The Rice Owls are about to undergo their most significant transformation in recent memory.
After a disappointing 4-8 campaign in 2024 that saw a mid-season coaching change, Rice University has appointed Scott Abell as the program’s 20th head coach—a move that signals a dramatic shift in offensive philosophy and team identity. Abell, who turned Davidson College from a perennial loser into a championship contender, now faces the challenge of doing the same in the increasingly competitive American Athletic Conference.
But can his run-heavy approach succeed at Rice? And will 2025 be a year of growth pains or immediate improvement?
Let’s break it down.
Abell Brings A Winning Formula To South Main
Scott Abell isn’t just another coach looking for a bigger paycheck.
His track record of program revival is precisely what Rice desperately needs:
At Davidson College, he transformed a program without a winning season since 2007 into a powerhouse with a 47-28 overall record
He captured two Pioneer Football League championships and led the Wildcats to three consecutive FCS playoff appearances
His teams led the nation in rushing offense for five straight years—a stark contrast to Rice’s 106th-ranked rushing attack in 2024
The philosophical shift couldn’t be more dramatic. While Rice averaged 252.5 passing yards per game (45th nationally) but just 110.5 rushing yards (106th) last season, Abell is bringing a ground-and-pound approach that dominated at the FCS level.
How quickly this transformation takes hold will determine the Owls’ ceiling in 2025.
A Staff Blending Old And New Creates Intriguing Mix
Abell didn’t come alone.
His coaching staff represents a strategic blend of familiar faces and fresh perspectives:
Offensive coordinator Vince Munch follows Abell from Davidson to implement the run-heavy system
Porter Abell (the head coach’s son) takes over as quarterbacks coach and passing game coordinator
Defensive coordinator Jon Kay enters his third season at Rice but with a promotion from linebackers coach
Former NFL standout Ty Warren, a two-time Super Bowl champion with the Patriots, joins as defensive line coach
This mix of continuity and new blood could help ease the transition while bringing much-needed energy to a program that has struggled to find its identity in the AAC.
The question is whether this diverse staff can quickly get on the same page and implement Abell’s vision.
The Transfer Portal Giveth And Taketh Away
Rice’s roster has been significantly reshuffled through the transfer portal, creating both opportunities and challenges.
Key Departures:
Running back Dean Connors (780 rushing yards, 62 receptions in 2024) transferred to crosstown rival Houston
Offensive tackle Ethan Onianwa left for Ohio State, creating a void on the offensive line
Safety Tyson Flowers departed for Virginia Tech, weakening the secondary
Notable Additions:
Cornerback Max Lofy brings Big Ten experience from Wisconsin to bolster the defensive backfield
Offensive linemen Sean Sullivan (Yale) and Cole Morgan (Michigan) provide potential solutions up front
A recruiting class ranked 103rd nationally and sixth in the AAC adds young talent, including running back Tyvonn Byars
Perhaps the most concerning departure is Connors’, particularly given Abell’s run-focused philosophy. Finding his replacement will be critical for offensive success in 2025.
Fixing The Turnover Problem Is Priority Number One
To understand why Rice struggled in 2024, look no further than the turnover column.
The Owls finished with a turnover margin of -13—dead last in college football—by committing 25 turnovers while forcing only 12. This fatal flaw neutralized a defense that performed reasonably well (364.5 yards allowed per game, 54th nationally).
Abell’s disciplined approach at Davidson emphasized ball security and mistake-free football. If he can instill these values quickly, Rice could see immediate improvement even before his offensive system fully takes root.
Imagine what even a neutral turnover margin could mean for a team that lost three games by seven points or fewer last season.
A Schedule Offering Both Challenges And Opportunities
The 2025 slate allows Rice to build momentum while testing its progress against quality opponents.
Non-Conference Games:
August 30: at Louisiana (road test to open the Abell era)
September 6: vs. Houston (crosstown rivalry with added Dean Connors storyline)
September 13: vs. Prairie View A&M (potential confidence builder)
September 27: at Navy (challenging service academy matchup)
Key AAC Games:
September 18 (Thursday): at Charlotte (early conference test)
October 11: at UTSA (regional rivalry)
October 31 (Friday): vs. Memphis (prime-time opportunity)
November 29: at USF (season finale)
Six AAC programs will introduce new head coaches in 2025, making the conference landscape unusually fluid and creating potential opportunities for the Owls to climb the standings faster than expected.
Four home games in the final six weeks could allow Rice to build momentum as players become more comfortable with the new schemes and expectations.
Realistic Expectations For Year One
Success in 2025 will not be measured solely by wins and losses.
While a bowl game would be a tremendous achievement, fans should look for these signs of progress:
Significant improvement in turnover margin from last year’s -13 disaster
Development of a consistent rushing attack reflecting Abell’s philosophy
Competitive performances against established AAC powers
Growth from younger players who fit the new system
Victories against fellow programs also undergoing transitions
The reality is that systematic changes take time. Abell’s history suggests he can accelerate rebuilds, but patience will still be required as Rice installs a new offensive identity.
If the Owls can show progressive improvement throughout the season and establish a clear foundation for 2026 and beyond, that’s a successful first step in the program’s revitalization.
Sometimes, you have to take one step back to take two steps forward.
For Rice football, 2025 lays the groundwork for sustained success under Scott Abell’s leadership. The journey begins on August 30.
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The UAB Blazers football program is walking a dangerous tightrope between redemption and total collapse.
After stumbling to a 3-9 record in 2024 (following an equally disappointing 4-8 campaign in 2023), what was once a respectable mid-major program has devolved into what local fans have bluntly labeled a “clown show.” Head Coach Trent Dilfer, entering his make-or-break third season, faces the monumental task of proving he wasn’t the wrong hire for a program that flourished under previous leadership.
Fans are asking legitimate questions:
Can a Super Bowl-winning quarterback with zero college coaching experience suddenly figure it out in Year 3?
Will the revolving door of transfers and coaching changes finally stabilize?
Is there any path back to the winning formula Bill Clark established before Dilfer’s arrival?
This 2025 season isn’t just another chapter—it might be the final verdict on whether UAB football can reclaim relevance or fade into obscurity.
The Dilfer Experiment Has Been a Spectacular Failure (So Far)
When UAB hired Trent Dilfer in November 2022, the move felt bold, innovative, and full of promise.
A Super Bowl champion quarterback, ESPN analyst, and high school coaching sensation at Lipscomb Academy seemed like the perfect outside-the-box hire to energize a program looking to evolve beyond its Conference USA success. Dilfer arrived with charisma, media savvy, and grand visions for modernizing UAB football.
Two years later, the experiment has crashed and burned:
Bill Clark built a 49-26 record (.653 winning percentage) with five bowl appearances and a conference championship
Dilfer has stumbled to an abysmal 7-17 record (.292) with zero postseason appearances
Home attendance has plummeted as fans vote with their feet
Sideline meltdowns and tone-deaf comments like “It’s not like this is freakin’ Alabama” have alienated supporters
The administration continues publicly backing Dilfer, but the $4.1 million buyout is significant for a program without Power Five resources.
This stark regression raises the uncomfortable question nobody at UAB wants to answer: Was hiring a celebrity coach with zero college experience a colossal mistake critics feared?
The Numbers Paint a Brutal Picture of Program Regression
Nothing clearly tells the story of UAB’s decline than the cold, hard statistics.
Between 2023 and 2024, virtually every meaningful performance metric trended in the wrong direction:
Offensive Collapse:
Passing accuracy plummeted from 71.7% to 63.7%
Rushing production dropped from 161.1 to 130.9 yards per game
Yards per carry decreased from 4.5 to 4.0
Total offense shrank from 450 to 392.5 yards per game
Defensive Disaster:
Allowed a staggering 35.3 points per game in 2024
Surrendered 212.9 rushing yards per game (5.1 per carry)
Opponents converted 11.8 rushing first downs per game
Teams ran at will against the Blazers’ defense
Discipline Issues:
Penalties increased year-over-year
Turnover margins worsened
Game management breakdowns cost winnable games
These aren’t minor fluctuations—they represent systematic regression across every phase of football.
The numbers don’t lie: UAB is getting worse, not better, under Dilfer’s leadership.
Coaching Staff Overhaul: Desperation Move or Strategic Reset?
Dilfer’s coaching staff has been completely gutted after two disastrous seasons.
When multiple assistants leave a struggling program, it typically signals one of two realities: either the head coach is cleaning house to save his job, or the assistants are fleeing a sinking ship. For UAB, it’s likely both.
The exodus includes:
Wide receivers coach Austin Appleby
Defensive line coach Miguel Patrick
Linebackers coach Kenwick Thompson
Several other position coaches and analysts
The most significant addition is new defensive coordinator Steve Russ, who inherits the unenviable task of rebuilding a unit that allowed over 35 points per game. Secondary coach Brent Vieselmeyer also joins a defensive staff desperately seeking answers.
While coaching changes were necessary, this level of turnover creates new challenges:
New systems must be installed during a single offseason
Player-coach relationships reset to zero
Recruiting pipelines and connections must be rebuilt
Staff chemistry takes time to develop
The question isn’t whether change was needed—it was—but whether these specific changes will produce different results or reset the failure clock.
Transfer Portal Mayhem: 19 Out, 13 In, Total Identity Crisis
The transfer portal has transformed UAB’s roster into an unrecognizable collection of new faces.
Modern college football often resembles free agency, but UAB’s situation stands out for its extreme volatility: 19 players transferred out while 13 newcomers arrived through the portal. This isn’t normal roster churn—it’s a wholesale identity crisis.
Key Departures That Hurt:
QB Jacob Zeno → Texas A&M (former statistical leader)
WR Amare Thomas → Houston (top receiving threat)
RB Lee Beebe Jr. → Indiana (lead running back)
S Adrian Maddox → Georgia (defensive standout)
OL Delano Townsend → Ole Miss (offensive line anchor)
S Josh Baka from Kent State (secondary reinforcement)
DL Nigel Tate from Boston College (defensive line help)
QB Ryder Burton from West Virginia (quarterback depth)
This extreme roster volatility creates both challenges and opportunities:
Team chemistry and culture must be rebuilt from scratch
New players need to rapidly learn systems and expectations
Position battles will dominate spring and fall practices
A unified identity will be difficult to establish
Fresh talent could provide immediate impact
For a coach entering a make-or-break third season, this level of roster turnover only adds to the pressure to produce immediate results.
The Quarterback Situation: Kitna Firmly Entrenched as QB1
Jalen Kitna is the unquestioned leader of UAB’s offense heading into 2025.
Despite speculation about a potential quarterback competition, head coach Trent Dilfer has already made it clear that Kitna is firmly established as the team’s starter. According to Steve Irvine of The Banner, Dilfer confirmed Kitna “was the starter for the final eight games last season, and he entered this spring as the unquestioned quarterback leader.”
Kitna’s 2024 Journey:
Took over as starter in Week 5 against Tulane
Finished with 196/316 passing for 2,209 yards
Threw 16 touchdowns in his seven starts after the Tulane game
Struggled with turnovers (10 interceptions plus fumble issues)
Posted back-to-back impressive performances (384 yards vs. USF, 404 yards with 6 TDs vs. Tulsa)
Dilfer’s Expectations for 2025:
“We need to see a big step. We need to see a more confident player, more instinctive player, more consistent player.”
“To play quarterback here, be careful what you ask for, because you just got it…”
“The standards [are] extremely high.”
While Kitna’s starting job is secure, the spring competition focuses on establishing the quarterback depth chart. Sophomore transfer Ryder Burton, who spent one year at BYU and West Virginia without seeing game action, will get his first opportunity to impress the coaching staff. Additional depth includes redshirt freshmen Adrian Posse, Nate Rogers, and Cameron Jennings, with Trace Campbell also competing for position on the depth chart.
Kitna embraces the team-first mentality, telling The Banner: “My focus is being the best I can be… I’m here for the team’s success. I’m here to win, so my job going into this season is to put our team in the best position.”
The redshirt senior’s development and ability to minimize the turnover issues that plagued him in 2024 will be critical to UAB’s chances of improvement. Dilfer praised Kitna’s work ethic, noting he “works at an NFL level” and has “recognized the deficiencies in his game” while attacking them appropriately.
2025 Schedule: Where Are the Wins?
Finding six victories for bowl eligibility looks challenging on UAB’s 2025 slate.
The schedule offers balanced opportunity and adversity, but for a program coming off a 3-9 campaign, identifying winnable games requires optimistic projections:
Potential Wins:
Home opener vs. Alabama State (Aug. 28)
Home contest vs. Akron (non-conference)
Winnable American Athletic Conference matchups against South Florida and Charlotte
Major Challenges:
Road trip to Tennessee (power conference mismatch)
Annual “Battle for the Bones” vs. Memphis (Oct. 18)
Conference games against improved American Athletic opponents
For a coach and program desperately needing momentum, the season opener against Alabama State becomes critical. Starting 1-0 with a convincing victory could build confidence before conference play begins.
The harsh reality is that this schedule does not guarantee wins for a program that has repeatedly lost to lesser competition over the past two seasons.
Five Non-Negotiables for UAB’s 2025 Resurrection
If UAB has any chance to climb out of this hole, these five priorities must be addressed immediately.
1. Fix the Abysmal Run Defense
New DC Steve Russ must transform a unit allowing 212.9 rushing yards per game.
Fundamentals like tackling, gap integrity, and run fits need a complete overhaul.
The defensive line must establish the ability to win at the line of scrimmage.
Third down stops must increase dramatically.
2. Establish Quarterback Stability
Whether it’s Kitna or Burton, one quarterback must take command
Passing efficiency must return to at least 2023 levels (71.7%)
The quarterback must become a team leader beyond just on-field performance
Staff must commit to development rather than quick hooks
3. Reclaim Offensive Identity
Decide on philosophy: pass-heavy or balanced attack?
Improve horrific 130.9 yards per game rushing output
Create consistent opportunities for playmakers
Reduce predictability that plagued the 2024 offense
4. Eliminate Self-Destruction
Reduce penalties that stalled drives and extended opponent possessions
Improve turnover margin through ball security and defensive opportunism
Eliminate game management errors in critical situations
Develop resilience when facing adversity
5. Reconnect with Alienated Fanbase
Winning solves most problems, but relationship rebuilding is essential
Dilfer must show humility and connection to the Birmingham community
The athletic department should acknowledge frustrations rather than ignore them
Create tangible reasons for fans to return to home games
Without addressing these five critical areas, any hope for progress is merely wishful thinking.
Living in Bill Clark’s Long Shadow
The ghost of Bill Clark’s success continues to haunt Trent Dilfer’s tenure.
What makes Dilfer’s struggles particularly painful for UAB fans is the vivid memory of what the program achieved under Clark:
Resurrection of a program shut down in 2015
Consistent winning seasons and bowl appearances
Conference USA championship in 2018
Clear program identity and development philosophy
Respected leadership within the Birmingham community
Clark built something remarkable through hard work, development, and a blue-collar approach that resonated perfectly with Birmingham’s identity. Dilfer has tried replacing that foundation with celebrity, innovation, and aggressive modernization.
So far, the results speak for themselves:
Clark: 49-26 record, five bowls, one conference title
Dilfer: 7-17 record, zero bowls, declining statistics
For Dilfer to escape Clark’s shadow in 2025, he needs more than marginal improvement—he needs a dramatic turnaround that changes the entire narrative surrounding the program.
Until then, every UAB game will be played with Clark’s achievements as the measuring stick.
The Verdict: 2025 Is the Ultimate Judgment Season
UAB football stands at the most critical crossroads in its post-shutdown history.
After two disastrous seasons under Trent Dilfer, the 2025 campaign represents more than just another 12-game schedule—it’s the ultimate referendum on whether his hiring was a catastrophic mistake or a long-term vision that needed time.
The coaching staff changes, roster overhaul, and strategic adjustments suggest an acknowledgment that the status quo was unacceptable. Whether these changes translate to on-field improvement remains the critical question.
For a fanbase that has endured program elimination, fought for its revival, and then watched it deteriorate into what they describe as a “clown show,” patience has evaporated.
The 2025 season will deliver a clear answer: Is UAB football capable of resurrection under Trent Dilfer, or are we witnessing the final chapter of a failed experiment?
The stakes couldn’t possibly be higher for a program and a passionate Birmingham community that deserves better.
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Don’t miss another deep dive into college football’s most crucial storylines and program developments. Our team-by-team analysis gives you the insider perspective to understand where each program is headed in 2025 and beyond. Subscribe for free now to access our comprehensive breakdowns, exclusive hot seat rankings, and in-depth conference analysis delivered to your inbox. Join thousands of college football insiders who trust Coaches Hot Seat to keep them ahead of the game. Hit the link below to unlock all our premium content and never miss another update.
Navy football just delivered its first 10-win season since 2019, and it’s only getting started.
After half a decade of mediocrity, the Midshipmen roared back to life in 2024 with a statement season: 10-3 record, Commander-in-Chief’s Trophy, and a bowl victory that stunned Oklahoma. Navy’s triple-option offense became appointment viewing again, and heading into 2025, this team has all the ingredients to make another run at the American Athletic Conference title.
Here’s why Navy is positioned to become one of college football’s best stories in 2025:
Navy’s 2024 resurrection wasn’t a fluke—it was a foundation
The Midshipmen shocked college football by transforming from perennial losers to conference contenders overnight.
What happened in 2024 wasn’t just a good season but a complete program resurrection. Navy opened with six straight wins, including a 56-44 offensive explosion against Memphis. They reclaimed the Commander-in-Chief’s Trophy by dismantling Air Force 34-7 and handling Army 31-13. The season’s exclamation point came with quarterback Blake Horvath’s jaw-dropping 95-yard touchdown run to secure a 21-20 bowl victory over Oklahoma.
“That run against Oklahoma showed exactly what makes our offense dangerous,” noted Navy Athletics Director Chet Gladchuk in a January interview with the Naval Academy’s alumni magazine. “When you combine discipline with explosive athleticism, special things happen.”
This wasn’t just a good season. It was a warning shot to the rest of the conference.
The offense returns 73% of its production (which is absurd in the transfer portal era)
Returning nearly three-quarters of your offensive production in today’s college football landscape is practically unheard of.
Navy’s triple-option attack ranked 12th nationally in returning production, creating a level of continuity that option offenses particularly benefit from. The system’s effectiveness comes from precision, timing, and split-second decision-making—all qualities that improve dramatically with experience.
Established fullback Alex Tecza (576 yards, 8 TDs)
A cohesive offensive line with multiple returning starters
Backup QB Braxton Woodson, who gained valuable experience in 2024
A rushing attack that already averaged 247.5 yards per game at 5.4 yards per carry
“Our triple-option is the great equalizer,” Horvath told the Capital Gazette following the Armed Forces Bowl victory. “Teams can prepare for it, but until you’ve seen our speed and execution in person, it’s tough to simulate.”
The scary part? This offense still has room to grow.
The defense quietly dominated in 2024 (and returns plenty of production)
While the offense gets the headlines, Navy’s defense was the unsung hero of last season’s success.
The Midshipmen defense returns 53% of its production from a unit that surrendered just 22.2 points per game. Against the run—where games are often won or lost in college football—they were particularly stingy, allowing only 156.1 yards per game and 4.2 yards per carry.
What made this defense special in 2024:
Disciplined play (just 5.1 penalties for 45 yards per game)
Strong fundamentals (particularly in tackling)
Creating turnovers in key moments
Flexibility against varied offensive schemes in the AAC
The secondary remains the area for potential improvement, allowing 212.8 passing yards per game at a 59.3% completion rate. With the high-powered passing attacks in the American Athletic Conference, developing depth at cornerback and safety positions will be crucial during spring practice.
But the defensive foundation is rock solid.
The 2025 schedule is set up perfectly for another championship run
If you were designing an ideal schedule for sustained momentum, Navy’s 2025 slate comes pretty close.
The schedule breaks down as follows:
Early confidence-builders: VMI (Aug. 30) and UAB (Sept. 6) at home to start the season
Traditional rivalry games: Air Force (Oct. 4 in Annapolis) and Army (Dec. 13 in Baltimore)
Major spotlight game: at Notre Dame (Nov. 8)
Late-season statement opportunity: at Memphis (Nov. 27)
Balanced distribution: 5 home games, 7 road games
“The 2025 schedule gives us a good balance,” said head coach Brian Newberry in a press release announcing the schedule. “Starting with two home games helps us establish our identity, and having Air Force at home is significant for our Commander-in-Chief’s Trophy defense.”
The schedule provides the perfect mix of winnable games, high-profile showcases, and conference challenges.
While everyone else rebuilds through the transfer portal, Navy builds through development
Navy’s approach is refreshingly old-school in college football’s transfer portal era.
While the portal has revolutionized roster construction elsewhere, Navy’s unique service academy structure means it operates differently by necessity. Yes, they lost a few players through the portal—defensive end Jacob Busic (to UCLA) and quarterback Trey Dunn (to Marshall)—but the program’s mission and requirements naturally limit both departures and arrivals.
This creates three massive competitive advantages:
Unrivaled continuity in an era of constant roster turnover
Players fully bought into Navy’s unique system over multiple years
A culture that develops players rather than replacing them
What initially seems like a disadvantage reinforces the team’s identity and approach.
Navy is built differently than 99% of college football programs (and that’s their superpower)
The Midshipmen are positioned to build on their 2024 revival and potentially take it even further in 2025.
Navy stands apart in a world where college football programs increasingly resemble each other with similar offensive systems, transfer portal strategies, and NIL approaches. Their identity is crystal clear: physical, disciplined football executing a unique system with precision and purpose.
If the passing game develops as a more consistent threat and the defense maintains its stinginess, Navy could find itself in the AAC championship game come December. For a program built on tradition, 2025 presents an opportunity to establish a new winning tradition for the current generation of Midshipmen.
The ingredients are all there. Navy isn’t just hoping to win—they’re built to win.
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Zach Kittley is 33 years old, making him the youngest head coach in FBS football — and he’s about to unleash an offensive revolution at Florida Atlantic University (FAU).
After going 3-9 last season, the Owls decided to blow everything up
The FAU football program needed a fundamental reset after a disappointing 2024 campaign that saw:
Former head coach Tom Herman was dismissed late in the season after starting 2-8
A revolving door at quarterback producing just 14 touchdowns against 11 interceptions
A porous defense surrendered 30+ points in 7 different games
A measly 1-7 record in their second year in the American Athletic Conference
When Athletic Director Brian White searched for a new leader, he didn’t want incremental improvement—he wanted transformation.
Enter Zach Kittley, the offensive wizard whose previous systems at Houston Baptist, Western Kentucky, and Texas Tech averaged a ridiculous 457.3 yards and 34.8 points per game over seven seasons.
“We want to play fast, physical football and put a product on the field that the entire FAU community can be proud of,” Kittley said when hired in December 2024.
The bold move signals FAU’s willingness to embrace a high-risk, high-reward strategy in the increasingly competitive college football landscape.
The transfer portal has completely reshaped FAU’s roster in just one offseason
Kittley raided the portal like a kid in a candy store, completely overhauling the roster with players who fit his system.
The most significant additions came at key positions:
Quarterback: Caden Veltkamp followed Kittley from Western Kentucky, bringing pre-installed knowledge of the offensive system
Wide Receivers: Easton Messer (Western Kentucky), Damien Alford (Utah), and Asaad Waseem (Colorado) form a suddenly dangerous receiving corps
Offensive Line: Madden Sanker from Louisville arrives to protect the quarterback in Kittley’s pass-heavy scheme
Defensive Line: Naejuan Barber (Coastal Carolina), Enyce Sledge (Illinois), and twins Tycoolhill and Tyclean Luman (Rutgers) provide immediate upgrades
Secondary: Antonio Robinson Jr. (Wake Forest) and Derrick Rogers Jr. (Purdue) bring Power Five experience to the defensive backfield
The mass roster turnover represents both a necessary reset and a calculated gamble.
If these transfers mesh quickly, FAU could become one of the most improved teams in the AAC.
The returning veterans provide the stability needed during this massive transition
Not everything is new in Boca Raton.
A core group of battle-tested players will anchor the team during this period of rapid change:
Linebacker Jackson Ambush returns after leading the team with 89 tackles and 6.5 tackles for loss
His partner Desmond Tisdol added 71 tackles, 5.5 tackles for loss, and 2.5 sacks
Center Federico Maranges, an honorable mention All-AAC selection, provides stability on the offensive line
The receiving corps retains senior Caleb Coombs (51 career receptions) and redshirt juniors Jayshon Platt and BJ Alexander
These veterans will be crucial in maintaining team culture while integrating the influx of new talent.
Their leadership in the locker room might determine whether this ambitious rebuild sinks or swims.
Kittley has assembled a coaching staff as young and hungry as he is
Youth and innovation define the new coaching regime at FAU.
The offensive staff features:
Offensive line coach Stephen Hamby
Tight ends coach Jujuan Dulaney
Wide receivers coach, DJ McCarthy with NFL and SEC experience
Defensively, coordinator Brett Dewhurst takes charge of a unit that desperately needs improvement, supported by:
Inside linebackers coach Aaron Schwanz
Defensive line coaches Devin Santana and Brandon Lacy
Most significantly, Kittley will call the offensive plays—the clearest indication that FAU is all-in on his offensive vision as the program’s identity.
This staff represents a complete philosophical shift from the previous regime.
The 2025 schedule offers both immediate challenges and significant opportunities
The Owls face an immediate reality check with a season-opening trip to Maryland on August 30.
The full slate includes:
Non-conference: at Maryland (Aug 30), Florida A&M (Sep 6), at FIU (Sep 13)
Key home games: Memphis (Sep 27), UAB (Oct 11), Tulsa (Nov 8), UConn (Nov 22), East Carolina (Nov 29)
Strategic breaks: Two bye weeks (Sep 20 and Nov 1) provide recovery periods
The schedule seems designed for a team in transition — challenging enough to reveal their true identity but balanced enough to build momentum if things click early.
With SMU departing for the ACC and coaching changes across the conference, the AAC hierarchy is suddenly more fluid than in years.
Here’s why FAU could dramatically exceed expectations in 2025
Is bowl eligibility realistic for a program coming off a 3-9 season with a first-time head coach?
The optimist’s case is compelling:
Kittley’s offensive system has proven capable of producing points regardless of talent level
The transfer portal additions represent immediate upgrades at multiple positions
The AAC lacks dominant powerhouses, creating an opportunity for rapid ascension
South Florida’s recruiting territory gives the program natural advantages
The new staff brings fresh energy and schemes opponents haven’t prepared for
The path from three wins to six isn’t as far as it might seem.
If Veltkamp provides stability at quarterback and the defense can make modest improvements, the Owls could play meaningful games in November.
But significant challenges could derail FAU’s ambitious reset
Program instability remains the elephant in the room.
The Owls are now on their third head coach in four years, creating obstacles like:
Systems and terminology changing constantly for returning players
Team culture being repeatedly reset just as it begins forming
Recruiting relationships requiring rebuilding with each coaching change
Fan and donor patience potentially wearing thin with each restart
Beyond that, fundamental football questions remain unanswered:
Can a 33-year-old first-time head coach handle the responsibilities beyond X’s and O’s?
Will a defense that surrendered 30+ points seven times last season improve enough?
Can transfers from various programs gel into a cohesive unit quickly?
Is Kittley’s offensive system too complex to implement in just one off-season?
The answers to these questions will determine whether 2025 represents the beginning of a breakthrough or just another false start.
College football programs don’t transform overnight.
The Kittley era represents the highest-risk, highest-reward strategy in FAU’s recent history
Florida Atlantic is making a bet that few programs would have the courage to make.
They’re banking on youth, offensive innovation, and wholesale roster changes to create immediate competitive advantages in a conference that’s suddenly more vulnerable than ever.
If it works, the Owls could become the AAC’s next breakthrough program, following the path of schools like Coastal Carolina and UTSA, which rose from obscurity to conference contenders.
If it fails? It’ll just be another coaching regime that promised big and delivered little.
Either way, FAU football will be one of college football’s most fascinating experiments in 2025.
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Don’t miss another deep dive into college football’s most crucial storylines and program developments. Our team-by-team analysis gives you the insider perspective to understand where each program is headed in 2025 and beyond. Subscribe for free now to access our comprehensive breakdowns, exclusive hot seat rankings, and in-depth conference analysis delivered to your inbox. Join thousands of college football insiders who trust Coaches Hot Seat to keep them ahead of the game. Hit the link below to unlock all our premium content and never miss another update.
After capping an impressive 11-2 campaign with a Scooter’s Coffee Frisco Bowl victory over West Virginia, the Memphis Tigers enter the 2025 season with renewed optimism despite significant roster turnover. Head Coach Ryan Silverfield, entering his sixth year at the helm with a 42-21 overall record, faces the challenge of maintaining momentum while integrating numerous new faces into a program that has established itself as a contender in the American Athletic Conference.
Quarterback Transition Marks Biggest Change
The Tigers face their most significant challenge in replacing four-year starting quarterback Seth Henigan, who has exhausted his eligibility after an exceptional career that saw him become one of the most productive passers in program history. The 2024 offense thrived under Henigan’s leadership, averaging a balanced 270.5 passing yards and 174.1 rushing yards per game with a 64.7% completion rate.
Filling this void is the addition of transfer portal player Brendon Lewis, who brings valuable experience from his time at Colorado and Nevada.
“Lewis brings a different dimension to our offense,” Silverfield noted in a statement reported by The Commercial Appeal. “With 25 career starts and over 2,290 passing yards last season, we’re getting an experienced signal-caller who can make plays with both his arm and his legs.”
While Lewis may not immediately replicate Henigan’s production, his dual-threat capabilities could add a dynamic element that keeps opposing defenses off-balance and potentially opens new wrinkles in offensive coordinator Tim Cramsey’s playbook.
Defensive Overhaul Through Transfer Portal
Perhaps the most significant transformation will come on the defensive side of the ball, where the Tigers have addressed key weaknesses from the 2024 campaign. Despite respectable yardage allowed (257.5 passing yards and 111.8 rushing yards per game), Memphis struggled with a negative turnover margin, forcing just 0.6 turnovers per game while giving up 2.0 per contest.
The Tigers have significantly upgraded their defense through the portal:
Defensive Line: The addition of Pooda Walker (26 tackles at Kennesaw State) and Chase Carter (25 tackles at Incarnate Word with previous experience at Michigan State) should bolster a front that saw departures including Derick Hunter Jr. Importantly, William Whitlow Jr., who recorded 24 tackles and four sacks last season, withdrew from the transfer portal and returns for his senior season, providing crucial continuity.
Linebacker Corps: Drue Watts arrives from Nevada with impressive credentials, having accumulated 180 tackles over three seasons. His productivity and experience should immediately upgrade a unit that needed more playmaking ability.
Secondary Reinforcements: The defensive backfield receives perhaps the most significant boost with Myles Pollard and Kody Jones, both from Michigan. Jones, a Germantown High School standout, returns to his hometown, bringing Power 5 experience to a secondary that needed more dynamic turnover-creating players.
These strategic additions address the defensive vulnerabilities that occasionally surfaced during the 2024 season, particularly in creating turnovers and consistent pressure on opposing quarterbacks.
Offensive Supporting Cast Strengthened
While quarterback play will garner the most attention, the Tigers have methodically reinforced other offensive positions:
Offensive Line Bolstered
Ethan Newman (Kennesaw State) brings freshman experience after appearing in 10 games
Austin Gentle (Harvard) adds seasoned leadership as a multi-year starter with second-team All-Ivy League honors in consecutive seasons, providing intelligence and technique to protect Lewis and open running lanes
Added Receiving Depth
Jadon Thompson joins after stints at Cincinnati and Louisville. Though limited to three games in 2024 due to injury, his experience (882 career yards and four touchdowns) adds valuable depth to a receiving corps that will need to develop chemistry with their new quarterback. Thompson’s addition becomes particularly important as the Tigers look to maintain their 23.1 first downs per game average from 2024.
The offensive line additions should help sustain a rushing attack that was effective in 2024 while providing adequate protection for Lewis as he adjusts to his new offensive system.
Coaching Stability with Strategic Additions
The coaching staff maintains important continuity while adding specialized expertise:
Offensive Coordinator Tim Cramsey returns for his fourth season, providing system continuity that should ease the quarterback transition
Co-Defensive Coordinators Jordon Hankins and Spence Nowinsky both enter their second year, with Hankins receiving a contract extension through 2026 following last season’s success
New additions to the staff include:
Scott Gasper, as General Manager, brings over 20 years of coaching experience. Previously the director of player personnel and recruiting at East Carolina, Gasper will oversee recruiting operations and roster management.
Jay Simpson as Cornerbacks Coach from Arkansas State, arriving in January 2025 to work with a secondary that has been reinforced with talent
Kendrick Wade is the Tight Ends Coach and was previously the head coach at Mississippi Valley State University. Wade’s background as a former wide receiver adds offensive expertise to Cramsey’s staff
These strategic coaching additions reflect Silverfield’s emphasis on building a staff that can develop talent while maintaining scheme continuity.
Schedule Analysis: Opportunities and Challenges
The 2025 schedule presents both opportunities for statement victories and potential pitfalls:
Marquee Matchups
September 20 vs. Arkansas (Home): A visit from an SEC opponent represents the season’s highest-profile non-conference game and a chance to make a national statement
November 7 vs. Tulane: Likely to have major implications for the AAC Championship race, this matchup could determine who represents the conference in the title game
Potential Trap Games
September 13 at Troy: Coming just before the Arkansas game, this road test against a consistently tough Sun Belt program could prove dangerous
October 18 at UAB: Following a bye week, the Tigers could face rust issues against a conference rival
October 31 at Rice: The Friday night setting adds unpredictability to this road contest
November 15 at East Carolina: A late-season road test that could impact conference standings and bowl positioning
2025 Season Projection
Based on a comprehensive analysis of roster changes, coaching continuity, and schedule challenges, the Tigers appear positioned for another successful season:
Projected Regular Season Record: 10-2 overall, 7-1 in AAC play
Likely Losses: at Troy, vs. Tulane
Bowl Projection: AAC Championship Game appearance + Tier 1 Bowl (Fenway or Military)
With perfect execution in conference play, this team’s ceiling could reach 11-1, while potential floor projections suggest 8-4 if quarterback transition issues or defensive cohesion become problematic.
Position Group Strength Assessment
Comparing the 2025 projected roster to the 2024 squad reveals interesting shifts in team composition:
Quarterback: Slight regression expected initially with Henigan’s departure, though Lewis brings an athletic upside
Offensive Line: Notable improvement with high-quality transfers reinforcing the unit
Secondary & Linebackers: Major upgrades expected from Power 5 and productive G5 transfers
Special Teams: Stability maintained with no significant changes noted
Bottom Line
Despite significant roster turnover, particularly at the quarterback position, the Memphis Tigers have effectively reloaded through the transfer portal. Coach Silverfield’s program continues to demonstrate the stability and recruiting prowess necessary to remain among the AAC elite.
With strategic additions addressing specific weaknesses from 2024, particularly on defense, and a veteran quarterback in Lewis to manage the offense, Memphis has the pieces to contend for a conference championship. If the new defensive additions can generate more turnovers and the offensive line provides adequate protection for Lewis, Tiger fans could be celebrating another successful campaign in December.
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Every head coach in college football lives on borrowed time.
Some seats are scorching, others are comfortably cool—but all of them can change temperature in a single season. After our month-long deep dive into each ACC program, we’ve analyzed the numbers, parsed the press conferences, and applied our proprietary algorithms to rank every ACC coach’s job security heading into the 2025 season.
Here’s the definitive ranking of who’s feeling the heat and who’s sitting pretty:
1. Tony Elliott (Virginia)
Elliott’s seat isn’t just hot—it’s practically molten. With an abysmal 11-23 record (.324 winning percentage) that falls dramatically below our “Minimum Acceptable” threshold of .419 for UVA, Elliott enters 2025 needing at least eight wins to save his job. His inability to win close games (4-8 in one-score contests) and a complete offensive identity crisis have exhausted nearly all goodwill in Charlottesville. Even a $15 million NIL payroll and aggressive transfer portal strategy might not be enough to overcome three years of disappointment. With the Athletic Director’s contract expiring in June 2025, Elliott faces a likely “win or walk” ultimatum.
Four consecutive 3-9 seasons have Stanford football fans wondering if they’re trapped in a cruel time loop. Taylor’s .250 winning percentage (6-18) falls dramatically below what our analysts calculate as the minimum acceptable threshold of .506 for Stanford coaches. The most fascinating development is the unprecedented hiring of Cardinal legend Andrew Luck as General Manager—a move that signals Stanford recognizes business as usual isn’t working. Taylor’s saving grace might be his recruiting success, including landing promising quarterback Bear Bachmeier for the 2025 class. However, with sophomore Elijah Brown taking over at quarterback and significant holes remaining on defense, Taylor must show meaningful progress to avoid becoming another casualty of Stanford’s fall from relevance.
After the most dramatic year-to-year collapse in college football history—from 13-1 ACC Champions to a disastrous 2-10 season—Norvell’s $54.4 million buyout keeps him employed. The problem isn’t just wins and losses; it’s a fundamental cultural disconnect. Despite contributing $4.5 million of his 2025 salary toward fundraising, Norvell’s heavy reliance on the transfer portal (with 16 new transfers ranking as the No. 5 class nationally) has created a roster with limited emotional investment in what it means to be a Seminole. If Norvell can’t reconnect players to Florida State’s traditions and pride while dramatically improving results, even that massive buyout won’t save him.
Pry has pushed all his chips to the center of the table after a mediocre 6-6 season in 2024 and a 16-21 overall record through three years. He’s completely revamped his coaching staff, hiring Philip Montgomery (Baylor/Tulsa) as offensive coordinator and Sam Siefkes to lead the defense. The Hokies also face significant roster turnover with over 30 new players, including transfers like Cameron Seldon (Tennessee) and Sherrod Covil Jr. (Clemson). The good news? Kyron Drones returns at quarterback after showing flashes of brilliance in 2024. The bad news? Another 6-6 season might not be enough to save Pry’s job as national analysts like ESPN’s Adam Rittenberg and The Athletic’s Andy Staples have explicitly identified him as being on thin ice.
Wilcox has reached his breaking point at Cal. His current .457 winning percentage sits below the “Minimum Acceptable” threshold of .490, and the program shows alarming signs of stagnation after three consecutive mediocre seasons (4-8 in 2022, 6-7 in 2023, 6-7 in 2024). What makes Cal’s situation particularly fascinating is Wilcox’s contract through 2027 with a massive $15 million buyout. Sensing the pressure, Wilcox has made a bold move: completely overhauling his offense by hiring former Auburn head coach Bryan Harsin as offensive coordinator and controversial former Washington State coach Nick Rolovich as senior offensive assistant. With new Chancellor Rich Lyons (the first Cal undergraduate to hold the position in nearly a century) already talking about making football “self-supporting,” 2025 represents a referendum on Wilcox’s tenure and the program’s direction.
After Miami’s impressive 10-3 record and College Football Playoff appearance in 2024, it might seem strange to find Cristobal this high in our hot-seat rankings. However, his .579 winning percentage still falls below the .670 minimum acceptable winning percentage established by our metrics for a program with 5 national championships. More troublingly, in each of Cristobal’s three seasons, Miami has lost at least three of their final four games—a pattern suggesting structural problems in program conditioning, depth, or coaching adjustments. Despite his massive $80 million, 10-year contract with a reported $62 million buyout, Cristobal faces legitimate expectations in 2025: at least 10 regular season wins, an ACC Championship appearance, meaningful victories against Notre Dame and Florida, and a prestigious bowl victory. With Georgia transfer Carson Beck taking over at QB, Cristobal has the pieces for a special season—if he can solve his November fade problem.
After an inexplicable 2024 season where the Panthers started 7-0 before losing six straight to finish 7-6, Narduzzi finds himself in unfamiliar territory—the hot seat. Despite a decent overall record (72-56, .563) and the 2021 ACC Championship, back-to-back disappointing seasons have fans restless. What makes Narduzzi’s situation particularly fascinating is his rumored $30 million buyout that runs through 2030. The quarterback competition between sophomore Eli Holstein and freshman Mason Heintschel will likely determine both Pitt’s ceiling and Narduzzi’s job security. Most critically, Narduzzi must solve the team’s fourth-quarter collapses and November mental toughness issues that defined their 2024 implosion.
After 12 seasons, 87 wins, and zero ACC Championship appearances, Doeren faces the classic “good but not great” dilemma. His 44-46 ACC record and disappointing 6-7 campaign in 2024 have Wolfpack fans asking uncomfortable questions. Despite a contract through 2029 and a $15.7 million buyout, Doeren clearly feels the pressure—he’s completely overhauled his coaching staff, promoting Kurt Roper to offensive coordinator and hiring D.J. Eliot and Charlton Warren to lead the defense. If another mediocre season unfolds, AD Boo Corrigan might finally be forced to make the difficult conversation about whether NC State needs new leadership to reach the next level.
After back-to-back 7-6 campaigns, Key has positioned Georgia Tech for what could be their most successful season in years. The Yellow Jackets rank 26th nationally and 3rd in the ACC in returning production—bringing back 64% of their offensive and 65% of their defensive production, including star quarterback Haynes King (72.9% completion rate), leading rusher Jamal Haynes, and top receiver Malik Rutherford. Their 2024 season showed flashes of greatness, including upsets of Florida State and Miami, plus pushing Georgia to eight overtimes. With a third year in offensive coordinator Buster Faulkner’s system, a favorable schedule, and returning talent, the Yellow Jackets have all the ingredients for a special season. The one glaring weakness Key must address? A pass rush that generated just 18 sacks all season (last in the ACC).
We have Key listed as “WARM” on our hot seat meter only because his winning record of .529 is below the Georgia Tech minimum standard of .534. However, we think Georgia Tech could emerge as the surprise team in the ACC this season (which would move Key’s Hot Seat status to COOL.)
Brown faces a pivotal second year after an impressive 10-3 debut season that included victories over three AP-ranked teams and a Holiday Bowl win over Washington State. Now comes the hard part: proving it wasn’t just a one-year wonder. Syracuse has lost several cornerstone players, including record-setting quarterback Kyle McCord (4,779 yards, 34 TDs) and dynamic running back LeQuint Allen (1,021 rushing yards, 521 receiving yards, 20 total TDs). The Orange face what might be college football’s most demanding schedule in 2025, with matchups against Tennessee, Clemson, SMU, Miami, and Notre Dame. Brown has leveraged the transfer portal aggressively, securing the 11th-ranked transfer class nationally, but with LSU transfer Rickie Collins taking over at quarterback with limited collegiate experience, expectations should be managed realistically.
O’Brien exceeded expectations in his first season at BC, compiling a 7-6 record, including a stunning upset over #10 Florida State. While most analysts focus on the Florida State upset and his NFL/Alabama pedigree, they miss the deeper story: BC built their success on a foundation of dominant rushing (166.1 yards per game) and a defense that created chaos (17 interceptions, 31 sacks). Despite significant transfer portal losses—including QB Thomas Castellanos to Florida State and RB Kye Robichaux to graduation—O’Brien has strategically addressed needs by adding Alabama transfer QB Dylan Lonergan and several key defensive pieces. The combination of contractual stability (including a unique clause preventing NFL departures) and early success gives O’Brien something rare in college football: time to build his program the right way.
The most significant development in Clemson’s program isn’t winning the ACC Championship in 2024 or making another College Football Playoff appearance—it’s Dabo Swinney finally deciding to evolve. After years of resisting modern trends, Swinney has embraced the transfer portal, adding perfect pieces like Will Heldt (Purdue edge rusher), Jeremiah Alexander (Alabama LB), and Tristan Smith (Southeast Missouri State WR) to complement an already loaded roster. Critically, Swinney isn’t abandoning his principles but enhancing them, as evidenced by a strong 2025 recruiting class featuring 5-star DL Amare Adams and 4-star RB Gideon Davidson. With defensive coordinator Tom Allen implementing his aggressive system and QB Cade Klubnik entering his third year in offensive coordinator Garrett Riley’s system, Clemson has combined everything that made them great (championship culture, elite development) with everything they needed (modern roster building, innovative schemes).
After back-to-back 9+ win seasons, Brohm has established Louisville as a program on the rise. The Cardinals lost significant talent—including QB Tyler Shough, WR Ja’Corey Brooks, and defensive standouts—but Brohm has weaponized the transfer portal, adding 21 players (ranking 21st nationally and 4th in the ACC). The crown jewel is USC transfer QB Miller Moss, who torched Louisville for 372 yards and six touchdowns in the 2023 Holiday Bowl. With explosive RBs Isaac Brown and Duke Watson returning, eight home games, and a favorable schedule, Brohm has positioned Louisville for another breakthrough season. ESPN’s SP+ ranks Louisville 22nd nationally, and Bill Connelly projects them as a potential 4th seed in the expanded playoff. The only question is whether the new pieces can gel quickly enough to capitalize on this golden opportunity.
After shocking the college football world with an 11-3 record and perfect 8-0 conference run in their ACC debut, Lashlee has rapidly cooled his seat. The Mustangs aren’t just happy to be in the ACC—they’re legitimate contenders. Quarterback Kevin Jennings returns after a stellar season (3,245 passing yards, 23 TDs), and SMU has strategically used the transfer portal to add perfect pieces like Zion Nelson (OT), Anthony Evans (WR), and Terry Webb (DL). While detractors point to losses against Power Four competition, they ignore how close those games were and how much talent SMU brings back. If Lashlee can improve defensive consistency against elite competition, make better in-game adjustments, and replace lost offensive production, SMU has legitimate national championship upside in just their second ACC season.
After a surprising 9-4 record (5-3 in conference play) in 2024, Diaz has quickly established himself as one of the ACC’s brightest coaching stars. Duke made the biggest quarterback splash in program history this offseason by securing former Tulane star Darian Mensah, who commanded a reported $8 million deal over two years. The defense, Diaz’s specialty, returns several key playmakers including All-American cornerback Chandler Rivers and All-American safety Terry Moore. The Blue Devils’ 2025 recruiting class ranks #33-35 nationally, the highest-rated class in program history. The brutal 2025 schedule—featuring nine bowl teams from 2024 and road trips to Clemson, SMU, Miami, and Notre Dame—will test whether Diaz can build sustainable success or if 2024 was simply a one-year wonder.
After four consecutive 3-9 seasons under Dave Clawson, Wake Forest’s complete coaching overhaul under Dickert signals a program ready for transformation. Dickert doesn’t just bring a 23-20 record from Washington State—he brings experience navigating extreme adversity, having managed through financial crisis, the Pac-12 collapse, and significant roster exodus. He’s completely rebuilt Wake’s coaching staff, adding offensive coordinator Rob Ezell (whose South Alabama offense averaged 34.4 points per game), defensive coordinator Scottie Hazelton, and creating a 10-member recruiting infrastructure that simply didn’t exist before. While early ACC power rankings place Wake Forest 16th heading into 2025 with statistical projections suggesting a modest improvement to 5-7, Dickert’s comprehensive approach emphasizes building a foundation rather than seeking quick wins. For a program that looked increasingly directionless in 2024, Dickert’s arrival represents something invaluable: a coherent vision for the future.
The college football world collectively gasped when the legendary NFL coach announced he was taking his talents to Chapel Hill after 24 seasons, 6 Super Bowl rings, and more than 300 victories with the New England Patriots. After a disappointing 6-7 season in 2024 that ended Mack Brown’s second tenure, UNC made the most shocking hire in recent memory. Belichick’s impact was immediately visible—players took the field wearing jerseys without names or numbers, the most visible sign of the “team-first” philosophy that defined his New England dynasty. While the university has committed to a nearly 25% increase in football spending, Belichick faces unique challenges in his college coaching debut: NCAA rules restricting player contact, mastering recruiting and NIL landscapes, and adapting his demanding style for younger athletes. With quarterback uncertainty (Purdue transfer Ryan Browne and freshman Bryce Baker lead a thin depth chart) and a roster in transition, 2025 will be about building a foundation rather than making an immediate championship push.
East Carolina football’s remarkable transformation under Blake Harrell has Pirate Nation believing 2025 could be special.
The numbers tell a stunning story of what happened when Harrell took over seven games into last season:
A team struggling at 3-4 suddenly won 5 of their final 6 games
The defense skyrocketed to 12th nationally in defensive touchdowns
The offense maintained an impressive 32.0 points per game
A thrilling Military Bowl victory over NC State capped the turnaround
Harrell earned a four-year, $1.3 million contract for his efforts
What should excite every ECU fan isn’t just what happened—it’s how quickly it happened.
Harrell’s defensive genius unlocked ECU’s potential almost overnight
When Blake Harrell became interim head coach, the Pirates’ defense became one of the nation’s most opportunistic units.
Under Harrell’s guidance, ECU’s defense accomplished things that seemed impossible just weeks earlier:
Ranked 13th nationally in red zone defense (0.745)
Generated 14 interceptions (27th in FBS)
Created 22 total turnovers (27th in FBS)
Averaged 7.2 tackles for loss per game (14th in FBS)
Posted a defensive play-calling efficiency of 82.9% (12th nationally)
According to your source materials, Harrell will not call plays on game day for the first time in years as he focuses on his head coaching duties—a change that might make the Pirates even more dangerous.
This defensive foundation gives ECU something it hasn’t had in years: an identity.
The coaching staff strikes a perfect balance of continuity and fresh ideas
Keeping offensive coordinator John David Baker might be Harrell’s most underrated decision yet.
The offensive numbers under Baker speak for themselves:
436.4 total yards per game (balanced between pass and run)
264.0 passing yards per game
172.4 rushing yards per game
An offense that kept the Pirates in games despite early deficits
Meanwhile, new defensive coordinator Josh Aldridge arrives from Liberty with a reputation for aggressive schemes that complement Harrell’s philosophy.
This balanced approach—keeping what works while upgrading what needs fixing—suggests a coach with clarity about his program’s direction.
Every championship team must overcome its fatal flaws
What stands between ECU and true AAC contention isn’t talent but consistency.
The Pirates’ most glaring weaknesses from 2024 must be addressed:
A turnover ratio of -8 (including 23 interceptions) killed promising drives
Early-game struggles led to uphill battles (most notably a 31-0 deficit against Army)
Defensive lapses appeared even during the late-season surge
Quarterback decision-making remained inconsistent despite productive yardage
How Harrell attacks these issues during spring and fall camp will determine whether ECU can challenge the AAC’s elite.
The transfer portal has become ECU’s secret weapon
While some programs struggle with the new transfer reality, the Pirates have embraced it as a competitive advantage.
Harrell’s staff added 15 impact transfers who could transform the roster overnight:
Former 4-star Oklahoma receiver Jaquaize Pettaway brings elite speed
FCS All-American defensive back Jordy Lowery adds proven playmaking
Maryland transfer Kyle Long immediately strengthens the offensive line
Western Carolina transfers bring championship experience to Greenville
Combined with the AAC’s 4th-ranked recruiting class, which features 38 signees, the talent infusion gives ECU its deepest roster in years.
Seven 2024 bowl teams await on a schedule built for national attention
The Pirates won’t sneak up on anyone in 2025.
ECU’s challenging schedule represents both opportunity and obstacle:
A season-opening rematch against NC State offers immediate revenge
Three 2024 Top 25 teams (BYU, Army, Memphis) provide measuring-stick games
Seven opponents reached bowl games last season
The AAC slate includes improved competition across the board
For a program seeking respect, this schedule provides the perfect platform.
Why 2025 could become a breakthrough season for Pirate football
Everything about ECU’s program is pointing in the right direction.
The foundation Harrell established in just six games as interim coach—winning five—suggests a program that immediately responded to his leadership style. Expectations should be higher, not lower, with an entire offseason to implement his complete system.
College Football News currently ranks ECU 8th in its pre-spring AAC evaluation, but this team seems positioned to exceed outside expectations.
If the Pirates can solve their turnover issues and maintain the momentum from their bowl victory, 2025 could mark East Carolina’s return to conference championship contention.
After years of searching for direction, Pirate Nation has a clear vision of what ECU football can become.
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Don’t miss another deep dive into college football’s most crucial storylines and program developments. Our team-by-team analysis gives you the insider perspective to understand where each program is headed in 2025 and beyond. Subscribe for free now to access our comprehensive breakdowns, exclusive hot seat rankings, and in-depth conference analysis delivered to your inbox. Join thousands of college football insiders who trust Coaches Hot Seat to keep them ahead of the game. Hit the link below to unlock all our premium content and never miss another update.
Army football stands at a crucial crossroads entering the 2025 season.
Coming off the most successful campaign in program history—a record-shattering 12-2 mark that included an American Athletic Conference championship in their debut season—the Black Knights face the ultimate question that haunts all great teams: Can they do it again?
The challenge is immense, with significant roster turnover and a schedule designed to test even the most battle-hardened squads. But within this challenge lies an opportunity—a chance for Coach Jeff Monken‘s program to prove its 2024 masterpiece was no fluke, but rather the foundation of a new Army football standard.
The 2024 Season Was Unlike Any Other in Army History
The Army’s 2024 campaign dramatically rewrote the program’s record books.
The Black Knights dominated their new conference with ruthless efficiency, posting a perfect 8-0 mark in AAC play before dismantling Tulane 35-14 in the championship game. Their 12 victories set a new high-water mark for wins in a single season, while their peak AP ranking (#16) represented their highest standing since 1962.
Individual accolades poured in as quarterback Bryson Daily finished 6th in Heisman Trophy voting while claiming AAC Offensive Player of the Year honors. Coach Monken earned conference Coach of the Year recognition, and perhaps most impressively, Army’s offensive line claimed the prestigious Joe Moore Award as the nation’s finest unit.
The numbers behind this historic run tell the story of complete dominance:
Averaged 31.07 points while surrendering just 15.50 points per game
Rushed for a staggering 4,339 yards (300.5 per game) with 48 touchdowns
Controlled games through time of possession, holding the ball for 34:39 per contest
Secured an Independence Bowl victory, improving their bowl record to 8-3
This wasn’t just Army’s best season—it was the gold standard by which all future Black Knight teams will be measured.
The 2025 Roster Features Major Turnover at Key Positions
The biggest challenge facing Army in 2025 is replacing the architects of their offensive juggernaut.
Quarterback Bryson Daily, the Heisman finalist who orchestrated the triple-option with surgical precision, has graduated. Running back Kanye Udoh transferred to Arizona State after a breakout season. And perhaps most critically, three starters from the Joe Moore Award-winning offensive line have departed, along with their position coach Matt Drinkall, who left to become head coach at Central Michigan.
These departures create significant question marks for an offense that dominated opponents through physical control and tactical precision:
Who steps into Daily’s role as both field general and offensive catalyst?
Can the rebuilt offensive line maintain the dominance that fueled their rushing attack?
Will new position coaches successfully implement system continuity amid personnel changes?
Can Army overcome projections placing them 93rd nationally in offensive SP+ with 24.3 points per game?
The defensive side offers more stability, with a unit projected to rank 35th nationally with a 23.2 SP+ rating, providing a foundation while the offense finds its footing.
Returning Players Provide Hope Amid Transition
Despite the significant departures, Army returns a solid core of talented players ready to step into expanded roles.
Center Brady Small, already named to ESPN’s way-too-early All-America second team for 2025, anchors the offensive front alongside senior Paolo Gennarelli—both holdovers from the award-winning 2024 line. Junior quarterback Cale Hellums enters camp as a potential starter after apprenticing behind Daily, while slot receiver Noah Short returns as a proven threat with big-play capabilities.
The returning talent offers several reasons for optimism:
Small and Gennarelli provide continuity and leadership along the offensive line
Noah Short gives the offense an established playmaker to build around
Jake Rendina adds experienced depth to the running back rotation
The defense returns significant talent from a unit that surrendered just 15.5 points per game
Three years into AAC membership, players now understand conference competition levels
These returners will be tasked with both maintaining performance standards and helping newcomers integrate into Army’s demanding system.
The 2025 Schedule Presents Unique Challenges
Army’s path through the 2025 season features opportunities and obstacles, particularly away from West Point.
The schedule includes five home games at Michie Stadium, beginning with the August 29th opener against Tarleton State. However, for the first time in recent memory, both service academy rivalry games will occur on the road—at Air Force (November 1) and Navy (December 13)—adding significant difficulty to Army’s most emotionally charged matchups.
Other notable scheduling quirks that could impact Army’s season:
No consecutive home games throughout the entire schedule
A championship game rematch at Tulane on October 18
Three strategically placed bye weeks (September 13, October 25, November 15)
Early projections give Army a 99.5% chance of bowling and 27.7% chance of repeating as conference champions
Substantial travel with key games in Colorado Springs, New Orleans, and Baltimore
How Army navigates this road-heavy slate could determine whether it remains an AAC contender or falls back into the conference’s middle tier.
Coaching Changes Will Reshape Both Sides of the Ball
The coaching staff underwent significant reshuffling following their championship season.
Offensive line coach Matt Drinkall’s departure creates the most significant void after he engineered the Joe Moore Award-winning front. Cheston Blackshear transitions from tight ends to co-lead the offensive line alongside Mike Viti, while Chandler Burks shifts from tight ends to running backs coach.
The defensive side welcomes Allen Smith, who arrives to coach the defensive line after Nate Fuqua’s brief tenure, while Matt Panker earns a promotion to defensive quality control coach.
These coaching adjustments create several strategic implications:
Blackshear and Viti must maintain cohesion amid offensive line rebuilding
Defensive coordinator Nate Woody provides continuity for a unit that remains the team’s strength
Replacing Drinkall’s expertise represents perhaps the staff’s biggest challenge
Head coach Jeff Monken’s proven ability to develop staff suggests minimal disruption
How quickly these coaching adjustments solidify will determine whether Army can maintain the tactical edge that fueled their 2024 success.
Five Keys Will Define Army’s 2025 Season
Army’s ability to build on their historic 2024 campaign hinges on several critical factors.
The quarterback position stands as the most obvious focal point, with junior Cale Hellums among several candidates competing to replace Bryson Daily. Whichever candidate wins the job inherits the keys to an offense built around precise decision-making and tactical discipline.
Beyond quarterback play, Army’s 2025 success depends on:
Rebuilt offensive line cohesion, mainly by replacing three starters from the award-winning 2024 unit
Maintaining defensive dominance that limited opponents to just 15.5 points per game
Developing road game resilience with critical matchups at Air Force, Navy, and Tulane
Minimizing offensive regression through system continuity amid personnel changes
Balancing the mental challenges unique to service academy athletes (military training, academic rigor)
Army’s defense—projected 35th nationally with a 23.2 SP+ rating—remains the program’s foundation while the offense reloads.
The Bottom Line: Measured Expectations for 2025
Army football stands ready to prove 2024 was no fluke.
While matching last season’s historic achievements represents a formidable challenge, the Black Knights enter 2025 with legitimate aspirations to remain among the AAC’s elite programs. The combination of experienced returners, proven coaching staff, and a culture of discipline positions them for continued success despite significant transitions.
Returning to the conference championship game requires overcoming substantial personnel losses and navigating a demanding schedule. However, Coach Monken’s program has demonstrated remarkable resilience and adaptability throughout his tenure, suggesting Army remains a formidable opponent for everyone on their 2025 schedule.
As the Black Knights prepare to defend their conference crown, expectations remain high in West Point—not simply to compete but to continue building on the foundation of excellence established during their record-breaking 2024 campaign.
The only question that matters now is whether this new generation of Army players can write their own chapter in the program’s storied history.
Become an Insider
Don’t miss another deep dive into college football’s most crucial storylines and program developments. Our team-by-team analysis gives you the insider perspective to understand where each program is headed in 2025 and beyond. Subscribe for free now to access our comprehensive breakdowns, exclusive hot seat rankings, and in-depth conference analysis delivered to your inbox. Join thousands of college football insiders who trust Coaches Hot Seat to keep them ahead of the game. Hit the link below to unlock all our premium content and never miss another update.
Tim Albin is about to transform Charlotte 49ers football.
After narrowly missing bowl eligibility with a 5-7 record in 2024, the Charlotte 49ers are undergoing a complete overhaul—new coaching staff, new schemes, and a roster infused with fresh talent. The question on everyone’s mind isn’t whether change is coming but whether Albin’s championship pedigree can accelerate the 49ers’ journey from AAC middle-dweller to conference contender.
Here’s why the 2025 season could be the turning point Charlotte football has been waiting for:
Albin Brings a Winning Blueprint
One sentence: Charlotte just hired a coach who can build championship programs.
Tim Albin arrives in Charlotte with a resume that commands instant respect: three consecutive 10-win seasons at Ohio University, culminating in the 2024 MAC Championship (their first since 1968). Twice named MAC Coach of the Year (2022, 2024), Albin has demonstrated his ability to build and sustain a winning culture.
This isn’t just another coaching change; it’s a fundamental expectation shift.
“The vision for the program is to be in a bowl every year,” stated Charlotte Athletic Director Mike Hill when announcing Albin’s hiring in December 2024.
Such ambition would previously seem aspirational for a program that has reached just one bowl game in its brief FBS history. Under Albin’s leadership, it feels like the baseline.
Elite Coaching Staff Assembled
Albin didn’t come alone—he brought a coaching dream team.
The new coaching structure reveals exactly how Charlotte plans to compete in the AAC:
Todd Fitch (Offensive Coordinator/Associate Head Coach) – Former LSU offensive analyst brings Power 5 experience and a reputation for developing dynamic passing attacks
Nate Faanes (Defensive Coordinator) – Albin’s trusted lieutenant from Ohio will implement multiple defensive looks to confuse AAC offenses
Kurt Mattix (Co-Defensive Coordinator) – Pass rush specialist whose presence signals a commitment to disrupting opposing quarterbacks
Brian Haines (Special Teams Coordinator/Assistant Head Coach) – Appalachian State product who understands how to win in North Carolina
This isn’t just a new staff—it’s a strategic assembly of specialists designed to address Charlotte’s most glaring weaknesses from 2024.
Roster Transformation Through Portal Power
Charlotte’s roster won’t just be coached differently—it will look entirely different.
The 49ers have been among the most aggressive teams in the transfer portal, with reports indicating they’ve added between 15-22 new players for the 2025 season. This significant influx of talent suggests numerous departures from the previous roster as well, though specific outgoing transfers haven’t been documented.
The incoming transfers reveal exactly where Charlotte’s priorities lie:
Quarterback Revolution: Power 5 transfers Conner Harrell (North Carolina) and Grayson Loftis (Duke) instantly upgrade the most important position
Explosive Perimeter: New receivers Nate Spillman, Jaylen Hampton, and Jayden McGowan provide big-play potential
Secondary Reinforcements: Four new cornerbacks including Collin Gill, Thailand Baldwin, Dwight Bootle II, and Gavin Shipman suggest a complete defensive backfield rebuild
Front Seven Fortification: Linebacker additions Stellan Bowman and Gavin Willis bring needed physicality
Backfield Boost: Running back Donald Chaney Jr. adds explosiveness to the ground game
This isn’t just adding depth—it’s a complete roster reimagining.
Scheme Changes Promise Immediate Impact
The X’s and O’s in Charlotte are getting a complete overhaul.
With Fitch implementing a spread option scheme and the defensive coordinators installing a 4-2-5 base defense, the 2025 49ers will barely resemble their 2024 counterparts in style or substance. These changes signal a commitment to:
Maximizing QB Mobility: The spread option will capitalize on the athleticism of transfers Harrell and Loftis
Creating Explosive Plays: Upgraded receiver talent will be featured in a more aggressive downfield passing attack
Defensive Versatility: The 4-2-5 alignment allows Charlotte to counter both spread and traditional offenses without substituting
Pressure Generation: Mattix’s background suggests pass rush will become a defensive priority
These scheme changes aren’t just cosmetic—they’re strategic decisions designed to maximize the talent influx and create immediate competitive advantages.
Schedule Presents Opportunity and Challenge
Charlotte’s 2025 slate offers a perfect runway for the Albin era to launch successfully.
The schedule structure gives Charlotte several advantages:
Four-Game Homestand: The season opens with four consecutive games in Charlotte, providing time to build confidence and momentum
Statement Opportunities: Non-conference matchups with North Carolina, Georgia, and Appalachian State offer chances for program-defining upsets
Manageable Conference Slate: While UTSA (Nov. 15) and the Tulane finale (Nov. 29) present challenges, the overall AAC schedule appears navigable
Army Challenge: An October 11 date with the Black Knights will test discipline against a unique offensive system
This schedule layout perfectly balances opportunities for statement wins and winnable games to build toward bowl eligibility.
The Bottom Line for 2025
Tim Albin’s Charlotte 49ers won’t just look different—they’ll perform differently.
With a $70 million stadium expansion breaking ground in 2025, the program is signaling its long-term commitment to football success. Albin’s championship pedigree, an experienced coaching staff, and a completely overhauled roster provide the foundation for Charlotte to exceed expectations in the American Athletic Conference.
The 49ers’ rise from 5-7 to bowl eligibility isn’t just possible—it should be expected in 2025.
THE FINAL COUNTDOWN: ACC DEEP DIVE FINALE + EXCLUSIVE HOT SEAT RANKINGS COMING TUESDAY
Here’s the brutal truth most college football writers won’t tell you:
By the time their “analysis” hits your inbox, the smart money has already moved.
We’re wrapping up our intense, no-holds-barred examination of the ACC—program by program, coach by coach, recruit by recruit. And guess what? Our exclusive ACC Hot Seat Rankings aren’t following the typical publishing schedule.
They’re coming early.
Next Tuesday.
Only for subscribers.
While other outlets are still collecting their thoughts, our subscribers will already know:
Which ACC coach is one subpar season away from cleaning out his office?
Which program will be the surprise of the 2025 season?
Why one “stable” program is sitting on a powder keg of internal drama?
BECOME AN INSIDER
The college football landscape changes in heartbeats, not seasons.
Our team-by-team analysis doesn’t just tell you what happened—it reveals what’s HAPPENING. Right now. Behind closed doors. In text messages between ADs and agents that never make ESPN.
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The college football world collectively gasped when legendary NFL coach Bill Belichick announced he was taking his talents to Chapel Hill.
After 24 seasons, 6 Super Bowl rings, and more than 300 victories with the New England Patriots, the most accomplished coach in NFL history is attempting something entirely new at age 72—rebuilding a college program that finished a disappointing 6-7 in 2024.
This unprecedented coaching hire raises fascinating questions:
Can the NFL’s most successful tactician adapt to the college game?
Will Belichick’s notoriously demanding style connect with a younger generation of players?
Is UNC positioned to become the ACC’s next powerhouse program?
How quickly can Belichick implement his championship culture at North Carolina?
Let’s discuss this seismic coaching change for the Tar Heels’ 2025 season and beyond.
The 2024 Season Proved UNC Football Needed a Complete Reset
A frustrating pattern of inconsistency defined North Carolina’s 2024 campaign.
Despite flashes of offensive brilliance (30.92 points per game), the Tar Heels’ defensive shortcomings (28.08 points allowed) prevented the team from gaining meaningful momentum throughout the season. The ground game flourished with 2,727 rushing yards, but an inconsistent passing attack and porous pass defense ultimately doomed UNC to a sub—.500 record.
The season-ending 35-30 loss to NC State perfectly encapsulated the team’s struggles:
Explosive plays (like Omarion Hampton’s 75-yard touchdown run)
Crippling defensive breakdowns
Momentum-killing penalties
An inability to close out winnable games
This disappointing season marked the end of Mack Brown’s second tenure in Chapel Hill, creating the opening for college football’s most shocking coaching hire in recent memory.
The Belichick Effect Has Already Transformed UNC’s Culture
“I don’t really have any expectations,” Belichick stated about his first season at North Carolina, emphasizing that success will depend on individual player buy-in and effort.
But don’t mistake Belichick’s measured public stance for a lack of internal ambition. The changes under his leadership were immediately visible during spring practice. Players took the field wearing jerseys without names or numbers—the most visible sign of the “team-first” philosophy that defined his New England dynasty.
The university has doubled down on this cultural revolution by:
Committing to a nearly 25% increase in football spending
Supporting an aggressive talent acquisition strategy through recruiting and transfers
Providing Belichick the autonomy to rebuild the program in his image
Allowing him to implement his physical, fundamentals-based practice approach
“Everybody that buys into it and wants to be a part of it, will be a part of it,” Belichick emphasized when discussing his approach to building the program.
The players have responded enthusiastically to this cultural shift. “The players have responded well. They seem generally excited and enthused to be playing football,” Belichick noted in early comments about his transition to the collegiate ranks.
Talent Acquisition Has Become a Top Priority
Building a championship-caliber roster requires elite talent.
The Tar Heels have signed 19 new players, including 17 freshmen and two transfers: offensive lineman Daniel King from Troy and kicker Jaffer Murphy from Lake Erie. This recruiting class ranks No. 32 nationally (No. 43 excluding transfers), providing a solid foundation for the program’s future.
However, several roster questions remain heading into the 2025 season:
Quarterback uncertainty (Purdue transfer Ryan Browne and freshman Bryce Baker lead a thin depth chart)
Defensive improvement needs at multiple positions
Offensive line development under Belichick’s physical approach
Special teams capabilities, a longtime Belichick emphasis
The coaching staff’s ability to develop this talent while continuing to recruit high-level players will determine UNC’s trajectory in the coming years.
Belichick Faces Unique Challenges in His College Coaching Debut
The transition from NFL icon to college coach presents Belichick with unfamiliar obstacles.
NCAA rules restrict coaches to just eight hours per week of player meetings, a fraction of what Belichick had at his disposal in New England. This limitation could hinder his ability to implement the complex schemes and detailed preparation that defined his NFL success.
Other significant challenges include:
Mastering the recruiting trail and NIL landscape
Adapting his notoriously demanding coaching style for younger athletes
Managing roster volatility in the transfer portal era
Balancing his tactical preferences with available personnel
Connecting with a new generation of players
“The response has been great,” Belichick remarked about his connection with younger players, suggesting that initial concerns about a generational disconnect may be overblown.
What Should Tar Heel Fans Reasonably Expect in 2025?
Former NFL player Jason McCourty made headlines with his bold prediction that Belichick could lead UNC to the College Football Playoff in his first year.
While such immediate success would be remarkable, most reasonable observers view 2025 as a foundation-building season rather than an immediate championship push. Success in year one might be measured by:
Competitive play against ACC opponents
Significant defensive improvement
Development of young talent, particularly at quarterback
Establishing a sustainable recruiting pipeline
Enhanced physical play, especially in the trenches
Belichick plans to use spring practice to develop players through contact and physicality, particularly in the run game and along the line of scrimmage—a philosophy that aligns with his long-established belief that championship teams are built from the inside out.
The marriage between one of football’s greatest tactical minds and a program hungry for national relevance will be one of college football’s most fascinating storylines in 2025.
For a university often defined by basketball excellence, Belichick’s arrival signals that North Carolina is deadly serious about competing at the highest level on the gridiron.
THE FINAL COUNTDOWN: ACC DEEP DIVE FINALE + EXCLUSIVE HOT SEAT RANKINGS COMING TUESDAY
Here’s the brutal truth most college football writers won’t tell you:
By the time their “analysis” hits your inbox, the smart money has already moved.
We’re wrapping up our intense, no-holds-barred examination of the ACC—program by program, coach by coach, recruit by recruit. And guess what? Our exclusive ACC Hot Seat Rankings aren’t following the typical publishing schedule.
They’re coming early.
Next Tuesday.
Only for subscribers.
While other outlets are still collecting their thoughts, our subscribers will already know:
Which ACC coach is one bad season away from cleaning out his office
The up-and-coming coordinator quietly fielding calls from three different programs
Why one “stable” program is actually sitting on a powder keg of internal drama
BECOME AN INSIDER
The college football landscape changes in heartbeats, not seasons.
Our team-by-team analysis doesn’t just tell you what happened—it reveals what’s HAPPENING. Right now. Behind closed doors. In text messages between ADs and agents that never make ESPN.
Subscribe for free now to unlock:
Comprehensive breakdowns of each FBS program’s trajectory
Exclusive hot seat rankings based on sources inside athletic departments
In-depth conference analysis delivered straight to your inbox
You’re joining thousands of college football insiders who leverage our intelligence to stay ahead of the conversation.
The difference between being informed and being influential?
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