Big 12 Non-Conference Showdown: Aranda’s Baylor Faces A True Test Against Whittingham’s Utes

Baylor Bears vs. Utah Utes: Big 12 Non-Conference Clash – Deep Dive

Game Details

  • Date: Saturday, September 7, 2024
  • Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, UT
  • TV: FOX
  • Spread: Utah -14.5
  • Over/Under: 54.5

The Unique Circumstance

In a scheduling quirk that exemplifies the rapidly changing landscape of college football, the Baylor Bears and Utah Utes find themselves in an unusual situation. Despite being a member of the Big 12 conference in 2024, this game will not count toward conference standings. The matchup was scheduled years ago when Utah was still part of the Pac-12, and rather than canceling the agreement when Utah joined the Big 12, both schools and the conference decided to honor the original non-conference arrangement.

This scenario provides an intriguing early-season test for both programs without the added pressure of conference implications. It also offers a unique opportunity for fans and analysts to gauge how these teams stack up against each other before their official conference clashes in future seasons.

Utah Utes (1-0)

Coaching Stability

Coach Kyle Whittingham enters his 21st season at Utah with an impressive 163-79 record (.674 winning percentage). His longevity and success have made Utah a model of consistency in college football. Whittingham’s teams are known for their physicality, strong defense, and adaptability to personnel strengths.

Coaches Hot Seat Metrics for Whittingham:

  • 21 Years at Utah
  • 242 Games
  • 163 Wins
  • 79 Losses
  • 0 Ties
  • .674 Winning Percentage
  • 8.38 SRS (Simple Rating System)
  • 0.56 SOS (Strength of Schedule)

These metrics underscore Whittingham’s consistent success and ability to compete against intense competition.

Season Opener Recap

Utah kicked off their 2024 campaign with a 49-0 victory over Southern Utah. While the scoreline was impressive, Whittingham and his staff are focusing on areas for improvement:

  1. Running Game: Despite 185 rushing yards, the team fell short of their goal of 5 yards per carry.
  2. Penalties: 6 penalties for 55 yards – an area targeted for cleanup.
  3. Ball Security: Two interceptions and two fumbles (though recovered) are concerns.

Key Players and Developments

  1. Cam Rising (QB): In his return from injury, Rising showcased his arm talent with 254 yards and 5 TDs in just one half of play. His health and performance are crucial to Utah’s success.
  2. Brant Kuithe (TE): Also returning from injury, Kuithe immediately re-established his connection with Rising, hauling in 3 TD passes. His presence adds another dimension to Utah’s passing attack.
  3. Dijon Stanley (RB/WR): The emergence of Stanley (3 catches, 150 yards, 2 TDs) provides Utah with a dynamic playmaker who can stress defenses in multiple ways.
  4. Offensive Line: Whittingham graded their performance as a “B+” but noted room for improvement, especially in pass protection where they allowed 9 pressures.
  5. Defense: Pitching a shutout and holding Southern Utah to just 150 total yards, the defense looks to be in midseason form already.

Offensive Strategy

Offensive coordinator Andy Ludwig has indicated a desire for a more balanced attack against Baylor. While the passing game excelled in the opener, establishing a consistent ground game will be a priority. The Utes will likely try to exploit Baylor’s defensive adjustments under Aranda’s new scheme.

Defensive Outlook

Utah’s defense, traditionally a strength under Whittingham, will face a stiffer test against Baylor’s revamped offense. The focus will be on containing Baylor’s dual-threat QB while not allowing big plays in the passing game.

Baylor Bears (1-0)

Coaching Hot Seat

Dave Aranda enters a pivotal season, with his seat cooling slightly but still warm. The move from #2 to #3 on the Coaches Hot Seat rankings indicates some faith in the program’s direction, but this game against Utah is a critical measuring stick.

Coaches Hot Seat Metrics for Aranda:

  • 4 Years at Baylor
  • 37 Games
  • 20 Wins
  • 17 Losses
  • 0 Ties
  • .541 Winning Percentage
  • 5.64 SRS (Simple Rating System)
  • 1.77 SOS (Strength of Schedule)

While Aranda’s overall record isn’t as strong as Whittingham’s, the higher SOS indicates Baylor has consistently faced tough competition.

Season Opener Analysis

Baylor started their 2024 campaign with a convincing 45-3 win over Tarleton State. Key takeaways include:

  1. Offensive Explosion: 45 points and a balanced attack show promise in new OC Jake Spavital’s system.
  2. Defensive Dominance: Holding opponents to 3 points is impressive at any level.
  3. Transfer Impact: Several transfers made immediate contributions, indicating successful portal management.

Key Players and Developments

  1. Dequan Finn (QB): The Toledo transfer showcased his dual-threat ability with a 39-yard TD run and efficient passing. His adaptation to Spavital’s system will be crucial.
  2. Richard Reese (RB): After a down year in 2023, Reese looks to recapture his freshman form in the new offensive scheme.
  3. Ketron Jackson Jr. (WR): The Arkansas transfer caught a TD in his Baylor debut, providing a new weapon in the passing game.
  4. Keaton Thomas (LB): The transfer linebacker’s pick-six in the opener highlights the potential of Aranda’s “defensive weapons” concept.
  5. Offensive Line: An area of concern, as they struggled to generate consistent push against Tarleton State’s defense.

Schematic Changes

  1. Defense: Aranda has taken over as defensive play-caller, which could lead to more aggressive and unpredictable schemes.
  2. Offense: Spavital’s “Air Raid” concepts have been integrated with Baylor’s existing system, promising a more dynamic and explosive offense.

Keys to the Game for Baylor

  1. Establish the Run: Creating a balanced attack to keep Utah’s defense honest.
  2. Pressure Rising: Trying to disrupt Utah’s passing game by pressuring Rising and disrupting his timing.
  3. Special Teams Edge: Looking for big plays in the return game to flip field position.
  4. Limit Big Plays: Preventing the explosive plays that characterized Utah’s opener.

Matchup Dynamics

  1. Utah’s O-Line vs. Baylor’s Front Seven: This battle in the trenches could decide the game. If Baylor can disrupt Utah’s run game and pressure Rising, they have a chance at the upset.
  2. Baylor’s Secondary vs. Utah’s Passing Attack: The Bears’ revamped secondary will be tested by Rising, Kuithe, and Utah’s emerging playmakers.
  3. Coaching Chess Match: Whittingham’s established system against Aranda’s new defensive approach and Spavital’s offense. In-game adjustments will be crucial.
  4. Special Teams: In what could be a closely contested game, field position and kicking game could prove decisive.
  5. Home Field Advantage: Utah’s Rice-Eccles Stadium is known for its intense atmosphere, which could impact Baylor’s communication and execution.

Prediction

While Baylor shows signs of improvement and has the potential to keep this game close, Utah’s experience, home-field advantage, and the return of key playmakers give them a significant edge. Expect a competitive first half before Utah’s depth and physicality wear down the Bears in the second half.

Utah 34, Baylor 23

This non-conference Big 12 clash should provide valuable insights into both teams’ potential for the 2024 season. For Baylor, a strong showing could further cool Aranda’s hot seat, while Utah looks to make a statement in their first game against a Big 12 opponent as a conference member. Regardless of the outcome, this game sets the stage for what promises to be an exciting season in the new-look Big 12.

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Swamp of Despair Puts Napier in the Top Hot Seat

1. Billy Napier, Florida

Let’s dive into the swampy mess that is the Florida Gators football program under Billy Napier. I’m not one to sugarcoat things, so let’s call it like it is: Napier is knee-deep in the muck, and the hot seat is scorching his backside.

The 41-17 beatdown by Miami? Embarrassing. Napier himself said it. And after two-plus seasons, a dismal 11-15 record ain’t cutting it in Gainesville. The lack of progress is glaring, fans are bailing on games early, and even the legendary Steve Spurrier is publicly questioning Napier’s approach.

Let’s face it, Year 3 is judgment time for any coach, and Napier is failing the test. The Gators look lost, undisciplined, and, frankly, uninspired. The offense is sputtering, the defense is porous, and the special teams are, well, “special” in all the wrong ways.

Napier has a hefty buyout, and Florida’s leadership might be hesitant to pull the trigger. But when the program’s ambassador calls for change and fans threaten to stay home, the pressure is mounting.

Napier’s got a tough road ahead. The schedule doesn’t get any easier, and the vultures are circling. He needs to pull a rabbit out of his hat and fast. Otherwise, his tenure in the Swamp might be coming to an unceremonious end.

Can Napier turn this ship around? It’s possible, but the odds are stacked against him. The Gators need a spark, a jolt of energy, and a whole lot of wins. If Napier can’t deliver, well, it might be time for Florida to start looking for a new captain to navigate these treacherous waters.

The clock is ticking, Billy. The hot seat is burning. It’s time to show us what you’re made of.

2. Shane Beamer, South Carolina

The air in Columbia crackles with nervous energy, a far cry from the jubilant anticipation that typically heralds a new season. South Carolina fans are on edge. The wounds of the 2023 season—a dismal 3-5 in the SEC, a humbling 5-7 overall, and the bitter sting of missing a bowl game—still fester. The echoes of boos raining down on their team in the season opener against Old Dominion haunt their collective memory. Social media, a relentless digital amphitheater, reverberates with their discontent.

Shane Beamer, the man at the helm, feels the weight of their expectations bearing down on him. He occupies the precarious #2 spot on the Coaches Hot Seat List, a stark reminder that the honeymoon phase is over. Two promising seasons to start his tenure bought him goodwill, but last year’s regression has everyone questioning his leadership. The brutal reality of college football is that winning isn’t enough in the SEC; you must consistently compete at the highest level. Right now, South Carolina is falling short.

The pressure is immense. Beamer must orchestrate a dramatic turnaround, and he must do it now. He must prove that 2023 was an anomaly, not a harbinger of decline. He must demonstrate his ability to recruit, develop, and win in the most unforgiving conference in college football. He must guide the Gamecocks back to a bowl game and achieve this feat this year.

The clock is ticking. The fans, the boosters, the administration—all eyes are on him. Every game, every play, every decision will be dissected and analyzed. Beamer’s future at South Carolina hangs precariously in the balance.

Yet, amidst the storm clouds, a glimmer of hope remains. Beamer has tasted victory; he has laid a foundation. Now, he must build upon it. He must prove that he is not simply a capable coach but the visionary leader this program needs to reclaim its former glory. He must silence the doubters and etch his name in South Carolina football lore.

The 2024 season is a crucible. It is a chance for redemption, to defy expectations, and to script a new chapter in the Gamecocks’ storied history. The question hangs heavy in the air: Can Shane Beamer rise to the occasion? Can he navigate the treacherous waters of the SEC and lead his team back to the promised land?

The stage is set. The stakes are high. The spotlight is on. It’s time for Shane Beamer to show the world what he’s made of.

3. Dave Aranda, Baylor

Dave Aranda’s the defensive mastermind who brought Baylor a surprise Big 12 title in 2021. But last year’s offensive struggles were like watching paint dry. With the Big 12 expanding and the competition fiercer, Aranda’s feeling the heat.

He’s not one to panic, though. Aranda’s a thinker, a “Professor,” as they call him, constantly analyzing, always strategizing. This season, he’s taking back the reins of the defense, calling the plays himself, just like he did during LSU’s national championship run. It’s a bold move, a statement that he’s not afraid to get his hands dirty.

On offense, there’s a new sheriff in town: Jake Spavital. He’s bringing an up-tempo scheme and has some new weapons to play with, including transfer QB Dequan Finn and speedy receiver Ashtyn Hawkins. The offensive line has been bolstered with transfers, too, so there’s hope for a more balanced attack.

But let’s be honest. Aranda’s bread and butter is defense. He’s built a reputation for shutting down opponents, and Baylor needs to get back to that. If the defense can regain its swagger and the offense can find some rhythm, the Bears could surprise some folks.

Aranda is a coach who’s always stayed true to himself, even as the college football landscape has shifted dramatically. He’s embraced NIL and the transfer portal but has returned to his roots as a defensive play-caller. It’s a gamble, but it could pay off big time.

The pressure’s on in Waco, but Aranda’s not backing down. He’s got a plan, he’s got the experience, and he’s got the passion. The Bears might be underdogs this year but don’t count them out. Aranda’s got a few tricks up his sleeve, and he’s ready to prove that he’s still one of the best in the business.

4. Sam Pittman, Arkansas

Sam Pittman’s story at Arkansas combines heartwarming nostalgia and high-stakes pressure. He’s like the beloved hometown hero who returned to coach his alma mater, bringing back some of that good ol’ fashioned Razorback pride. But sentimentality only gets you so far in the cutthroat world of SEC football.

Pittman’s 21-17 record is respectable, but it’s not enough to silence the critics in the SEC. Losses to rivals like LSU and Texas A&M sting deep, and the departure of star quarterback KJ Jefferson leaves a gaping hole in the offense. The pressure is on Pittman to prove he can develop a new quarterback and keep the Razorbacks’ momentum rolling, which is a daunting task he’s fully aware of.

In a bold move that raised eyebrows across college football, Pittman brought back Bobby Petrino as offensive coordinator. It’s a high-risk, high-reward gamble that has the entire football community on edge. Petrino’s a brilliant offensive mind, but his past transgressions at Arkansas are still fresh in many people’s minds. Pittman’s betting that Petrino’s expertise can revitalize the offense and propel the Razorbacks to new heights.

The Hogs faithful are hungry for success, and Pittman knows it. He’s not afraid of the hot seat and will make tough decisions to win. As he puts it, “I want to win. I don’t care about all the rest of it.”

Pittman has the support of his athletic director, a talented roster, and a new offensive coordinator with a point to prove. The 2024 season will be a defining one for Pittman and the Razorbacks. It’s a season filled with anticipation and excitement, as it will determine the team’s future. Will they rise to the occasion and make a statement in the SEC? Or will the pressure prove too much, leading to another chapter of disappointment in Fayetteville?

The stage is set, the players are ready, and the drama unfolds. Stay tuned to Coaches Hot Seat as we track Sam Pittman’s high-stakes gamble in the heart of SEC country.

5. Brent Pry, Virginia Tech

Saturday’s loss by Virginia Tech to Vanderbilt wasn’t just a loss; it was a full-blown coaching meltdown, a symphony of errors and indiscipline that has left Virginia Tech reeling and Brent Pry teetering on the edge of oblivion. The Hokies, favored by 13.5 points, were not just beaten; they were embarrassed, outplayed, and outcoached in their own house.

But the final score was merely a symptom of a deeper malaise. The two players sharing the same jersey number on the field wasn’t just a blunder; it was a glaring indictment of a program in disarray, a coaching staff asleep at the wheel. It’s the kind of mistake that makes you question the competence of everyone involved.

Then there’s the childish name-calling, the “poor man’s Trace McSorley” taunt hurled at Vanderbilt’s quarterback. It’s not just disrespectful; it’s a sign of a team that’s lost its way, a group of players who think they’re better than they are. It’s the kind of arrogance that fuels the underdog and comes back to bite you in the ass.

And bite it did. Vanderbilt, motivated and focused, exposed every crack in Virginia Tech’s foundation. They exploited the lack of discipline, the lack of preparation, and the lack of leadership. They made Pry’s Hokies look like a JV squad, a team devoid of identity and purpose.

This isn’t a one-off; it’s a pattern. Pry’s tenure at Virginia Tech has been a slow-motion train wreck, a series of missed opportunities and unfulfilled promises. The same issues keep cropping up: undisciplined players, lackluster preparation, and an inability to maximize the talent on the roster.

The fans are fed up. The alumni are embarrassed. The media is sharpening its knives. Pry’s seat isn’t just hot; it’s melting. He’s lost the locker room, he’s lost the fanbase, and he’s lost the benefit of the doubt.

The Hokies deserve better. They deserve a coach who can instill discipline, inspire confidence, and lead them to greatness. Right now, Brent Pry is the antithesis of that. He’s the captain of a sinking ship, and unless he can plug the leaks and change course, he’ll be remembered not as the savior of Virginia Tech football, but as the one who ran it aground.

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