting for their jobs. Mark Stoops sits at #16 on the Coaches Hot Seat rankings (and trending in the wrong direction). Hugh Freeze checks in at #5, which means every single game is an audition for next season.

Auburn hosts Kentucky at Jordan-Hare Stadium, and one of these coaches is going to walk away with some much-needed breathing room. The other? He’s going to feel the heat cranking up to uncomfortable levels. One coach survives this weekend. The other watches his seat get hotter.

Let me break down why this game matters more than the talking heads on ESPN will tell you.

The Stakes Are Ridiculous

Mark Stoops has one of the biggest buyouts in college football history.

Kentucky isn’t just paying him to be mediocre – they’re paying him an insane amount of money they can’t afford to get out of. And what has he delivered in 2025? An 0-5 record in SEC play. Zero wins against conference opponents.

That’s a pattern, not a slump

Meanwhile, Hugh Freeze is sitting at #5 on the hot seat, and Auburn fans are already questioning whether he’s the answer. The Tigers are 1-4 in SEC play, which isn’t great, but it’s also not catastrophic. A win against Kentucky doesn’t just improve his record; it moves him down the rankings and buys him real equity with the boosters.

This is coaching survival mode, and both guys know it.

Let’s Talk Numbers (Because They Don’t Lie)

If you’re a bettor or just someone who likes to understand how football works, the stats tell you everything you need to know.

Kentucky’s offense is barely functional against SEC defenses:

  • 24.1 points per game overall, but only 19.4 against SEC opponents
  • Just 121.6 rushing yards per game in SEC play (their ground game gets completely shut down)
  • When you can’t run, you become one-dimensional, and when you’re one-dimensional against good defenses, you lose

Auburn’s defense is where they have Kentucky beat:

  • Just 21.1 points allowed per game
  • Best run defense in this matchup, opponents average only 84.1 rushing yards
  • Kentucky’s weakness meets Auburn’s strength and that’s the ballgame

But here’s where it gets interesting:

Auburn’s offense isn’t exactly lighting the world on fire either. They’re balanced, 170 passing yards, 170 rushing yards per game. But in SEC play, those numbers crater. The difference? Auburn doesn’t turn the ball over. They average just 0.5 turnovers per game compared to Kentucky’s 1.6.

In close games, that margin is everything.

The Matchup That Decides Everything

Here’s the reality:

Kentucky cannot run the ball against Auburn’s front seven. That’s not opinion, that’s what the numbers tell us. When Kentucky is forced to throw on every down, their offensive line breaks down, their quarterback gets pressured, and the whole operation falls apart.

Could Kentucky exploit Auburn’s secondary?

Auburn’s been vulnerable through the air, they’re allowing 234.4 passing yards per game. But Kentucky hasn’t shown the ability to exploit that kind of weakness all season. Their passing game improves against MAC teams and collapses against SEC defenses.

There’s no reason to believe this week will be different.

By the Numbers: Complete Matchup Breakdown

If you want to bet this game, or understand who actually has the advantage, here’s the tale of the tape:

Auburn holds decisive advantages in the categories that matter most.

The X-Factor You’re Not Thinking About

Home-field advantage matters.

Auburn’s home splits show they gain approximately 20 yards and 4 points per game at Jordan-Hare Stadium. Kentucky is 0-2 on the road this season. They can’t win away from Lexington. The math is simple: Auburn plays better at home, and Kentucky falls apart on the road.

Here’s what that means for this game:

Auburn’s offensive line will control the line of scrimmage against Kentucky’s weak front seven. The Tigers will run the ball down Kentucky’s throat in the fourth quarter when the Wildcats’ defense is gassed. Kentucky won’t be able to match that physicality. They haven’t been able to all season.

This is where games are won and lost.

The Bottom Line

Auburn wins by 7-10 points.

Predicted score: Auburn 27, Kentucky 17

This isn’t rocket science. Auburn’s run defense shuts down Kentucky’s already-struggling ground game. Kentucky becomes one-dimensional. Auburn’s balanced offense exploits a weak Kentucky defense. The Tigers control time of possession and wear down the Wildcats in the second half.

The coaching implications are massive:

Hugh Freeze gets a much-needed win and some breathing room on the hot seat. Mark Stoops watches his seat get even hotter as Kentucky falls to 0-6 in SEC play. One coach buys himself time. The other runs out of runway.

For Kentucky to pull off the upset, they’d need:

  • Their passing game to suddenly become elite
  • Auburn to commit multiple turnovers
  • A complete defensive transformation

None of those things is happening.

The Bigger Picture

This is what college football has become in 2025.

Every game is an evaluation. Every loss adds weight to the hot seat. Coaches like Mark Stoops and Hugh Freeze aren’t just competing against each other—they’re competing against impossible expectations, impatient boosters, and the reality that one bad season can end a career.

Kentucky vs Auburn isn’t just about which team wins—it’s about which coach survives. And when you look at the numbers, Auburn has every statistical advantage. The Tigers should win this game comfortably.

Auburn 27, Kentucky 17.

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Hugh Freeze Has 2 Games To Save His Job At Auburn. Here’s Why Saturday Night’s Matchup Against #10 Georgia At Jordan-Hare Stadium Is Game 1 Of His Final Stand

Mark Haines on October 9, 2025

7:30 PM EDT. Jordan-Hare Stadium. Lights. Chaos. Everything on the line.

This isn’t just another SEC game.

This is Hugh Freeze fighting for his job. This is Auburn desperate for relevance after back-to-back losses. This is Georgia trying to stay in the playoff hunt on the road, at night, in one of the most dangerous venues in college football.

Let me break down exactly what’s about to happen.

The Numbers Don’t Lie (But Jordan-Hare At Night Doesn’t Care)

Georgia is the better team on paper.

Georgia’s Offensive Dominance:

  • 438.6 yards per game (96.4 more than Auburn)
  • 34.6 points per game
  • Perfectly balanced: 231.8 passing, 206.8 rushing
  • 3.2 rushing touchdowns per game
  • 24.8 first downs per game

Auburn’s Offensive Struggles:

  • 342.2 yards per game (bottom-tier SEC)
  • 27.6 points per game
  • Anemic passing: 173.2 yards, 1.0 TD per game
  • Only scored 10 points at Texas A&M

Georgia should win by double digits.

But here’s what the stats don’t tell you: Auburn at night in Jordan-Hare has produced some of the most inexplicable upsets in college football history. The “Kick Six” against Alabama. Stunning wins over LSU, Georgia, and other powerhouses who had no business losing.

Strange things happen here after dark.

What To Watch: Georgia With The Ball

Can Auburn’s elite run defense hold?

This is the marquee matchup of the game. Auburn allows only 82 rushing yards per game at 2.7 yards per carry. That’s legitimately elite. But Georgia rushes for 206.8 yards per game at 4.8 yards per carry with over 3 rushing touchdowns per game.

Something’s gotta give.

If Auburn stacks the box to stop the run, Georgia will torch them through the air. If they play honestly, Georgia will run them over. There’s no good answer for Auburn’s defensive coordinator.

The balance problem Georgia creates:

Georgia doesn’t just beat you one way. They beat you every way. 231.8 passing yards per game. 206.8 rushing yards per game. Perfectly balanced, impossibly difficult to defend.

Auburn has to pick its poison.

In a night game where crowd noise makes communication difficult, Georgia’s ability to run the ball becomes even more valuable. No audibles needed. Just line up and impose your will.

Watch the first down battle:

Georgia averages 24.8 first downs per game. Long, methodical drives that keep Auburn’s defense on the field and completely gassed by the fourth quarter.

If Georgia controls the clock and sustains drives, Auburn’s offense won’t get enough possessions to keep pace. And with Auburn averaging only 27.6 points per game, they need every possession they can get.

Can Georgia handle the noise?

Here’s Georgia’s biggest weakness: 40.8 penalty yards per game. False starts. Holding calls. Drive killers.

Now put them on the road, at night, in one of the loudest stadiums in America. Communication becomes nearly impossible. The crowd will be absolutely deafening on every Georgia snap.

If Georgia beats itself with penalties, Auburn has a chance.

What To Watch: Auburn With The Ball

Can Auburn throw the football at all?

This is the existential question for Hugh Freeze’s offense.

173.2 passing yards per game. Only 1.0 passing touchdown per game. Those are borderline FCS numbers in the modern SEC. You cannot win big games with that level of offensive production.

Georgia’s pass defense allows 231.2 yards per game, which means Auburn should be able to exploit it through the air. But “should” and “can” are two very different things.

If Auburn comes out scared and conservative in the passing game, they have no chance. If Hugh Freeze opens up the playbook and takes shots downfield, they might be able to keep Georgia honest enough to run the ball effectively.

The ghost of Texas A&M:

Auburn scored 10 points at Texas A&M. Ten.

That performance haunts everything about this game. Can Auburn’s offense show up when it matters most? Or will they shrink under the pressure and the lights?

The first quarter will tell you everything you need to know.

Ball security is victory:

Auburn’s best stat: 0.2 turnovers per game. Elite ball security. Georgia commits 1.4 turnovers per game.

If Auburn takes care of the football and Georgia coughs it up twice, suddenly you’ve got short fields and momentum shifts. That’s how upsets happen.

One Auburn turnover probably ends the game. Zero Auburn turnovers gives them a legitimate puncher’s chance.

Time of possession will decide this:

Auburn averages 342.2 total yards per game. That’s not enough to win a shootout.

So they have to shorten the game. Long, grinding drives that keep the clock moving and Georgia’s explosive offense on the sideline. Lean on the run game (169 yards per game, 2.4 TDs). Control the tempo.

If Auburn gets into a track meet, they lose by three touchdowns.

Hugh Freeze’s bag of tricks:

When coaches are fighting for their jobs at home under the lights, desperation breeds creativity.

Watch for fake punts, trick plays, ultra-aggressive fourth down calls. Hugh Freeze knows conventional football won’t beat Georgia. He needs chaos, misdirection, and a little bit of magic.

At night, Jordan-Hare is the perfect stage for desperation to become brilliance.

What Each Team Brings To This Party

Georgia’s Advantages:

  • Superior talent across the board
  • Balanced, explosive offense that can beat you any way
  • Already won at #15 Tennessee (proven road warriors)
  • Playoff desperation creates focus
  • Better coaching, better depth, better everything

Georgia’s Vulnerabilities:

  • Turnover prone (1.4 per game)
  • Penalties on the road in hostile environments
  • Might overlook Auburn after beating Kentucky
  • Playing at the most dangerous venue in America

Auburn’s Advantages:

  • Home field at night (worth 10-14 points in chaos)
  • Elite ball security (0.2 turnovers per game)
  • A stout run defense that can slow Georgia down
  • Nothing to lose, everything to gain
  • Desperation creates superhuman effort

Auburn’s Vulnerabilities:

  • Offensive ineptitude (96.4 fewer yards per game than Georgia)
  • Can’t throw the football consistently
  • Two-game losing streak in SEC play
  • The talent gap is real and significant

The matchup heavily favors Georgia.

But the environment heavily favors chaos. And chaos is Auburn’s best friend.

Final Score Prediction: Georgia 31, Auburn 20

But here’s what you need to understand.

This prediction is based on logic, statistics, and talent evaluation. Georgia is the better team. They should win.

But night games at Jordan-Hare Stadium don’t follow logic.

Here’s how I see it unfolding:

First Quarter: 7-7. Auburn comes out absolutely possessed. The crowd is deafening. Georgia struggles with false starts and communication. Auburn feeds off the energy.

Second Quarter: 17-13 Georgia. Talent starts to show, but Auburn refuses to fold. A trick play or defensive turnover keeps them within striking distance. Jordan-Hare is absolutely electric at halftime.

Third Quarter: 24-20 Georgia. Back and forth. Every Georgia score gets answered. The crowd never sits down. Auburn is in this thing.

Fourth Quarter: 31-20 Georgia. Superior depth and offensive firepower finally create separation. Auburn’s limited offense can’t generate enough to keep pace over 60 minutes.

That’s the logical outcome.

But don’t be shocked if Auburn wins outright. I give them a legitimate 30-35% chance to pull the upset. That’s not “Auburn might get lucky.” That’s “Auburn has a real path to victory if a few things break their way.”

Georgia fumbles twice. Hugh Freeze calls the game of his life. The crowd forces three false starts at crucial moments. Auburn’s defense gets a pick-six.

Suddenly, it’s 27-24 Auburn with 5 minutes left, and Georgia is shell-shocked.

It can happen. It has happened. This is Jordan-Hare at night.

What This Means For Hugh Freeze

If Auburn loses 31-20:

On paper, it looks “respectable.” A competitive home loss to #10 Georgia.

But Auburn fans won’t see it that way. They’ll see an offense that still can’t score more than 20 points against quality competition. They’ll see a wasted opportunity on the biggest stage with the entire fanbase behind them.

Top 5 hot seat status: Confirmed.

If Auburn wins:

Season saved. Freeze becomes an overnight hero. The “Hugh Freeze can’t win the big one” narrative gets torched. Suddenly, that top 5 hot seat talk disappears.

Until the subsequent loss.

The reality:

This game will define Hugh Freeze’s Auburn tenure one way or another. Win, and he buys himself a full season of goodwill. Lose, and the whispers become screams.

The Bottom Line

Georgia should win.

But Auburn, at home, at night, with everything on the line and nothing to lose, is the most dangerous version of Auburn that exists.

The smart money is on Georgia by 7-9 points.

The fun money is on Auburn and chaos.

See you Saturday night.

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Auburn Football 2025 Season Preview: Hugh Freeze’s Make-or-Break Season Arrives

Mark Haines on June 18, 2025

The Pressure is On

Auburn head coach Hugh Freeze enters his third season on the Plains under intense pressure. After back-to-back losing campaigns in 2023 and 2024, the Tigers have overhauled their roster through both recruiting and the transfer portal. Auburn now boasts a former five-star quarterback transfer, back-to-back top-10 recruiting classes, and experienced impact players from the portal. The pieces are in place — now the program has to start winning games. Auburn’s Hugh Freeze is running out of time.

After two straight losing seasons at Auburn, the Tigers head coach faces the most critical year of his tenure on the Plains. Everything that could be upgraded has been upgraded. The quarterback room features a former five-star transfer. The roster is loaded with blue-chip talent from back-to-back top-10 recruiting classes. The transfer portal has been pillaged for immediate impact players.

But none of that matters if Auburn can’t win football games.

The 2025 season isn’t about potential anymore—it’s about production. And for Freeze, it’s about survival in the unforgiving world of SEC football.

Jackson Arnold Solves Auburn’s Biggest Problem

Auburn’s quarterback situation has been solved.

Oklahoma transfer Jackson Arnold brings the exact skill set that Hugh Freeze’s offense demands: dual-threat ability, RPO mastery, and a cannon for an arm. Arnold isn’t just an upgrade—he’s a complete transformation of what Auburn can do offensively.

His 2024 numbers at Oklahoma tell only part of the story:

  • 1,421 passing yards, 12 touchdowns, 3 interceptions
  • 444 rushing yards, 3 touchdowns
  • 131 rushing yards in upset win over No. 7 Alabama

“The fit he is for our offense and Auburn, I couldn’t be more excited,” Freeze said. “He’s a dual-threat guy who understands the RPO system extremely well and throws the deep ball extremely well.”

Arnold struggled at Oklahoma due to receiver injuries and the presence of three different offensive coordinators in one season. At Auburn, he’ll have stability, weapons, and a system designed to capitalize on his strengths.

This is the quarterback Auburn has been searching for since Cam Newton left the Plains.

The Transfer Portal Became Auburn’s Salvation

Auburn attacked the transfer portal like their program depended on it.

Because it did.

The Tigers identified every weakness from 2024 and found proven solutions in the portal. Offensive line struggles? Virginia Tech’s Xavier Chaplin and USC’s Mason Murphy arrive with starting experience. Receiver depth issues? Georgia Tech’s Eric Singleton Jr. brings elite production and versatility.

The defensive side received similar treatment:

  • MAC Defensive Back of the Year Raion Strader
  • Experienced linebacker Caleb Wheatland
  • Multiple defensive backs with Power Five starting experience

Auburn brought in 19 transfers while losing 23 players to the portal. However, the key difference lies in this: most departures weren’t regular contributors, whereas most additions had starting experience.

This wasn’t roster management—this was strategic reconstruction.

Elite Recruiting Finally Pays Dividends

Auburn’s recruiting renaissance under Hugh Freeze has been impossible to ignore.

Back-to-back top-10 recruiting classes have fundamentally changed the talent level on the Plains. The 2025 class ranks No. 6 nationally and includes:

  • Five-star quarterback Deuce Knight
  • Five-star edge rusher Jared Smith
  • A majority of Alabama’s top prep prospects
  • Multiple ESPN 300 contributors across all positions

“I inherited a program that didn’t have a top-25 recruiting class for 4 years,” Freeze acknowledged. “You’re not going to win in this league [with that]. We’ve now had 2 full recruiting classes, both top-10.”

The talent gap that existed between Auburn and SEC powers has been closed through recruiting. Now comes the harder part: developing and deploying that talent effectively.

Defense Gets Rare Continuity

Here’s something Auburn hasn’t had in years: defensive coordinator stability.

D.J. Durkin returns for his second season leading the defense, providing continuity in a program that has cycled through coordinators at breakneck speed. The 2024 defense showed flashes of dominance when healthy, averaging 7 tackles for loss and 2.3 sacks per game.

The secondary remains Auburn’s defensive strength:

  • Experienced starters Kayin Lee and Kaleb Harris return
  • Transfer addition Raion Strader brings All-MAC credentials
  • Depth improved through recruiting and portal additions

Auburn must replace five of its top seven tacklers, but the combination of returning talent and strategic additions provides optimism for significant improvement.

The defense has the pieces—now Durkin gets an entire season to implement his system without major personnel overhauls.

The Schedule Helps Auburn

Auburn’s 2025 schedule is the most favorable they’ve seen in years.

Ranked 15th nationally in strength of schedule and 12th in the SEC, the Tigers avoid some of the conference’s most dangerous programs while their most significant challenges at Jordan-Hare Stadium.

Key scheduling advantages:

  • Alabama and Georgia both visit Auburn (historically better for the Tigers in odd years)
  • No matchup with Texas, the SEC’s most dominant program
  • Manageable non-conference slate to build momentum
  • Oklahoma visit provides revenge game opportunity against Arnold’s former team

“I feel a lot better than I have about our talent, our size, athleticism, and depth,” Freeze shared. “I still believe we need one more [signing] class to get to where we need to be, but I don’t sense any panic.”

The schedule provides Auburn with realistic paths to 7-8 wins if the talent translates into performance.

Hugh Freeze’s Job Depends on One Thing

Bowl eligibility isn’t a goal for Auburn in 2025—it’s a requirement.

“I’m not a fool, I think we’ve got to go to a bowl game,” Freeze said publicly. This represents the minimum acceptable outcome after two years of elite recruiting and massive roster investment.

The pressure couldn’t be more obvious:

  • Two straight losing seasons
  • Back-to-back years missing bowl games
  • Massive financial investment in roster construction
  • Fan patience is completely exhausted

Freeze’s track record suggests confidence in reaching this baseline. In 12 seasons as an FBS head coach, he’s failed to win six games only twice: his final year at Ole Miss and his second year at Auburn.

But Auburn hasn’t just invested in talent—they’ve invested in Freeze’s vision. If that vision doesn’t produce wins in 2025, both will be replaced.

The Areas That Will Define Success

Auburn’s 2025 season will be determined by improvement in specific areas.

Red zone efficiency was a key factor in the Tigers’ struggles in 2024, ranking 122nd nationally in touchdown percentage. Arnold’s dual-threat ability and upgraded receivers should immediately address this critical weakness.

Special teams ranked 84th nationally in SP+ efficiency, consistently hurting field position and momentum. New specialists and renewed emphasis represent clear priorities.

Turnover margin must improve after Auburn averaged 1.8 giveaways while forcing only 1.1 takeaways per game. Arnold’s decision-making will be crucial in flipping this equation.

These aren’t complex problems—they’re execution issues that talent alone should be able to solve.

What Success Looks Like

Vegas set Auburn’s win total at 7.5 games, reflecting cautious optimism about the program’s trajectory.

ESPN’s SP+ model projects Auburn to rank No. 25 overall, with an average of 6.9 wins. The defense is projected to rank 19th nationally, while the offense is projected to rank 48th. These numbers suggest a team capable of bowling with upside for more.

Realistic 2025 benchmarks:

  • Bowl eligibility (minimum acceptable outcome)
  • Competitive showings against Alabama and Georgia at home
  • Road victory against Oklahoma or Texas A&M
  • Establishing clear program momentum for 2026

The talent is there. The schedule cooperates. The expectations are clear.

Now, Auburn has to win football games.

The Bottom Line: No More Excuses

Auburn enters 2025 with everything necessary for success.

The quarterback position has been upgraded with a proven dual-threat transfer. The skill positions feature elite recruiting and portal additions. The defense returns key contributors while adding impact players for depth.

The schedule provides legitimate opportunities for 7-8 wins. The roster construction represents a substantial financial investment in immediate success.

Hugh Freeze has spent two years building this foundation. The 2025 season will determine whether he can coach at the level he recruits, or whether Auburn needs to find someone who can.

The excuses have been exhausted. The expectations are crystal clear. The pieces are in place.

Time to find out if Hugh Freeze can turn all this potential into actual victories.

The Next Billion Dollar Game

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Week 15 Coaches Hot Seat Rankings – Breaking Down the Top 5

Mark Haines on December 3, 2024

Welcome to our breakdown of the Top 5 ranked coaches on the Week 15 Coaches Hot Seat Rankings.

In the era of social media and team message boards, College football communities typically fall into three categories:

Picture the modern college football landscape as a digital Roman Colosseum, where three distinct tribes gather daily to pass judgment on their gladiators. I’ve spent months studying these tribes, fascinated by how their collective voice can determine the fate of multimillion-dollar coaching careers with the force of an emperor’s thumb.

First, you have the Sunshine Pumpers – college football’s eternal optimists, whose rose-tinted view of their program would make Pollyanna seem cynical. They’re the ones who’d watch their team’s practice facility burn to the ground and declare it a strategic move to improve ventilation. Their unwavering positivity isn’t just amusing; it’s a psychological defense mechanism worth millions to beleaguered athletic directors who need someone, anyone, to keep buying season tickets.

Then there are the Negative Nellies, the digital descendants of Ancient Greek tragedy choruses. These people have turned catastrophizing into an art form and see an upset loss to a rival as evidence of civilization’s collapse. They don’t just want their coach fired; they want him launched into the sun, preferably before halftime.

But the real power brokers? They’re the Middle Majority – college football’s silent jury. These are the clear-eyed realists who still remember that this is, ultimately, a game played by 20-year-olds. Lose their support, and a coach’s career expectancy drops faster than a team’s ranking after a loss to an FCS opponent.

As we examine this week’s coaching hot seat rankings, remember: these three tribes aren’t just posting on message boards – they’re reshaping the power dynamics of a $8 billion industry, one complaint thread at a time.

Ryan Day, Head Coach at Ohio State University - Coaches Hot Seat

The Ryan Day situation at Ohio State exemplifies how these three tribes can reshape a program’s trajectory. With a staggering 86.8% winning percentage and a 64-3 record outside of Michigan games and playoff appearances, Day should be untouchable in the eyes of any rational observer. But that’s not how college football works in 2024, especially not in Columbus.

The Sunshine Pumpers point to the program’s continued playoff contention and recruiting dominance, including a roster powered by $20 million in NIL money. They’ll tell you that Day’s overall record (.868 winning percentage) would be celebrated at 95% of programs nationwide. And they’re not wrong.

The Negative Nellies, however, have found their ammunition: a 2-7 record in career-defining moments and four straight losses to Michigan, including an unthinkable defeat to an unranked Wolverines squad that had just lost their head coach to the NFL. The “Big Game Day” epithet has stuck, and the critics are getting louder.

But it’s the Middle Majority that makes this situation genuinely fascinating. They’re running the numbers: a $35 million buyout, a coach who consistently wins everything except the games that matter most and a recruiting machine that just watched Michigan flip five-star quarterback Bryce Underwood with a reported $10 million NIL deal. The silent jury is still deliberating, but their patience is wearing thin.

Athletic Director Ross Bjork’s carefully worded support – “Coach Day does a great job leading our program. He’s our coach” – reads less like a vote of confidence and more like a holding pattern until the playoff scenario plays out. The real question might not be whether Ohio State wants to keep Day but whether Day wants to stay in a pressure cooker where even a 66-10 record can’t guarantee job security.

Kenni Burns - Kent State Head Coach - Coaches Hot Seat

Unlike the Ohio State scenario, Kent State’s situation with Kenni Burns has achieved something remarkable: it’s united all three tribes in bewilderment. When you’ve lost 21 straight games and your head coach is being sued for defaulting on a $24,000 credit card debt despite making nearly half a million dollars annually, even the Sunshine Pumpers run out of silver linings to grasp.

The raw numbers read like a satire of college football excess: a 1-33 overall record, a $1.51 million buyout, and a contract extension through 2028 that was inexplicably granted in February 2024 – the same period during which Burns was reportedly falling behind on his credit card payments. The Golden Flashes haven’t just lost games; they’ve been dismantled with surgical precision, outscored 486-160 overall and 282-99 in MAC play. The season’s nadir came early with a loss to St. Francis (PA), though the subsequent 71-0 demolition by Tennessee and 56-0 erasure by Penn State suggest “nadir” might be a moving target.

In any rational football universe, this would be where our three tribes engage in their usual warfare of interpretation. The Negative Nellies would demand immediate change, the Sunshine Pumpers would preach patience, and the Middle Majority would weigh the practical constraints against the competitive collapse. But when your head coach can’t manage his personal finances – defaulting on debt to a local bank that once sponsored the athletic program, no less – while earning $475,000 a year, it raises uncomfortable questions about institutional judgment.

Kent State has transcended such traditional dynamics. When your season ends with a 43-7 loss to Buffalo, extending the nation’s longest active losing streak to 21 games, while your head coach dodges court summons over unpaid credit card bills, you’ve achieved something rare in modern college football: unanimous consensus. The same industry that might force out Ryan Day and his 87% winning percentage at Ohio State has somehow found infinite patience for a program redefining competitive futility both on and off the field.

Perhaps that’s the most fascinating part of this story – how Kent State has inadvertently experimented with just how far institutional inertia can stretch. The answer is at least 21 games, one credit card default, and counting.

Trent Dilfer head coach of UAB - Coaches Hot Seat

The UAB situation under Trent Dilfer exemplifies what happens when all three fan tribes suddenly realize they’ve been watching the same horror movie. Four seasons ago, UAB dominated Tulane with a bruising defense that held the Green Wave to 21 points. This year? Tulane hung 71 points on the Blazers in their stadium.

As Joseph Goodman of the Alabama Media Group devastatingly points out, UAB has completed a stunning transformation “from being a symbol of pride for the city of Birmingham to the worst team in college football.” Not the bottom 10. Not second-to-last. The worst. This is a program that, under Bill Clark, made five consecutive bowl games and engineered a move to the American Athletic Conference. Under Dilfer, they’re losing 32-6 to Louisiana-Monroe, a program he describes as “historically tragic.”

The Sunshine Pumpers, usually reliable defenders of any coach with an NFL pedigree, have gone quiet. The Negative Nellies are pointing to a season-ending loss to Charlotte where the Blazers missed not one but two chip-shot field goals. And the Middle Majority? They’re doing the math on how a program goes from nine wins and a bowl victory over BYU in 2021 to this level of competitive collapse.

Yet in a twist that would bewilder even the most optimistic fans, UAB appears ready to run it back with Dilfer in 2024. The sacrifice of assistant coaches is enough to appease the football gods, even as the program that Bill Clark rebuilt piece by piece crumbles into competitive irrelevance.

The most telling sign of the program’s descent is when a senior quarterback abandons the team mid-season to preserve his eligibility. This suggests that the quarterback whisperer might have lost his voice.

Luke Fickell, Head Coach at University of Wisconsin

You know something has gone wrong when your fanbase goes from celebrating a splash hire to demanding his head in just two years. Luke Fickell’s descent at Wisconsin is a cautionary tale about the dangers of heightened expectations, with his .760 winning percentage at Cincinnati deteriorating to .500 in Madison.

The Sunshine Pumpers still point to his overall .667 career winning percentage and Cincinnati success, including that magical College Football Playoff run. They’ll tell you that losing starting quarterback Tyler Van Dyke to a torn ACL derailed what could have been a breakthrough season. And didn’t Fickell already show accountability by firing offensive coordinator Phil Longo?

However, the Negative Nellies have the receipts: five consecutive losses to the end of 2024, the first such streak since 1991. It was a humiliating 24-7 home loss to Minnesota that snapped a 22-year bowl streak and an offense that managed just 44 total yards in the first half of their season finale, with bowl eligibility on the line. The boos raining down at Camp Randall tell their own story.

The Middle Majority finds itself in an uncomfortable position. This is the same Luke Fickell who Ohio State passed over for Ryan Day – and now both men find themselves scrutinized for failing to meet their program’s standards, albeit at very different levels. The irony isn’t lost on anyone that while Ohio State contemplates moving on from Day’s 87% win rate, Wisconsin seems prepared to give Fickell another chance to prove he hasn’t lost his Cincinnati magic.

The most damning indictment? When athletic director Chris McIntosh’s recent raise and extension become part of the conversation about your job security, you know the pressure is mounting.

Hugh Freeze, Head Football Coach at Auburn University - Coaches Hot Seat

At Auburn, the three tribes of college football fandom find themselves engaged in a uniquely expensive form of warfare. Since 2000, the program has spent $68 million not on building success but on buying out failure – a figure transforming Auburn football from a sports program into a case study of institutional self-sabotage.

The Sunshine Pumpers are clinging to Auburn’s 2025 recruiting class, currently ranked fifth nationally, like a life raft in a storm of mediocrity. They’ll tell you that Freeze needs time, that his 444.5 yards per game show the offense is close to clicking, and that better days are just around the corner. Remember that Texas A&M signed a top-20 class a month after firing their coach last year.

The Negative Nellies point to numbers that are harder to spin: 11-14 overall, 5-11 in the SEC, and now 0-2 in the Iron Bowl. As Paul Finebaum put it, after the latest loss to Alabama, people “really have to wonder about this program’s future.” When you’re generating 444.5 yards per game but still can’t score, you’re not just failing – you’re finding innovative new ways to disappoint.

But it’s the Middle Majority that genuinely appreciates the dark comedy here. Auburn has fired a coach two years after winning a national title (Gene Chizik), dismissed another despite his mystifying ability to beat Alabama in odd-numbered years (Gus Malzahn), and scrapped Bryan Harsin for the crime of not being from around here. Now they’ve got Freeze, whose $20.3 million buyout can be paid monthly through 2028 – less like a coaching contract and more like a mortgage on mediocrity.

The most revealing detail is that Auburn structured Freeze’s buyout not as a deterrent to firing him but as a more convenient payment plan. This behavior reflects an institution that knows itself too well—like someone who builds the divorce settlement into their wedding vows.

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Week 12 Hot Seat Rankings Reveal The New Math of Firing Coaches: When Balance Sheets Trump Box Scores

Mark Haines on November 12, 2024

Graphic by Tony Altimore @TJAltimore on X

When Money Changes Everything: College Football’s New Math

If you want to understand what’s happening in college football right now, forget about the polls, the playoff rankings, and even the win-loss records. Instead, study Tony Altimore’s (@TJAltimore on X) financial visualization of athletic department debt. This document looks less like a sports analysis and more like a hedge fund’s risk assessment of distressed assets. What Altimore has captured, in clean lines and horrifying clarity, is the moment when college football’s financial chickens have come home to roost.

The numbers are staggering enough to make a Wall Street quant nervous. Major athletic departments have the kind of revenue shortfalls that would make a leveraged buyout specialist think twice, all while trying to maintain the facade that their business model isn’t fundamentally broken. Our Hot Seat Rankings arrive in this financial maelstrom, a list that increasingly reads like a collection of toxic assets nobody knows how to value.

Consider the range of buyouts in play: Marshall could rid itself of Charles Huff for the price of a mid-level administrator’s salary ($125,917), while Baylor would need to liquidate the equivalent of a small endowment ($20-25 million) to move on from Dave Aranda. In any rational market, these numbers represent the cost of doing business. But in 2024’s college football economy, where athletic departments are juggling NIL collectives, revenue sharing, the House Settlement, facility arms races, and operational deficits that would make a venture capitalist blanch, even UMass’s relatively modest $800,000 obligation to Don Brown looks less like a buyout and more like a luxury they might not be able to afford.

We’re witnessing the emergence of a new market inefficiency: coaches who become unsackable not through their success but through the financial implications of their failure. In a world where half our Hot Seat candidates owe their job security to their buyout clauses rather than their win percentages, we’ve entered a realm where being too expensive to fire has become its own kind of competitive advantage.

Welcome to college football’s new normal, where balance sheets matter more than playbooks, and the most important numbers aren’t on the scoreboard but in the fine print of contracts that increasingly look like they were designed by derivatives traders rather than athletic directors.

Here’s our Top 10 for this week, plus a little insider information on each:

1. Don Brown – UMass

Don Brown sits atop college football’s hot seat list in a way that perfectly captures the industry’s bias for action over patience. UMass administrators, energized by their MAC invitation and staring at a manageable $800,000 buyout, seem eager to start fresh before the 2025 conference transition. The kind of institutional momentum creates its own gravity – the desire to make a splashy hire before joining a new conference to signal ambition and commitment to a brighter future. But there’s a fascinating market inefficiency at play here that nobody’s talking about: Brown might be the rare coach whose value to the program is about to increase precisely when they’re most inclined to remove him. His decades of MAC experience as a defensive coordinator at Central Michigan and Connecticut (during its MAC era) and his deep New England recruiting roots represent institutional knowledge that money can’t easily buy. UMass is preparing to make a classic institutional mistake: paying to remove expertise they’ll need to acquire again, all in service of a fresh start that might not be as fresh as they imagine. After all, the next coach will face the same fundamental challenges – navigating one more year of independence before transitioning to the MAC – with less experience in both contexts.

2. Charles Huff – Marshall

Huff’s position has improved slightly with a recent win, but he is in year 4 of a 5-year contract, and his small $125,917 buyout means Marshall could make a change without significant financial strain. His hot seat status remains high, though the recent win may have bought him some time.

3. Stan Drayton – Temple

This week, a 52 – 6 loss to Tulane has intensified the pressure on Drayton. With no specified buyout disclosed, Temple might have flexibility in making a coaching change if they decide to go that route. The program’s struggles in the American Athletic Conference likely contribute to his hot seat status.

4. Trent Dilfer – UAB

Dilfer’s hot seat status has worsened with another loss. His $4,116,667 buyout is significant for UAB, which might give him more time. However, his unusual comments, media interactions, and poor on-field results have quickly put him in a precarious position despite being only in his second year.

5. Dave Aranda – Baylor

Despite a bye week, Aranda remains on the hot seat. His substantial $20-25 million buyout is a major factor in Baylor’s decision-making process. Recent wins have improved his standing, and there’s an industry consensus that he’s trending towards returning in 2025, partly due to the financial implications of a coaching change.

6. Sam Pittman – Arkansas

Sam Pittman moves down to #6 on our Hot Seat Rankings in what might be college football’s most emotionally complicated coaching situation. He’s the kind of figure who makes fans want to invite him over for dinner while simultaneously wanting to throw their remote through the TV during games. His Arkansas team has shown improvement this year, but in a way that feels like watching a gifted student consistently turn in C+ work – there’s something both promising and maddening about it all. The blowout loss to Ole Miss exposed the fundamental disconnect: a team with SEC talent playing with the discipline of a midnight pickup game. And here’s where it gets interesting – and credit to Jackson Collier of the Hardwood Hogs Podcast (@JCHoops on X) for surfacing a contract provision that adds another layer to this Southern football soap opera: If Pittman can scrape together seven wins between Louisiana Tech and one more victory (including a potential bowl game), he triggers an automatic raise and extension. It’s the kind of clause that transforms Arkansas’s $10 million buyout decision from merely expensive to existentially complex. The boosters’ dilemma is almost Shakespearean: How do you fire someone everyone likes who’s making the team better but not as much better as it should be? Especially when the cost of doing so keeps threatening to go up?

7. Sonny Cumbie – Louisiana Tech

A loss this week has likely increased the pressure on Cumbie. With a $1,625,000 buyout, Louisiana Tech has some flexibility if it chooses to make a change. The program’s performance in Conference USA will determine his future.

8. Kevin Wilson – Tulsa

Wilson’s first season at Tulsa has been challenging, but a recent comeback win against UTSA may have improved his standing. His buyout details aren’t specified, but Tulsa’s financial situation and patience with new coaches could influence his job security.

9. Ryan Walters – Purdue

Despite the most recent 45-0 loss to Ohio State, reports suggest Walters is expected to get more time at Purdue. His $9,590,625 buyout and the administration’s recognition of NIL challenges in the Big Ten could provide him additional job security despite the team’s struggles this season.

10. Hugh Freeze – Auburn

Freeze’s $20,312,500 buyout is a significant factor in his job security. Auburn’s recent performance and Freeze’s past success at Ole Miss are considerations. While he’s on the hot seat, the financial implications of a coaching change might give him more time to turn the program around.

What’s your take? Let us know here

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Hot Seat Saturday: Where Every Snap Could Be a Coach’s Last

Mark Haines on October 19, 2024

This is Hot Seat Saturday, and the gridiron isn’t just a battleground for players; it’s a high-stakes arena where coaches fight for their careers. Across the nation, embattled coaches face must-win situations, their every decision scrutinized under the intense pressure of the hot seat. From the SEC to the Big 12, programs are teetering on the brink of change, and this weekend could be the tipping point. Join us as we delve into the most compelling Hot Seat matchups, where a single play could make or break a coach’s destiny.

Auburn @ Missouri: Can Drinkwitz Turn Up the Heat on Freeze?

Time: Noon Easter/9:00 AM Pacific

Network: ESPN

The Tigers clash in Columbia this Saturday, but the real story lies on the sidelines. Eli Drinkwitz, with his Missouri Tigers at 5-1 and sniffing a playoff berth, has a chance to turn up the heat on Hugh Freeze and his struggling Auburn squad. Freeze, already on shaky ground at 2-4, can ill afford another loss, especially one against a team Auburn should, on paper, be competitive with. Missouri’s offense, while not flashy, has been efficient, and their defense will be looking to feast on Auburn’s turnover-prone quarterback, Payton Thorne. If Drinkwitz can orchestrate a convincing win, it could send Freeze further down the hot seat and solidify Drinkwitz’s status as a rising star in the SEC.

Tulsa @ Temple: Drayton’s Last Stand? Fry’s History Suggests So.

Game Time: 2:00 PM Eastern/11:00 AM Pacific

Network: ESPN+

This Saturday’s clash between Temple and Tulsa isn’t just a battle of two winless AAC teams; it’s a potential last stand for Owls head coach Stan Drayton, and the man in the stands, new university president John Fry, might be the one to seal his fate. With Temple sitting at a dismal 1-5, Drayton’s seat is scorching hot. A loss to a similarly struggling Tulsa team could be the final straw, especially considering Fry’s history.

While Fry has voiced support for Temple athletics, his 2016 op-ed in the Wall Street Journal, where he defended Drexel University’s decision not to have a football team, paints a different picture. This raises the stakes significantly for Drayton. He needs to convince Fry that football is worth investing in at Temple. Tulsa’s ground-heavy attack will test the Owls’ porous run defense, while Temple’s offense, led by receiver Dante Wright, must exploit a Tulsa defense that’s among the nation’s worst. For Drayton, this game is less about X’s and O’s and more about survival. A win could buy him some time and show Fry a glimmer of hope, but another loss might be another step toward the end of his tenure in Philadelphia. Fry, with his cost-conscious approach to athletics, might decide it’s time for a fresh start.

UAB @ USF: Dilfer’s Dumpster Fire Heads to Tampa, Is His Job Next?

Game Time: 3:30 Eastern/12:30 Pacific

Network: ESPN+

This Saturday’s matchup between UAB and USF features two teams desperate for a win, but the pressure is squarely on the shoulders of UAB head coach Trent Dilfer. Despite being favored by 13.5 points, USF enters the game at a disappointing 2-4, mirroring UAB’s own struggles. However, Dilfer, now in his second year at the helm, is already facing serious questions about his leadership and offensive approach, especially after last week’s demoralizing loss where the Blazers appeared to quit.

Dilfer’s Blazers have been a certifiable dumpster fire this season, ranking among the nation’s worst in scoring. Quarterback play has been inconsistent, and the run game hasn’t provided much relief. This all culminates in a program that looks like it’s lost its fight. Meanwhile, USF, despite their offensive woes, might have found a spark in backup quarterback Bryce Archie, who showed promise in their last outing. It might be the final straw if Dilfer can’t rally his Blazers to a convincing victory against a vulnerable USF squad. This game is a crucial test for Dilfer, which could determine whether he keeps his job at UAB.

Baylor @ Texas Tech: Can McGuire Deliver the Knockout Blow to Aranda?

Game Time: 4:00 PM Eastern/1:00 PM Pacific

Network: ESPN 2

This Saturday’s matchup between Texas Tech and Baylor is more than just a Big 12 showdown; it’s a potential turning point in the coaching careers of both Joey McGuire and Dave Aranda. With his Red Raiders at a surprising 5-1 and undefeated in conference play, McGuire can deliver a knockout blow to Aranda, who sits atop the Coaches Hot Seat Rankings. Aranda’s Bears, at a dismal 2-4 and winless in the Big 12, are reeling, and a loss to their in-state rivals could be the final straw.

Texas Tech’s offense, led by quarterback Behren Morton, has been efficient both through the air and on the ground. They’ll look to exploit a Baylor defense that struggles mightily on the road. For Aranda, this game is about more than just stopping the bleeding; it’s about proving he can still rally his team and compete in a tough conference. A loss, especially a decisive one, could seal his fate in Waco. McGuire, meanwhile, has a chance to solidify his status as a rising star in the Big 12 and potentially send his former colleague packing.

Kansas State @ West Virginia: “Are You Having Fun?” Brown’s Plea and Klieman’s Push for Big 12 Supremacy

Game Time: 7:30 PM Eastern/4:30 PM Pacific

Network: Fox

This Saturday’s clash between Kansas State and West Virginia is a tale of two coaches heading in opposite directions, fueled by a controversial question. Chris Klieman, with his Wildcats ranked #17 and fresh off a comeback victory, is looking to solidify his team as a contender in the Big 12. Meanwhile, Neal Brown finds himself fighting for his job in Morgantown, his fate hanging on more than wins and losses. Despite a respectable 3-3 record, Brown’s Mountaineers have faltered against every quality opponent they’ve faced, and fan frustration has reached a boiling point. This discontent erupted after West Virginia’s latest loss when Brown, in response to dwindling fan support, questioned whether fans were “having a good time” at games, a comment that sparked outrage and ignited a “Fire Neal Brown” movement, complete with a fundraiser to fund a banner being flown over the stadium.

This game is a crucial test for both coaches. Klieman must avoid a letdown against a West Virginia team that’s more dangerous than their record suggests. Their run-heavy offense, led by quarterback Garrett Greene, could pose problems for the Wildcats. But for Brown, this game is about more than just a win; it’s about saving his job. He needs to show progress and give fans a reason to believe, to prove that his program is more than just a “good time.” A loss, especially at home, could be the final straw for Brown, while a win might buy him a reprieve and a chance to quell the growing discontent. The stakes are high in Morgantown, and the outcome could significantly impact the trajectory of both programs.

Kentucky @ Florida: Napier Gambles on Lagway, Can the Freshman Save His Season?

Game Time: 7:45 PM Eastern/4:45 Pacific

Network: SEC Network

This Saturday’s clash between Kentucky and Florida isn’t just another SEC East rivalry game; it’s a defining moment for embattled Gators coach Billy Napier. With his team sitting at a mediocre 3-3, Napier is handing the reins to freshman quarterback DJ Lagway, which could either revitalize Florida’s season or be the final nail in Napier’s coffin.

Napier is betting on Lagway, hoping the young quarterback’s athleticism and playmaking ability can spark an offense that has sputtered under Graham Mertz. But throwing Lagway into the fire against a solid Kentucky defense is risky. If Lagway shines and leads the Gators to victory, it could buy Napier some much-needed breathing room and inject life into a stagnant program. However, if Lagway struggles and the Gators fall further behind in the SEC East race, the calls for Napier’s job will only grow louder. This game is a must-win for Napier, and he’s putting his faith in a freshman to deliver. The pressure is on in Gainesville, and the outcome could significantly impact the future of the Florida Gators.

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The $87 Million Question: Hugh Freeze and Auburn’s Football Gamble

Mark Haines on October 9, 2024

Auburn University finds itself at a crossroads in the gladiatorial college football arena, where millionaire coaches pace sidelines and billion-dollar TV deals fuel an insatiable machine. The whispers have already started. The faithful readers of CoachesHotSeat.com, those amateur Nostradamuses of the gridiron, are asking the question that sends shivers down the spine of every Auburn fan: Could Hugh Freeze be fired this year?

It’s a question that isn’t just about wins and losses. It’s about cold, hard cash—$87 million of it, to be exact.

That’s the jaw-dropping sum Auburn has either already spent or might have to spend on coaching changes. $67 million shelled out since 2000 to make coaches go away, and potentially another $20 million waiting in the wings for Freeze. It’s a number that would make Wall Street blush and leave most university presidents reaching for the antacid. And now, less than two years into his tenure, Hugh Freeze might be the next name on that expensive list.

Let’s examine the situation at Auburn and see if Freeze will pack his bags before the leaves change color next fall.

The Freeze Gambit

679 days ago, Auburn rolled the dice on Hugh Freeze.

Picture this: A coach with a checkered past but an undeniable offensive mind parachuting into a program desperate to wash away the stench of the Bryan Harsin era. Freeze arrived talking a “big game”. He’d develop quarterbacks. He’d close the talent gap. He’d turn things around “fairly fast.”

Fast forward to today, and Auburn fans wonder if they’ve been sold a bill of goods.

The 2024 season has been a tire fire of epic proportions. Three home losses, including a humiliating defeat to Cal, have left the Tigers staring down the barrel of their fourth straight losing season. Bowl eligibility? That’s a pipe dream at this point.

But here’s the kicker: If Auburn wants to pull the plug on the Freeze experiment on December 1, 2024, it’ll cost them a cool $20,312,500. That’s not a typo. That’s the price of failure in the SEC.

The Quarterback Whisperer Who Lost His Voice

Freeze built his reputation on offensive fireworks and quarterback development. At Arkansas State, Ole Miss, and Liberty, his offenses lit up scoreboards like pinball machines. But at Auburn? The offense has all the potency of a wet firecracker.

Michigan State transfer Payton Thorne was supposed to be the answer. Instead, he’s become the poster child for Freeze’s struggles. Interceptions have become his love language, and Freeze’s public criticism of his signal-caller has raised eyebrows across the college football landscape.

Bo Wallace, who played under Freeze at Ole Miss, didn’t mince words: “We’re approaching the point that he’s thrown so many quarterbacks under the bus that maybe no one wants to play for him?? Don’t be a coward and blame it on kids.”

Ouch.

The $87 Million Elephant in the Room

Now, let’s talk about that $87 million. Since 2000, Auburn has burned through coaches like a teenager with their first credit card. Tommy Tuberville, Gene Chizik, Gus Malzahn, Bryan Harsin – each departure came with a price tag that would make most Fortune 500 companies blush. And if Freeze joins this not-so-illustrious club, the total bill will hit a staggering $87 million.

It’s a number that begs the question: What could Auburn have done with that money instead? How many academic scholarships could it have funded? How many state-of-the-art facilities could it have built? Hell, how many Cam Newtons could it have bought? (That’s a joke, NCAA. Please don’t investigate.)

But here’s the rub: In the arms race that is college football, Auburn isn’t alone. Texas A&M, another SEC school with more money than sense, has reportedly spent nearly $95 million on coaching buyouts in the same timeframe.

It’s madness. But it’s the madness that defines modern college football.

The Recruiting Paradox

Here’s where things get weird. Freeze and his staff are crushing it on the recruiting trail despite the on-field dumpster fire. Auburn’s 2025 class is ranked 3rd nationally. The 2026 class? It’s sitting pretty at 2nd.

It’s like watching a magician pull rabbits out of a hat while the theater burns down around him. Impressive? Sure. But also a little beside the point.

The $20 Million Question

So here we are. Auburn is staring down the barrel of another lost season. They’ve got a coach who can’t seem to develop quarterbacks or win games but can convince 17-year-olds that Auburn is the place to be. They’re facing a potential $20 million buyout for a coach less than two years into his tenure.

What’s a tiger to do?

The coming weeks will be crucial. Games against Oklahoma, Missouri, and the Death Star, which is Alabama, loom large. If Freeze can engineer a miracle turnaround, he might buy himself more time. If not? Well, Auburn might find itself reaching for the checkbook once again.

Whatever happens, one thing is clear: The situation at Auburn is a perfect microcosm of the beautiful, maddening, financially irresponsible world of college football. It’s a world where the pressure to win trumps all, fiscal responsibility is an afterthought, and the next big payday is always just one coaching change away.

As for Hugh Freeze and Auburn? They’re just along for the ride, hoping they can get off before the bill comes due.

What do you think? Should Auburn stick with Freeze?

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Navigating the Chaos: Week 2 of College Football’s Wild Ride

Mark Haines on September 9, 2024

Coaches Hot Seat - Fans in the stands

There’s a reason we all tune in, why we obsess over every play, every decision made from the sidelines. College football isn’t just a game; it’s a microcosm of American culture. It’s where the values of grit, glory, and, occasionally, utter chaos are laid bare on the gridiron. And Week 2 of this season? It did not disappoint.

The Preston Report: Fan Sentiment from the Front Lines

We are introducing college football’s latest pulse check: The Preston Report. Named after Preston, our resident USC Trojan has made it his mission to gauge the emotional climate of rival fanbases in his workplace each week. Officially, it’s known as the USC Career Trojan Report, but around here, we call it The Preston Report. And let’s say it’s become an indispensable tool for measuring the temperature of college football fandom across the country.

Why? Because Preston’s observations aren’t just idle chatter—they’re a raw, unfiltered look at how each program’s faithful handle the season’s highs and lows. You get a boots-on-the-ground perspective that cuts through the noise of sports punditry and dives straight into the fans’ psyche.

Take, for instance, his read on Michigan: “The Michigan coworkers feel like their season is over and keep reminding everyone they won a National Championship last year.” It’s a stark picture of a fanbase clinging to the glory of past triumphs while staring down the barrel of a disappointing season. You can almost feel the mix of frustration and defiance in the air.

Then there’s the situation at Oklahoma. Preston’s OU colleague, once confident, now voices concerns about the new offensive coordinator—but with “very little eye contact.” It’s a small detail that speaks volumes. The lack of eye contact isn’t just discomfort; it’s a tell-tale sign of a fan grappling with uncertainty and perhaps a creeping sense of dread. The Sooners might be in for a rocky ride if this sentiment spreads.

And then we come to Miami. Preston says his Miami coworkers are as upbeat as he is, buoyed by the belief that “this will be a special year in College Football.” It’s a statement of hope, maybe even destiny. And in college football, where the line between optimism and delusion is razor-thin, that belief could be the fuel that powers the Hurricanes back into the conversation.

The Preston Report cuts through the static to bring us closer to the heartbeat of the game—the fans. It reminds us that college football isn’t just played on the field; it’s played in break rooms, on text threads, and in the small moments where faith is tested or affirmed.

The Florida Fiasco: Culture Wars and Tailgate Tensions

When trying to change a culture, you don’t just battle opposing teams—you battle history, expectations, and sometimes even your own fans. Florida’s head coach, Billy Napier, spent the offseason preaching transformation, promising a revamped Gators team with a winning mentality. Yet, the cracks are already showing.

Nick Saban’s recent comment—“the culture needs to change at Florida”—is a jab that lands hard, not because it’s controversial but because it rings true to many in the Gator Nation. And it’s not just about what’s happening on the field. Bizarre skirmishes have marked Florida’s start to the season: from debates over the right color shirts to wear in Week 1 to battles over parking logistics by Week 2.

One fan summed it perfectly on Twitter: “UF is a joke right now,” wrote @Ryanmcc_9, capturing the sentiment that Gainesville is a hotbed of confusion rather than cohesion. Even as some demand clarity, @alexregannnn wonders aloud, “What is happening at UF? Like legit behind the scenes at a high level?” That’s the question everyone wants answered as the Gators stumble through their season, searching for an identity that seems just out of reach.

Arkansas: Outgaining the Opponent and Still Losing—A Masterclass in Frustration

There are losses, and then there are Arkansas losses—gut-wrenching, inexplicable, and yet, almost predictable in their agony. Outgaining Oklahoma State by over 250 yards and still losing? That’s not just a defeat; it’s an art form. Arkansas is now 3-10 in one-score games over the past two seasons. That statistic is more than a number; it’s a legacy of close calls that always seem to go wrong.

As @JesseReSimonton points out, “The Razorbacks never stopped fighting, but Sam Pittman’s tenure with the Hogs may be cooked after this collapse.” It’s a telling sign of where things are headed. The numbers tell one story; the fans tell another. And right now, both point to a program that’s lost its way.

Baylor and the “Almost There” Offense

The defense is doing its job at Baylor, grinding and proving its mettle. But only one side of the ball can carry you so far in football. “This defense belongs; the offense needs to catch up,” lamented a Baylor fan, and the sentiment echoes around Waco. Coach Aranda has the defensive unit firing on all cylinders, but without the offense to back it up, it’s like having a shiny, powerful car stuck in first gear.

Cal and the Sweet Taste of Victory

If you’ve been around Berkeley for any time, you know that being a Cal fan often means being prepared for heartbreak. For years, snatching defeat from the jaws of victory has been a staple of Golden Bear football. But this time, the narrative flipped. Cal came out on top in a hard-fought game against Auburn, winning 21-14. It wasn’t just a win; it was a statement. And for a fanbase that has seen it all, this victory was something special.

“That’s the loudest group of 5000 I’ve ever heard … that was special,” Cal head coach Justin Wilcox said after the game, speaking to the passion and presence of the traveling Bears fans. The Twitterverse was buzzing with a mixture of disbelief and celebration. “Cal just got absolutely hosed,” one fan wrote, expecting another late-game collapse. But this time, Cal didn’t just hold on—they pushed back, proving that maybe, just maybe, this team has a different fate in store this season. Congratulations to the Golden Bears, who didn’t just survive but thrived.

Colorado and the Deion Sanders Show

And then there’s Colorado, where the spectacle is as much about the sidelines as the gameplay. Deion “Coach Prime” Sanders has brought more than just his star-studded sons to Boulder; he’s brought a circus, a spectacle, and perhaps a much-needed jolt to a once-proud program. But is it all smoke and mirrors? As @MattV12345678 bluntly puts it, “Coach Prime is nothing more than a private football coach for Travis Hunter, Shedeur Sanders, and Shilo Sanders masquerading as a head football coach… Change my mind.”

That’s the thing about narratives—they’re easily built but even more easily dismantled. Colorado’s story under Sanders is just beginning to unfold. Whether it becomes a tale of triumph or a cautionary tale of overhyped theatrics is a chapter still unwritten.

From the Twitterverse

Here’s a snapshot of what fans are saying across the country:

  • Indiana: “The fact they would play a team like that for the cheap win says everything.”
  • Florida:
    @UFLORIDAJOE: “Nick Saban just said ‘the culture needs to change at Florida.’ Billy Napier told us all offseason the culture has been changed and he has the best team he’s had since being at Florida. Yikes. This is bad bad.”
    @DKThompson: “I don’t know of an athletic department that is worse at PR and fan relations than UF right now.”
  • Arkansas:
    @bmoorecfb: “Out gaining your opponent 648 yards to 385 yards and losing the game is wild.”
    @Eddie_Rado: “Arkansas outgained Oklahoma State 648-385! Incredible.”
  • Cal:
    @Adam_Bradford14: “I also hereby propose that as long as Hugh Freeze is at Auburn they play Cal every year. The matchup shall be known as Hippies vs. Hookers.”
    @CalRivals: “That’s the loudest group of 5000 I’ve ever heard … that was special.”

The Only Certainty is Uncertainty

If there’s anything to take away from Week 2, the landscape of college football is as unpredictable as ever. Coaches, players, and fans alike are left to navigate a season that promises more twists, heartbreaks, and moments that will leave us all questioning, “What just happened?” Welcome to the show. It’s only getting started.

Week 3 Coaches Hot Seat Rankings Out Tomorrow Morning

Stay tuned – tomorrow is the day – Week 3 Hot Seat Rankings – make sure to stop by.

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