Think you know college football? Think again. Coaches Hot Seat spends a little time listening to the Targeting Winners Podcast every Friday afternoon during the season. We take our picks and look for the storylines, the upsets, the wins, and the losses to bring you the inside scoop on where the seats are getting hot. We’re not just talking about picking winners but about understanding the why behind the wins. The hidden narratives, the coaching mismatches, the moments that define a season.
The CFB Dudes at Targeting Winners live and breathe this stuff. They break down film, analyze matchups, and find the edges that the casual fan misses. We compare our picks with the Targeting Winner’s intel, and boom!
So buckle up, because we’re about to take you on a wild ride through three games we’ve got our eye on this week. Fans looking for an edge? You’ve come to the right place.
Notre Dame vs. Navy: The Midshipmen’s Mutiny
Notre Dame limps in, battered and bruised. Five starters down, maybe more. They’re like a prizefighter with a glass jaw, and Navy, they come in with a battering ram. 6-0, averaging 45 points a game. Blake Horvath, their quarterback? He’s not just running the triple option, he’s weaponizing it. Think Barry Sanders with a playbook designed to make defensive coordinators cry.
The line moved? Of course, it did. Smart money knows: Notre Dame’s defense hasn’t seen this kind of chaos. They’re trained for chess matches, not bar fights.
The Play: Navy +12.5. Take it, and don’t look back. This isn’t about talent; it’s about heart. Navy’s got it in spades.
Penn State vs. Wisconsin: The Calm Before the Storm
Penn State is undefeated, but they just survived a brawl with USC. Now they’re staring down Ohio State, the biggest game of their season. It’s a classic trap game. Wisconsin smells blood.
But here’s the thing: Penn State’s defense is a force. Drew Allar, their quarterback? He’s growing up fast. Wisconsin’s offense? Let’s say they haven’t exactly been lighting up the scoreboard.
Camp Randall’s a tough place to play, sure. But Penn State’s been there, done that. They’ve got the experience, the defense, and the quarterback play to weather the storm.
The Play: Penn State -6.5. They’ll win this one ugly, but a win’s a win. And take the Under 47.5. This game’s going to be a slugfest.
Boise State vs. UNLV: The Rebels’ Redemption
Boise State has Ashton Jeanty, a one-man wrecking crew. But here’s their problem: their quarterback, Maddux Madsen, is like a Ferrari with a lawnmower engine. He has lots of flash but not enough horsepower.
UNLV? They’ve got a secret weapon: the “Go-Go Offense.” Hajj-Malik Williams, their quarterback, is slinging the ball like he’s got something to prove. And their offensive line? They’re opening holes you could drive a truck through.
Boise’s defense? They lead the nation in sacks but can’t stop a nosebleed on third-and-short. UNLV’s going to exploit that weakness.
The Play: UNLV +140 on the moneyline. They’re at home, they’re playing with confidence, and they’re about to pull off the upset. Boise State? They’re about to learn a hard lesson: talent only gets you so far.
There you have it. Three games, three takes. This is all about the story. And these stories, they’re just getting started. Post your comments here.
WRITTEN BY Mark Haines Published on February 6, 2026
Cal just made the most important football hire in the program’s modern history. On December 4, 2025, the Bears named Oregon defensive coordinator Tosh Lupoi as their 35th head football coach. Five-year deal. First-time head coach. A former Cal defensive lineman returning to an alma mater that hasn’t finished a season ranked in the AP …
WRITTEN BY Mark Haines Published on February 2, 2026
When Alex Golesh left for Auburn the day after South Florida’s regular season finale, he didn’t just leave a vacancy. He left a program that had gone from 4 wins in three years to 9-3 with a top-5 scoring offense, three straight bowl appearances, and the first College Football Playoff ranking in school history. He …
WRITTEN BY Mark Haines Published on January 29, 2026
When Charles Huff bolted for Memphis after just one season, Southern Miss had a choice to make. Swing big on another rising star. Roll the dice on an unproven coordinator. Or promote the 56-year-old offensive coordinator who already had the keys to the building. Athletic Director Jeremy McClain chose door three. Three days after naming …
WRITTEN BY Mark Haines Published on January 26, 2026
Eight weeks into the job, Pete Golding is already in an NCAA complaint. Clemson Head Football Coach Dabo Swinney held a press conference last Thursday and named him directly. Said Golding texted a Clemson signee during class, asking about his buyout. Said he sent photos of seven-figure NIL offers. Said the phone records would prove …
WRITTEN BY Mark Haines Published on January 22, 2026
Everybody’s talking about the baggage. The hazing scandal. The two years away. The “100 percent vindicated” quote that will resurface every time the Spartans lose back-to-back games. That’s the easy narrative. But the harder question—the one that actually determines whether this hire works—is hiding in plain sight. It’s in the splits. .309 Against Ranked. .469 …
WRITTEN BY Mark Haines Published on January 19, 2026
Here’s Why That’s Actually What North Texas Needs. Neal Brown isn’t a splash hire. He’s something better for North Texas: a proven program builder who’s already won at this level. While Eric Morris brought schematic creativity and tempo that excited fans, Brown brings a decade of head-coaching experience, 72 wins, and a track record of …
WRITTEN BY Mark Haines Published on January 16, 2026
Now He’s the Head Coach at Oklahoma State. Eric Morris is one of the most exciting offensive minds in college football. He developed quarterbacks who became first-round NFL picks. He coordinated top-10 offenses at three different programs. He took North Texas from a 5-7 afterthought to an 11-2 juggernaut averaging 503 yards per game—the best …
WRITTEN BY Mark Haines Published on January 14, 2026
Charles Huff fixes broken programs. That’s the value proposition Memphis is buying. Not a recruiter who needs five years to build his guys. Not a developmental coach who grows freshmen into seniors. Huff is a fixer — a guy who walks into a disaster, flips the portal, resets the culture, and delivers wins fast. The …
WRITTEN BY Mark Haines Published on January 12, 2026
Billy Napier just landed the best job in Group of Five football. James Madison went 40-10 in its first three FBS seasons. The Dukes won a Sun Belt title. They made the College Football Playoff. And now Bob Chesney – the coach who built that 2025 run – is gone to UCLA. Napier inherits a …
WRITTEN BY Mark Haines Published on January 7, 2026
Colorado State just made a bet. Not a small bet. Not a ‘let’s see what happens’ bet. A real bet – the kind where you fire a coach coming off an 8-5 season because you believe something better exists. The kind where you write a check to a 64-year-old with 100+ career wins and say, …
WRITTEN BY Mark Haines Published on January 5, 2026
This is not a home run. It’s a lateral move with a defensive coat of paint. Coastal Carolina just replaced Tim Beck with Missouri State’s Ryan Beard, a 36-year-old defensive-minded coach who led his program to a 7-6 season in his second year at the FBS level. The move signals a clear philosophical shift: out …
WRITTEN BY Mark Haines Published on December 22, 2025
Reader Sean Mullen sent me this message last week: “Congratulations Mark on being completely wrong about Ricky Rahne at Old Dominion. Are you gonna do the right thing now and follow up and state publicly you were wrong?” Fair enough. In August, I predicted Rahne would be fired by November. Instead, ODU went 10-3, beat …
WRITTEN BY Mark Haines Published on December 18, 2025
Iowa State moved fast. Matt Campbell took the Penn State job, and within days, the Cyclones had their guy. Jimmy Rogers, fresh off a 6-6 debut season at Washington State, now inherits a program that made the Big 12 Championship Game and became a legitimate conference contender under Campbell. The question everyone in Ames is …
WRITTEN BY Mark Haines Published on December 16, 2025
Penn State didn’t hire Matt Campbell. They settled for him. After 54 days of chaos (Pat Kraft whiffing on Matt Rhule, Mike Elko, Kalen DeBoer, and watching Kalani Sitake use Happy Valley as leverage for a BYU extension), the Nittany Lions landed on a coach who was never Plan A. The search that began with …
WRITTEN BY Mark Haines Published on December 15, 2025
Auburn just bet $42 million on an unproven offensive coordinator turned three-year Group of Five head coach. The Tigers fired Hugh Freeze after five straight losing seasons. They handed the keys to Alex Golesh, a 39-year-old who went 23-15 at South Florida, has never coached a Power Four game as a head coach, and is …
WRITTEN BY Mark Haines Published on December 13, 2025
UCLA made a strong coaching hire inside a broken institutional structure. Bob Chesney brings an elite program-building résumé to Westwood. He’s 131-51 overall (.720) across four levels of college football. He rebuilt every program he touched. And at James Madison, he went 21-5 in two years, won the Sun Belt, earned the program’s first bowl …
WRITTEN BY Mark Haines Published on December 12, 2025
Our friends at the Targeting Winners podcast are in on the Capital One Bowl Mania challenge this year, and they’ve invited Coaches Hot Seat readers to join the group. The setup: three contest modes (Standard, Spread, and Confidence). Go perfect in any of them and you could walk away with up to $1 million. Miss …
WRITTEN BY Mark Haines Published on December 11, 2025
The Bottom Line Jon Sumrall is a clear upgrade in process and upside over Billy Napier. But whether he’s a true results upgrade in the SEC will hinge almost entirely on staff hires and whether he can translate his Group of Five discipline-and-physicality pitch into a cleaner, more explosive product than Napier ever managed in Gainesville. On résumé …
WRITTEN BY Mark Haines Published on December 11, 2025
Is This a Good Hire? The Short Answer: No. Tulane just went from one of the best Group of Five coaching situations in America to hiring a coach who was fired mid-season after going 14-30 at Southern Miss. Let that sink in. The Numbers Tell the Story Will Hall’s FBS head coaching record is brutal: …
WRITTEN BY Mark Haines Published on December 10, 2025
Ryan Silverfield is a high-floor stabilizer hire for Arkansas. He’ll almost certainly get the Razorbacks back to bowl eligibility and competent, week-in/week-out SEC football. His Memphis track record – 50-25, bowl games every year, back-to-back double-digit-win seasons – shows he knows how to build and maintain a program. But nothing in his profile screams “SEC …
WRITTEN BY Mark Haines Published on December 5, 2025
Is James Franklin a Good Hire at Virginia Tech? The Verdict James Franklin is a high-floor, polarizingly safe hire for Virginia Tech. He dramatically raises the talent and competency baseline in Blacksburg. His recruiting prowess will immediately transform VT’s roster trajectory. And his track record of building programs (Vanderbilt, Penn State) removes the developmental gamble …
WRITTEN BY Mark Haines Published on December 3, 2025
The carousel never stops spinning. We’re tracking 21 coaching changes this cycle — 13 with new coaches already named, 8 still waiting on their guy. What follows are our preliminary grades across three categories: Hire Quality, Process, and Fan/Media Sentiment. These aren’t final verdicts. They’re initial reactions. First impressions. The kind of grades that will …
WRITTEN BY Mark Haines Published on September 15, 2025
Martin Jarmond fired DeShaun Foster after 15 games, but the real problem sits one floor above the football offices. UCLA’s athletic director created the perfect storm that destroyed Foster’s tenure before it began. The hasty hiring process, inadequate resources, and administrative dysfunction all trace back to one person: the man who pulled the trigger on …
The 2024 season was a nightmare for the Oregon State football team. After enduring conference realignment chaos, coaching departures, and quarterback carousel disasters that led to a disappointing 5-7 record, the Beavers enter 2025 with something they haven’t had in years: hope. The program has made aggressive moves during the offseason to address its most …
New Washington State Football Coach Jimmy Rogers has inherited one hell of a mess. The new Washington State head coach took over a program that lost 46 players to the transfer portal, watched its former coach flee to Wake Forest, and now sits as one of just two teams in what used to be the …
WRITTEN BY Mark Haines Published on October 25, 2024
Welcome back to the Coaches Hot Seat, where we dissect the volatile world of college football coaching and track those whose seats are getting too toasty for comfort. Today, we’re tackling our readers’ fiery feedback and passionate perspectives. Because let’s face it, college football fandom is a crucible of emotions, and sometimes those emotions boil …
WRITTEN BY Mark Haines Published on September 26, 2024
Few venues can match the storied legacy of Louisiana State University’s Tiger Stadium in the annals of college football history. For nearly a century, this hallowed ground has been the stage for some of the sport’s most electrifying moments, a colosseum of the South that has witnessed the rise and fall of football dynasties. A …
WRITTEN BY Mark Haines Published on September 23, 2024
Week 5 Coaches Hot Seat rankings will be posted on Tuesday morning – stay tuned! The Auburn Abyss: Hugh Freeze’s Nightmare Continues Auburn, a once-proud program, now resembles a sinking ship, rudderless and taking on water fast. Hugh Freeze, the captain brought in to right the vessel, seems to be steering it straight into an …
WRITTEN BY Mark Haines Published on September 20, 2024
Preview of Six Marquee Matchups & Full Viewer Guide Week 4 in college football isn’t just another Saturday on the calendar. It’s a crucible, a proving ground where pretenders are unmasked, and contenders emerge bloodied but unbowed. Picture this: Twenty-two young men, their futures hanging in the balance, lined up on a field about to …
WRITTEN BY Mark Haines Published on September 9, 2024
There’s a reason we all tune in, why we obsess over every play, every decision made from the sidelines. College football isn’t just a game; it’s a microcosm of American culture. It’s where the values of grit, glory, and, occasionally, utter chaos are laid bare on the gridiron. And Week 2 of this season? It …
WRITTEN BY Mark Haines Published on August 27, 2024
We’ve got a real head-scratcher on our hands, courtesy of Comcast Xfinity and their handling of the Big Ten Network’s new additions. John Canzano over at the Bald Faced Truth Newsletter has been digging into this, and it’s not pretty.The Bottom Line: Comcast is blacking out Big Ten Network games featuring Oregon, Washington, UCLA, and …
Buckle up, folks. College football is teetering on the edge of a seismic shift, one that could change the game as much as NIL deals and the transfer portal. We’re talking about unlimited coaches. That’s right. The days of strictly capped…
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